wxeyeNH Posted November 15, 2020 Author Share Posted November 15, 2020 10 minutes ago, dendrite said: 40° with a few snow pellets and flurries. Same thing here. 37.5F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 15, 2020 Share Posted November 15, 2020 15 minutes ago, dendrite said: 40° with a few snow pellets and flurries. Incredible south wind up here at 3,600ft and it’s 27F on the shelter thermometer. But I can’t see any sign of precipitation on any horizon as I survey the kingdom. No virga streaks or anything. Mid level cloud deck is pretty high up. But holy crap at this wind, I’m frozen solid. Just unrelenting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 15, 2020 Share Posted November 15, 2020 Weird. Have some mammatus just to my south with these snow pellets. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 15, 2020 Share Posted November 15, 2020 9 minutes ago, dendrite said: Weird. Have some mammatus just to my south with these snow pellets. Evap cooling cause that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 15, 2020 Share Posted November 15, 2020 12 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Evap cooling cause that? Yeah most likely. We’ve been seeing the evapo cooling in the mid levels today with these snow pellets and sleet making it to the ground despite 2m temps near 40°. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 15, 2020 Share Posted November 15, 2020 22 minutes ago, dendrite said: Yeah most likely. We’ve been seeing the evapo cooling in the mid levels today with these snow pellets and sleet making it to the ground despite 2m temps near 40°. Yeah the sleet and snow makes sense, it’s in the 20s at 3-4000ft up here. MMNV1 has been 24-27F all day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted November 15, 2020 Share Posted November 15, 2020 Wet snow and slop out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 15, 2020 Share Posted November 15, 2020 12 minutes ago, PhineasC said: Wet snow and slop out there. Nice I was wondering if you’d start as snow. What’s your wind doing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted November 15, 2020 Share Posted November 15, 2020 35°, wind and rain. Pretty miserable night to be out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted November 15, 2020 Share Posted November 15, 2020 7 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Nice I was wondering if you’d start as snow. What’s your wind doing? Blowing. LOL 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted November 16, 2020 Share Posted November 16, 2020 Some mixed precip here but the wind is crazy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 16, 2020 Share Posted November 16, 2020 46 minutes ago, PhineasC said: Blowing. LOL Ha I set myself up for that. Can you tell a direction? That’s one of my biggest associations to make with various weather in the mountains... wind direction. If wind blows from this direction, this is usually the outcome, etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted November 16, 2020 Share Posted November 16, 2020 3 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Ha I set myself up for that. Can you tell a direction? That’s one of my biggest associations to make with various weather in the mountains... wind direction. If wind blows from this direction, this is usually the outcome, etc. SSE, at the moment. 20-25 mph. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 16, 2020 Share Posted November 16, 2020 40 minutes ago, PhineasC said: SSE, at the moment. 20-25 mph. Yeah based on BML I figured you were getting some good downslope winds there considering the Presidentials in your southern backyard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted November 16, 2020 Share Posted November 16, 2020 It's just relentlessly pouring and the winds are howling. Had some gloppy rain earlier. It looked like all rain, but when I was driving and using windshield wipers, it was actually slushy. I wonder what the presidentials will look like when this clears? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bwt3650 Posted November 16, 2020 Share Posted November 16, 2020 12 hours ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: That jay peak base spot is silly Is that a condo on the mountain 2k or just nearby around 1700-1800’ or so We have a condo on the mountain. We are about a half mile in from 242, at about 1850‘ or so. When you are from NJ winters looking for snow, go big or go home. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted November 16, 2020 Share Posted November 16, 2020 Absolute chaos on my cam right now. It’s windy and nasty out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bwt3650 Posted November 16, 2020 Share Posted November 16, 2020 10 hours ago, powderfreak said: It's pretty buried on the BTV site, but it's under the Mansfield MesoNet page: https://www.weather.gov/btv/profile Under the temperature profile graph, there are Froude Model Forecasts. I'm a big fan of the 4km northern Greens as that's the most applicable. When it tries to blend in all of the Greens it gets noisy. Good stuff, thanks. So flow looks good and 850s drop to decent ratio levels, but not a ton of moisture? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted November 16, 2020 Share Posted November 16, 2020 Other than the midweek cold shot, not much exciting weather going on. I hope next weekend and beyond trends to cold with snow chances. Kind of a disappointing month so far. Wet and mild. December will be here before we know it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 16, 2020 Share Posted November 16, 2020 Some white up there this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted November 16, 2020 Share Posted November 16, 2020 37 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Some white up there this morning. Nice PF, thanks for the visual update. There’s nothing new to report down here in the valley aside from the trace of sleet and snow that I mentioned earlier. That’s not too surprising with the current temperatures, and indeed the snow line looks pretty high. I do see flakes flying down at 2,100’ at Bolton’s main base, and there’s a coating of white up above 3,000’ at Vista. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 16, 2020 Share Posted November 16, 2020 4 hours ago, PhineasC said: Other than the midweek cold shot, not much exciting weather going on. I hope next weekend and beyond trends to cold with snow chances. Kind of a disappointing month so far. Wet and mild. December will be here before we know it. The one eyed pig ...better leave by early December on models I planned on escaping SNE winters with frequent trips ...now I would have to drive to Hudson Bay Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted November 16, 2020 Share Posted November 16, 2020 22 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: The one eyed pig ...better leave by early December on models I planned on escaping SNE winters with frequent trips ...now I would have to drive to Hudson Bay Yeah, mid to upper 30s and rain showers is not really what I was hoping for in Randolph. Basically just a colder version of what I get in MD... Hope it changes soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted November 16, 2020 Share Posted November 16, 2020 38 minutes ago, PhineasC said: Yeah, mid to upper 30s and rain showers is not really what I was hoping for in Randolph. Basically just a colder version of what I get in MD... Hope it changes soon. It's November. Relax. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 16, 2020 Share Posted November 16, 2020 Been getting rounds of snow showers and graupel here at 1,500ft. No accumulation except the last graupel shower was enough to whiten the mulch beds lol. It still isn’t that cold out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 16, 2020 Share Posted November 16, 2020 44 minutes ago, PhineasC said: Yeah, mid to upper 30s and rain showers is not really what I was hoping for in Randolph. Basically just a colder version of what I get in MD... Hope it changes soon. We might have over-sold it, but despite the snowfall averages we still see plenty of crap weather. It’s not all candy canes and snow pillow gum drops from October to May. You’ll see this even in mid-winter in a bad pattern where it’s a 2,500ft snow level spitting mixed crap and windy. Looks like we have plenty of chances over the next ten days to straddle the line between puke and snow showers lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted November 16, 2020 Share Posted November 16, 2020 44 minutes ago, alex said: It's November. Relax. 42 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Been getting rounds of snow showers and graupel here at 1,500ft. No accumulation except the last graupel shower was enough to whiten the mulch beds lol. It still isn’t that cold out. LOL I know. Hopefully some of these upcoming marginal events break right for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted November 16, 2020 Share Posted November 16, 2020 15 minutes ago, PhineasC said: LOL I know. Hopefully some of these upcoming marginal events break right for us. The past couple of years we've had exceptionally early snowpack, but it seems to me on my limited data that true snowpack building usually starts around Thanksgiving and not until early to mid December in lower elevations like Bartlett and North Conway 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted November 16, 2020 Share Posted November 16, 2020 1 hour ago, powderfreak said: Been getting rounds of snow showers and graupel here at 1,500ft. No accumulation except the last graupel shower was enough to whiten the mulch beds lol. It still isn’t that cold out. It’s been very similar here to what you’re seeing, and we were able to get our first measurable accumulation out of this system down here in the valley. In our case it was sleet (it seemed way to dense to be graupel), but similarly, it’s the sort of stuff that can survive the flight down into the warmer air from above. The boys and I were out splitting some wood and got hit with some rounds of frozen, with one round hitting the 0.1” threshold for accumulation. It looks like there are additional chances for snow/frozen into Wednesday as the models had suggested. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted November 16, 2020 Share Posted November 16, 2020 59 minutes ago, alex said: The past couple of years we've had exceptionally early snowpack, but it seems to me on my limited data that true snowpack building usually starts around Thanksgiving and not until early to mid December in lower elevations like Bartlett and North Conway It has been early the last couple of years. I am usually teaching a snowmobile safety course the first Saturday in December and that seems to be around the time we start having snow stick around usually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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