jburns Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 10 hours ago, Hammer said: Question for those of you who live in this area... I am heading up on Tuesday night to ski Wednesday and Thursday. What am I heading into? . Pro If you wear an insulated wetsuit, some good gloves and shorten the rope to about 20 feet you should barely be able to see the boat and have a good time. 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowbird1230 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 13 hours ago, Hammer said: Question for those of you who live in this area... I am heading up on Tuesday night to ski Wednesday and Thursday. What am I heading into? . Pro Slop...cancel trip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 12z HRRR. showing some nasty zr totals along the escarpment tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mercurydime Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Did I hear thunder this morning, or am I experiencing some kind of cabin fever-induced auditory hallucinations? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 15, 2021 Author Share Posted February 15, 2021 Well we are having multiple models that are starting to come into agreement about what could happen Thursday. The 18z GFS just hammers us with snow and some ice. We have some other models that are showing wintery precipitation of some sort that will affect us Thursday. Stay tuned as things may become active very quickly. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Just now, Met1985 said: Well we are having multiple models that are starting to come into agreement about what could happen Thursday. The 18z GFS just hammers us with snow and some ice. We have some other models that are showing wintery precipitation of some sort that will affect us Thursday. Stay tuned as things may become active very quickly. A couple of models have had a run or so with a front end thump of snow, the GFS one upped everyone else in that regard which will be interesting going into the 0z model suite tonight. Thursday actually has me a bit nervous and may actually take a second trip to Walmart if some of these potential ice amounts look to verify. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 I'd take this in a heartbeat. But the way the models are now a days it could be sunny and 60 degrees. Hopefully we'll get some clarity by Wednesday afternoon. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 If this wave continues to trend flatter and the confluence trends stronger/slower watch out 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxKnurd Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 I’m up in Roanoke til next week so y’all will obviously score lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 I'd take this in a heartbeat. But the way the models are now a days it could be sunny and 60 degrees. Hopefully we'll get some clarity by Wednesday afternoon. Just having frozen mud again will be nice. That much snow would fill the ruts in nicely!Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 15, 2021 Author Share Posted February 15, 2021 19 minutes ago, WxKnurd said: I’m up in Roanoke til next week so y’all will obviously score lol Yep it will happen then. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 RGEM is nasty. About the best way I know to put it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxKnurd Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 1 hour ago, Met1985 said: Yep it will happen then. According to my wife, this is correct haha 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 2 hours ago, SnoJoe said: I'd take this in a heartbeat. But the way the models are now a days it could be sunny and 60 degrees. Hopefully we'll get some clarity by Wednesday afternoon. What is this "sunny" thing that you speak of? Please elaborate. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 16, 2021 Author Share Posted February 16, 2021 8 minutes ago, Maggie Ace said: So now we have a SPS for Black Ice in the morning. I thought that the Arctic air was never going to make it over those 6000 ft mountains! Lol I just read that! Im like WTF?! Temps dropping rapidly all of a sudden and rain changing to snow tonight... This weather be crazy... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 16, 2021 Author Share Posted February 16, 2021 The forecast is all over the place. We got thunderstorms! We got high winds, rapidly falling temps, black ice, wintery mix, snow, rain, more snow. Lets just throw the kitchen sink at it and see what sticks.... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 WAA at the house big time last hour. Up from 38 to 44 and breezy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 2 minutes ago, Tyler Penland said: WAA at the house big time last hour. Up from 38 to 44 and breezy. I'm still 37 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 I'm still 37 lol We're back down to 39.2. It was the weirdest thing. Got a little more breezy but no notable wind direction change. Went from 36 to 45 back down to 39 in the past hour. Not sure how to zoom this in and keep the units on the side. Edit: down to 37.2 4 minutes later. Feels/sounds eerie outside. Edit: 36.0 now (11 minutes since 37.2, freefall slowing down) Another edit to add the pressure data. Saw a small pressure spike at the same time as well as very heavy rainfall. I gotta say I love having this station. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 3km NAM 00z Sunday was actually pretty spot on or slightly warmer with temps for this morning which is a bit concerning. I do NOT want ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Seeing some nice flurry/light snow action this morning. Nice to see something besides rain. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Currently 23° in Wolf with peeks of sun and flurries. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 16, 2021 Author Share Posted February 16, 2021 Finally the sun is out! Clear with a temp of 29. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 16, 2021 Author Share Posted February 16, 2021 I think we see advisories issued for Haywood south and a watch issued from Buncombe north. I just don't see this being a great storm for the southern mountains. Not with another CAD storm. Personally im getting sick of these cad events. Id like to see a Miller A run straight through the heart of the state... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 16, 2021 Author Share Posted February 16, 2021 Lol I spoke too soon. Just as GSP issues WSW for basically everyone except for the southern most counties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 18z NAM looks like pure hell here. I do not want that much ice. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 16, 2021 Author Share Posted February 16, 2021 Just now, BretWx said: 18z NAM looks like pure hell here. I do not want that much ice. Yeah no thanks on the ice. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 I'm going to go get some supplies. It doesn't look good here and I have a young child 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Just now, wncsnow said: I'm going to go get some supplies. It doesn't look good here and I have a young child Same here. Need some gas for the generators and some propane for the porch heater, haha. Even .25-3 of ice would be awful. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 16, 2021 Author Share Posted February 16, 2021 Just now, wncsnow said: I'm going to go get some supplies. It doesn't look good here and I have a young child I would just to be safe. Even though we are under a wsw here I still think we get minimal winter weather before it turns to rain. You on the other hand look locked and loaded for some ice for sure. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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