SnoJoe Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 Just had a gust of 44. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sw NC weather Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 Still quite a bit of variation between models but most show most of WNC getting at least a dusting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sw NC weather Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 The 0z GEFS has a mean of 4-8 inches for most of WNC it’s been consistently showing more than anything else. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sw NC weather Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 And now the 0z CMC follows suit and comes in snowier. This is starting to get interesting! 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Local Yokel Wx Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 We'll see and pick up snow Thursday afternoon/overnight but the temps on Christmas Day will be brutal (not end of the world cold, but our first real slap in the face cold for the season). Our first foray into single digits territory is likely for our higher elevation folks. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 22, 2020 Author Share Posted December 22, 2020 14 minutes ago, Local Yokel Wx said: We'll see and pick up snow Thursday afternoon/overnight but the temps on Christmas Day will be brutal (not end of the world cold, but our first real slap in the face cold for the season). Our first foray into single digits territory is likely for our higher elevation folks. Yep thinking the same thing. This will be colder than just about anything we saw last year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 Nice model spread regarding snowfall on the overnight models. Euro with the lowest for KAVL at 1” with GFS being the higher end 3”+. I hate forecasting these type fronts, but it seems the changeover could happen just as the sun is setting on Christmas Eve night. Timing is going to be key, and whatever falls will be on the ground for Christmas morning IMO. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherlover Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 I have been watching the beech mountain WebCam for the past two or three weeks and it seems like snow has been on the ground continuously for the past couple of weeks… 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 I can tell you that the northern slope on my property has had patches of snow on it since Dec. 1 where the drifts were. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 GFS looks warmer. CMC looks cooler. We shall see! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Local Yokel Wx Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 5 hours ago, Hvward said: Nice model spread regarding snowfall on the overnight models. Euro with the lowest for KAVL at 1” with GFS being the higher end 3”+. I hate forecasting these type fronts, but it seems the changeover could happen just as the sun is setting on Christmas Eve night. Timing is going to be key, and whatever falls will be on the ground for Christmas morning IMO. I second that notion (motion). All those in favor say aye... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 22, 2020 Author Share Posted December 22, 2020 Ill tell you one thing. No matter how much snow we get its going to be brutally cold. I venture to say we could have highs around 10 and possibly lows around zero. My high for Friday is down to 18.... I love it. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 I am wondering if there will still be any snow falling up there on Christmas morning. Either way it would be nice to see some on the ground. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 Ill tell you one thing. No matter how much snow we get its going to be brutally cold. I venture to say we could have highs around 10 and possibly lows around zero. My high for Friday is down to 18.... I love it.I was just about to say the same thing. Wind and snow Friday and a high of 14° for me. Ouch. I may wait to venture up top until Saturday. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 6 minutes ago, Maggie Ace said: It should be an interesting 24 hours in model world as they attempt to resolve this complicated mess. I am a bit concerned about flash freezing as temperatures rapidly crash all the way to the Valley floor Thursday afternoon/evening. My hunch is we may see a couple of hours of heavier rates Thursday evening with a lull late night before NWFS develops into Christmas morning. Perhaps another round of heavier snow showers Christmas Day as the cold upper trough with some vort action moves across the Mountains. The meso guidance should be interesting to monitor on Thursday. we plan on a drive to Banner Elk or so. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 Noted the 18z GEFS upped totals for much of the foothills. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 4 hours ago, eyewall said: I am wondering if there will still be any snow falling up there on Christmas morning. Either way it would be nice to see some on the ground. I would say probably. Looks like there's going to be a pretty decent flow behind this. I see us having some decent showers all the way to evening. It'll squeeze out every molecule with such a cold air mass. It almost always last longer than what people think or forecast. So come on up! Eat, shop, spend the night, we need the money up here. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 23, 2020 Author Share Posted December 23, 2020 35 minutes ago, SnoJoe said: I would say probably. Looks like there's going to be a pretty decent flow behind this. I see us having some decent showers all the way to evening. It'll squeeze out every molecule with such a cold air mass. It almost always last longer than what people think or forecast. So come on up! Eat, shop, spend the night, we need the money up here. This is an airmass we could see diamond dust falling in. Been awhile since we have seen that. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 This is an airmass we could see diamond dust falling in. Been awhile since we have seen that.Yeah the dendritic growth zone is going to be between 4500’-7000’ on Xmas Morning. The flow could continue on into the morning on For many. Snow showers will make themselves with the growth zone that low. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mclean02 Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 1 hour ago, Hvward said: 2 hours ago, Met1985 said: This is an airmass we could see diamond dust falling in. Been awhile since we have seen that. Yeah the dendritic growth zone is going to be between 4500’-7000’ on Xmas Morning. The flow could continue on into the morning on For many. Snow showers will make themselves with the growth zone that low. Was thinking about booking a place in boone but not sure if I should pick there or banner elk for my first snow ❄️ tracking of the year. Does anyone know which is best for nw flow snow ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 11 minutes ago, mclean02 said: Was thinking about booking a place in boone but not sure if I should pick there or banner elk for my first snow ❄️ tracking of the year. Does anyone know which is best for nw flow snow ? Pick a base camp and drive to see the best snow. It varies widely but you don't have to go far wherever you stay. Then, just enjoy the town you're in. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 Pick a base camp and drive to see the best snow. It varies widely but you don't have to go far wherever you stay. Then, just enjoy the town you're in. So pick Boone! . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 Several models showing the flow switching from a WNW to a true NW late in the day on Chirstmas with a strong batch of moisture moving off of the Great Lakes. With temps as cold as they are projected, many will see snow flurries and showers throughout the day on Christmas and into the evening hours. 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 Several models showing the flow switching from a WNW to a true NW late in the day on Chirstmas with a strong batch of moisture moving off of the Great Lakes. With temps as cold as they are projected, many will see snow flurries and showers throughout the day on Christmas and into the evening hours. I see Morristown NWS has already hoisted a Winter Storm Watch on their side of the border. Things are looking up! Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mwp1023 Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 Heading up tomorrow morning to the cabin to see if we can catch a white Christmas. I am only @2500 feet and right by the Lump off the parkway. Even if we don't get anything on the ground it would be nice to see snow in the air on Christmas day. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 Looks like we are on to take a quick trip to Banner Elk for Christmas morning 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 HRRR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 GFS increased totals again. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 We won't see any accumulation here but it's only a short drive to Linville! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 HEAVY SNOW POSSIBLE THURSDAY EVENING OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA ALONG THE TENNESSEE BORDER... NCZ033-048>050-240100- /O.NEW.KGSP.WS.A.0002.201224T2100Z-201225T1100Z/ Avery-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell- Including the cities of Ingalls, Banner Elk, Newland, Faust, Mars Hill, Marshall, Walnut, Allenstand, Hot Springs, Luck, Swiss, Burnsville, Celo, Micaville, Ramseytown, Busick, Spruce Pine, and Poplar 1150 AM EST Wed Dec 23 2020 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 5 inches possible. Winds could gust as high as 40 mph. * WHERE...Avery, Madison, Yancey and Mitchell Counties. * WHEN...From Thursday afternoon through late Thursday night. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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