Voyager Posted November 11, 2020 Share Posted November 11, 2020 4 hours ago, canderson said: "Winter" 2019-2020 redux coming up? I'd be very happy with that! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted November 11, 2020 Share Posted November 11, 2020 2 minutes ago, Voyager said: I'd be very happy with that! I know you're still in rehab, but once cleared do you have a trucking job you're seeking to go back to by chance? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted November 11, 2020 Share Posted November 11, 2020 6 minutes ago, canderson said: I know you're still in rehab, but once cleared do you have a trucking job you're seeking to go back to by chance? NAPA Transportation out of Mechanicsburg is interested, but I'm going to look at some others as well. I don't have a good place to park a truck, so I'd like to find one with a terminal closer in if possible. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 11, 2020 Share Posted November 11, 2020 Approaching the 1" mark for storm total rainfall... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted November 12, 2020 Share Posted November 12, 2020 4 hours ago, Voyager said: NAPA Transportation out of Mechanicsburg is interested, but I'm going to look at some others as well. I don't have a good place to park a truck, so I'd like to find one with a terminal closer in if possible. I hear @sauss06 has access to fire engines he can use as your Uber. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted November 12, 2020 Share Posted November 12, 2020 1 hour ago, canderson said: I hear @sauss06 has access to fire engines he can use as your Uber. That would work. He could turn on the red, spinning lights and get me home quickly...lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted November 12, 2020 Share Posted November 12, 2020 Finally a good rainstorm in this area today that drew a half decent response on the local streams. Actually overachieved in the portion of PA that needs it the most by the looks of the totals CTP received (map thru 6pm tonight) with a stripe of 1.5-2+" up the center of the state. It is still stupid warm out at this hour at 63ºF degrees to go with the pretty much 100% humidity and fog. The 2 inch snowfall i received on the morning of the 2nd feels about as distant of a memory as last year with the past week's stretch of warm weather. Can't remember a stretch of November weather that was so warm with a couple days in the past week up around 75ºF or so. That's just about as warm as it can possibly get this time of the year around here. Certainly the opposite of the past couple mid Novembers, which were quite cold. I know we did cash in the early cold in 2018 with the big snowstorm but that setup doesn't come around too often. I'd rather be in the thick of this significant above average regime now than 3-4 weeks from now. We still look to linger somewhat above average to close out this week even with the passage of today's system. However, the next system slated for around Monday looks to finally send some late November/early Dec caliber chill into the region next week. Overall not really seeing anything yet on the models I'm particularly excited about in terms of anything noteworthy that sticks quite yet. There's cold opportunities but it's transient looking. We've been working a pretty strong +AO/NAO and -PNA which helped contribute to the cause of the very warm weather here. Model progs take the edge off that regime a bit but still keeping the AO/NAO positive and PNA somewhat negative. MJO working phase 8-1- possibly 2, which sounds good but this time of the year phase 8 and 1 equate differently. Using OND data, phase 8 is a bit of a tossup and phase 1 skews warm on the east coast while colder over the rest of the country. These two phases show more warmth with the SON data, which arguably might be the better one to apply right now given the late tropical activity and warmer than average waters in the Atlantic and Gulf. MJO may get into phase 2, which is a colder phase in either SON or OND.. so that might lend some support for such things. But otherwise, while we're going to finally trend colder starting next week.. I'm not seeing an established legit winter pattern emerging quite yet. And given we're still just getting into mid November, that's fine. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted November 12, 2020 Share Posted November 12, 2020 Nice write up Mag, thanks! I'm happy to get some rain before we get into winter. Checked my rain gauge at 4:30 yesterday afternoon. Got 1.18" of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted November 12, 2020 Share Posted November 12, 2020 thx Mag. Great stuff as always. Yeah, as we dont seemingly have an abundance of cold anymore, lets not "waste" it when its just an anomaly. Step down starting next week is fine /w me/us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 12, 2020 Share Posted November 12, 2020 39 minutes ago, pasnownut said: thx Mag. Great stuff as always. Yeah, as we dont seemingly have an abundance of cold anymore, lets not "waste" it when its just an anomaly. Step down starting next week is fine /w me/us. I was thinking about this the other day when it was 77 degrees...as nice as it was, there was nothing to suggest that wintry weather was remotely close. If we can get temps knocked back down at least close to normal, we can start having realistic conversations about what we really want to talk about. And in mid-November that's where we want to be. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted November 12, 2020 Share Posted November 12, 2020 33 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: I was thinking about this the other day when it was 77 degrees...as nice as it was, there was nothing to suggest that wintry weather was remotely close. If we can get temps knocked back down at least close to normal, we can start having realistic conversations about what we really want to talk about. And in mid-November that's where we want to be. cant agree more. Will be nice to have some holiday weather around the holidays, as we need whatever we can get to boost ones spirits right now. What a truely F'd up year in so so sooooo many ways....... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheDreamTraveler Posted November 13, 2020 Share Posted November 13, 2020 The outlook for this winter looks pretty mild. Obviously these things can be wrong and it just takes a lucky setup to give us a huge snowstorm but it's not looking great. Remember the 2011-2012 winter during our last huge la nina? I wouldn't be surprised if this current la nina does something like that either this winter or next winter. Depends how long and how strong it stays but right now it's making its way to being the strongest since the 2010-12 la nina Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 13, 2020 Share Posted November 13, 2020 Looking more and more likely that those of us who have yet to have our first freeze will get on the board next week. Euro showing highs in the upper 30s with lows in the mid 20s midweek. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted November 13, 2020 Share Posted November 13, 2020 One year ago this morning while I was picking up a church group in Mountain Top... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted November 13, 2020 Share Posted November 13, 2020 1 hour ago, Voyager said: One year ago this morning while I was picking up a church group in Mountain Top... This was the biggest storm and coldest day of the season! 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 13, 2020 Share Posted November 13, 2020 Well at least it feels closer to November weather today than the September weather we've been experiencing. As Nut says "let's step it down..." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted November 14, 2020 Share Posted November 14, 2020 6 hours ago, Itstrainingtime said: Well at least it feels closer to November weather today than the September weather we've been experiencing. As Nut says "let's step it down..." Yes indeed! Our time is coming soon. In the meantime, let’s step it down... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted November 14, 2020 Share Posted November 14, 2020 And so it begins...! The 12z Euro shows an early Thanksgiving week snow chance for CTP. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted November 14, 2020 Share Posted November 14, 2020 The 0z GFS was too good to not post! This is what it showed last night for Thanksgiving week. Dream a little dream.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 14, 2020 Share Posted November 14, 2020 The fall of Penn State football this year is numbing...4 weeks ago at this time the experts projected the Lions as a potential playoff team. Weather observation- it is a spectacular fall Saturday! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted November 14, 2020 Share Posted November 14, 2020 Man, it’s a beautiful day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted November 14, 2020 Share Posted November 14, 2020 Going to windy tomorrow - ridges might peak close to 55. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted November 14, 2020 Share Posted November 14, 2020 The fall of Penn State football this year is numbing...4 weeks ago at this time the experts projected the Lions as a potential playoff team. Weather observation- it is a spectacular fall Saturday!Good.I’m a Pitt fan.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 14, 2020 Share Posted November 14, 2020 23 minutes ago, Superstorm said: Good. I’m a Pitt fan. . I'm sorry to hear that. At least last year Pitt kept it close. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted November 15, 2020 Share Posted November 15, 2020 So far this frontal passage has ripped through Ohio to the tune of almost 200k without power via First Energy"s outage map, and some outages starting to appear in western PA. Currently receiving some heavy rain just out ahead of the frontal line itself... which is moving rapidly and likely to be here in the next hour or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 15, 2020 Share Posted November 15, 2020 38 minutes ago, MAG5035 said: So far this frontal passage has ripped through Ohio to the tune of almost 200k without power via First Energy"s outage map, and some outages starting to appear in western PA. Currently receiving some heavy rain just out ahead of the frontal line itself... which is moving rapidly and likely to be here in the next hour or so. Watching this thing move east right along with you. Any chance of lightning with the squall line? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted November 15, 2020 Share Posted November 15, 2020 39 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Watching this thing move east right along with you. Any chance of lightning with the squall line? Doesn't look like it but can't rule out a strike or two. There may be a bit of extra instability in eastern PA. There was lightning early with the portion of the line that tracked through northern Ohio with the better dynamics in the Great Lakes region. Front arrived with broken line of showers but have had some good wind gusts. Neighbor across the street just lost a tree about 15 min ago. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheDreamTraveler Posted November 15, 2020 Share Posted November 15, 2020 wasn't expecting a severe thunderstorm warning ontop of the wind advisory. calling for 60mph here. that front really got its act together once it got to central Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anduril Posted November 15, 2020 Share Posted November 15, 2020 As normal, north and south of camp hill/harrisburg looks to walloped but not so much here :p already sounds like the rains cut down vs the driving rain a minute or two ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted November 15, 2020 Share Posted November 15, 2020 24 minutes ago, Anduril said: As normal, north and south of camp hill/harrisburg looks to walloped but not so much here :p already sounds like the rains cut down vs the driving rain a minute or two ago Can confirm. We will get some wind here shortly but that line did nothing here except some decent rain. The mountain split really can disturb storms locally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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