CAPE Posted September 9, 2020 Share Posted September 9, 2020 Marginal risk of excessive rain for the area over the next couple days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted September 9, 2020 Share Posted September 9, 2020 Just now, CAPE said: Marginal risk of excessive rain for the area over the next couple days. Pretty good slug of moisture moving into Southern MD. Interesting to see how much of that makes it up our way. Could be a rainy day if it makes it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted September 9, 2020 Share Posted September 9, 2020 23 minutes ago, dailylurker said: Pretty good slug of moisture moving into Southern MD. Interesting to see how much of that makes it up our way. Could be a rainy day if it makes it. Yeah the air mass is going to really juice up with the SE flow between the Atlantic ridge and that trough off the SE coast- PW nearing 2". There is some mid/upper level support, including a strong jet, but its not clear where any area(s) of low level convergence may set up, and thus where the heaviest rain will be. Seems like S MD and up along the lower bay has the highest probability for our region today, but the mesos generally keep much of the activity down in eastern VA and offshore. That seems to make sense given the location of the trough. Tomorrow looks like the better day across guidance for more widespread heavy rain in our area with the front moving into the juicy air mass in place. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted September 9, 2020 Share Posted September 9, 2020 Speaking of the front, it looks to become stationary just to our south. We may be entering into a pretty wet period. Mount Holly's take- Big changes come on Sunday. The stationary front south of the region lifts north as a warm front. Meanwhile, H5 trough passes through the Great Lakes and passes through the Ohio Valley before lifting north into the Northeast and eastern Canada. Surface low pressure develops around the Mason-Dixon line and lifts to the northeast Sunday afternoon and Sunday evening. Periods of moderate to locally heavy rain are possible, as surface dew points climb back into the 70s. After the surface low departs, the cold front passes through Sunday night, and once again becomes nearly stationary over the Mid- Atlantic. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted September 9, 2020 Share Posted September 9, 2020 Euro is really juicy for the next 48-60 hours. Other models less enthused. Most of the disagreement is on today. Euro rains over the metro corridor all afternoon into the overnight while gfs is mostly dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted September 9, 2020 Share Posted September 9, 2020 5 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Euro is really juicy for the next 48-60 hours. Other models less enthused. Most of the disagreement is on today. Euro rains over the metro corridor all afternoon into the overnight while gfs is mostly dry. While I know you cannot advect radar, the regional mosaic appears to be lighting up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Herb@MAWS Posted September 9, 2020 Share Posted September 9, 2020 Glad I squeezed in a lawnmowing this morning. Grass needed cutting. Finished 11:00am, before the rain, granted grass had some water droplets from last nite which did not have a chance to fully evaporate this morning. But certainly not too wet to mow Now am watching my neighbor trying to mow in the rain at 1:15pm. A decent rainshower here has begun. Neighbor had to call it quits at 1:30. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted September 9, 2020 Share Posted September 9, 2020 I'd love to see what the models actually look like today, as WPC has some big totals for our area in the next 24 hours and a SLGT risk for flash flooding overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted September 9, 2020 Share Posted September 9, 2020 Looks like another rain event for - where else - southern Maryland! I might get a few sprinkles up this way. NBD though as I watered the flower gardens good today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted September 9, 2020 Share Posted September 9, 2020 Picked up one brief downpour so far today. 0.16" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted September 9, 2020 Share Posted September 9, 2020 Beyond tonight... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted September 9, 2020 Share Posted September 9, 2020 We soak Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted September 9, 2020 Share Posted September 9, 2020 1 minute ago, JakkelWx said: We soak Already 5.5" for the month here. An inch or so would be fine. Not 3 or 4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vice-Regent Posted September 9, 2020 Share Posted September 9, 2020 Homebrew right offshore? Let's roll out for the king. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted September 9, 2020 Share Posted September 9, 2020 2 hours ago, CAPE said: Picked up one brief downpour so far today. 0.16" .21” for me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted September 9, 2020 Share Posted September 9, 2020 3 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: 3k is bone dry thru tomorrow morning here Been a perfect weather day here. Mid 70s and sunny. Currently 70/66 under sunny skies. Sitting on the deck getting some work done. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted September 9, 2020 Share Posted September 9, 2020 Solid downpour here atm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted September 9, 2020 Share Posted September 9, 2020 It's been raining on and off all day here in the AA county rainforest. I can hear it coming down pretty good as I type. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted September 10, 2020 Share Posted September 10, 2020 Yay more flash flood watches 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDM Posted September 10, 2020 Share Posted September 10, 2020 Picked up a quick .91" over the last 30 mins. Was a torrent for about 20 mins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southmdwatcher Posted September 10, 2020 Share Posted September 10, 2020 Radar is just ugly for southern MD once again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted September 10, 2020 Share Posted September 10, 2020 0.33" since yesterday afternoon. Hoping the heaviest rain misses here today. I have a new section of grass seedlings popping up. They wont appreciate being pounded by torrential rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted September 10, 2020 Share Posted September 10, 2020 Evidently we got pounded overnight. Local data suggests anywhere from 2.25 to 2.75”. Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted September 10, 2020 Share Posted September 10, 2020 Just a shower out this way. 0.07 overnight in Purcellville Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted September 10, 2020 Share Posted September 10, 2020 Got basically nothing overnight. Pretty big modeling bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted September 10, 2020 Share Posted September 10, 2020 3 hours ago, southmdwatcher said: Radar is just ugly for southern MD once again. And for central MD, for the opposite reason. Glad I watered yesterday. I knew. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted September 10, 2020 Share Posted September 10, 2020 Looks like everything is sliding off just to the northeast of us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted September 10, 2020 Share Posted September 10, 2020 Rain made it right up to my yard then slid off to the east and NE. Hrrr is basically a few showers for everyone except Southern MD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted September 10, 2020 Share Posted September 10, 2020 LOL point-and-click forecast for my area has new rainfall of between .5 and .75 inch today and .25 to .5 inch tonight. Uh hard no, unless they meant millimeters. Man is it humid though! Went for a walk and maybe I'll stop sweating by noon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted September 10, 2020 Share Posted September 10, 2020 The stuff this morning is round one. Round two comes later with the cold front moving through. Places NW of I-95 should get in on that action. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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