eyewall Posted October 9, 2020 Share Posted October 9, 2020 My favorite shot from the other day (click to see the full color version as this site dulls images): 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted October 10, 2020 Author Share Posted October 10, 2020 Awesome eyewall! Thank you for sharing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted October 10, 2020 Share Posted October 10, 2020 This is the first year I've caught the leaf change at Linn Cove even though I've been in WNC for 5 years. I can't believe I've been putting that off.Just WOW. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted October 10, 2020 Share Posted October 10, 2020 4 hours ago, Buckethead said: This is the first year I've caught the leaf change at Linn Cove even though I've been in WNC for 5 years. I can't believe I've been putting that off. Just WOW. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Very nice! I plan on going back Wednesday and I hope that isn't too late there for the absolute peak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sw NC weather Posted October 12, 2020 Share Posted October 12, 2020 Was really surprised more leaves didn’t come off with last nights heavy rain and wind. Should be shaping up for a beautiful viewing week down this way. On a side night delta storm total of 3.37” here puts me over the 70” mark for the third year in a row. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GoAPPS Posted October 12, 2020 Share Posted October 12, 2020 Near Mt. Pisgah from last Tuesday. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted October 12, 2020 Share Posted October 12, 2020 I decided to hit the Linn cove area today because of the fog and everything and it is amazing! Definitely peaking here 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted October 12, 2020 Author Share Posted October 12, 2020 18z bringing in some upslope snows in about 10 days! This weekend we will bring the coldest temps of the season. Enjoy this week. It will be beautiful. Leaf season is looking spectacular. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted October 13, 2020 Share Posted October 13, 2020 October 12th (click for the full color image as this site dulls them): 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted October 13, 2020 Share Posted October 13, 2020 A pair of ground shots from Linn Cove (Again click for the full quality and color): 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted October 14, 2020 Author Share Posted October 14, 2020 Going to be cold tonight. Temp already down to 45 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted October 14, 2020 Share Posted October 14, 2020 6 hours ago, eyewall said: A pair of ground shots from Linn Cove (Again click for the full quality and color): My wife and I took a day trip today thanks to your photos. It was a beautiful day and the colors were the best in several years. It was nice to get out of the house for a while. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted October 14, 2020 Author Share Posted October 14, 2020 Temp down to 35 this morning! This is more like it! The GFS and Euro are worlds apart on the pattern in the mid to long range. Im hedging towards the GFS currently. It has been steadier than the euro this Fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted October 14, 2020 Author Share Posted October 14, 2020 Just dipped down to 34 with some patchy frost. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted October 14, 2020 Share Posted October 14, 2020 Temp down to 35 this morning! This is more like it! The GFS and Euro are worlds apart on the pattern in the mid to long range. Im hedging towards the GFS currently. It has been steadier than the euro this Fall.I dropped to 49° just after midnight but have since warmed up to 55°. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sw NC weather Posted October 14, 2020 Share Posted October 14, 2020 Got down to 37 here, way colder than I was expecting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted October 14, 2020 Author Share Posted October 14, 2020 1 hour ago, Buckethead said: I dropped to 49° just after midnight but have since warmed up to 55°. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk It was breezy last night. Sounds like some inversion going on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted October 14, 2020 Share Posted October 14, 2020 A couple of more (Click for full color and resolution): 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobbyC Posted October 14, 2020 Share Posted October 14, 2020 14 hours ago, Met1985 said: Temp down to 35 this morning! This is more like it! The GFS and Euro are worlds apart on the pattern in the mid to long range. Im hedging towards the GFS currently. It has been steadier than the euro this Fall. Agreed. GFS has had a better handle on the Fall pattern this year. With the cool shots we've seen this season, it seems like the Euro has failed to spot them in advance with its modeling. It hasn't been able to see "cold" in the long range. MJO is currently in Phase 4 (as of 10/12) and then goes to Phase 5 through the next week. Phase 4 is seasonable/up-down, but Phase 5 is decisively cooler than average in the Southeast for this time of year. Phases 7, 8, and 1 are the ones that are a warm pattern for this time of year while Phase 6 is transitional. Perhaps, Euro is thinking we enter into Phase 7 after a week? AO/NAO are currently negative and will be for at least the next couple weeks. This supports a cooler pattern as well in our region. Judah Cohen (in his 10/12 update) stated that the MJO signal would weaken once it entered into Phase 5, and therefore, wouldn't influence the pattern that much. So, AO/NAO would have the main influence out of those two. Given these, his outlook going to 10/27 says that our area will be in a seasonable/cool pattern overall. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted October 15, 2020 Author Share Posted October 15, 2020 Wind is starting to pick up here. Cold front will move in tonight. Going to be a fantastic leaf looking weekend then who knows. I think we go back to warm to cool, back to warm. Really this is pretty normal for this time of the year. Looks like we will be losing our blocking for a bit which is not good going forward. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted October 15, 2020 Share Posted October 15, 2020 I am making my last fall trip up there on Sunday for this year. Not sure what will be left but I am sure there will still be color to be found. After that, it is following it to Hanging Rock/Pilot Mountain and out this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted October 16, 2020 Share Posted October 16, 2020 There's some fantasy land eye candy on the 6z GFS around day 12. Maybe 2020 is just crazy enough? Nahhhh...Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherlover Posted October 16, 2020 Share Posted October 16, 2020 Heading to Cataloochee Sunday to see the leaves/Elk... what exit do I need to take to get there? Also, how are the leaves in that area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted October 16, 2020 Share Posted October 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, weatherlover said: Heading to Cataloochee Sunday to see the leaves/Elk... what exit do I need to take to get there? Also, how are the leaves in that area Exit 20 on I-40, turn onto Cove Creek Rd and follow the signs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted October 16, 2020 Share Posted October 16, 2020 1 hour ago, Buckethead said: There's some fantasy land eye candy on the 6z GFS around day 12. Maybe 2020 is just crazy enough? Nahhhh... Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Seems about correct to see the first flakes begin to fly. My wife's birthday is at the end of October and we always find ourselves chasing a few token flakes around that time. These were taken in 2017, which I find similar to 2020. Both were Nina years, both were wet from Summer to Early Fall, both were good color years and both seem to be trending towards a cold ending in October. I am not sure how that fares for winter, I honestly can't remember how the 2017 winter unfolded. These were taken on October 29th. We started in Bethel, NC and ended up finding snow near Max Patch. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted October 16, 2020 Share Posted October 16, 2020 Seems about correct to see the first flakes begin to fly. My wife's birthday is at the end of October and we always find ourselves chasing a few token flakes around that time. These were taken in 2017, which I find similar to 2020. Both were Nina years, both were wet from Summer to Early Fall, both were good color years and both seem to be trending towards a cold ending in October. I am not sure how that fares for winter, I honestly can't remember how the 2017 winter unfolded. These were taken on October 29th. We started in Bethel, NC and ended up finding snow near Max Patch. Yeah, it's totally normal up here in Wolf, but its in the long range and we're supposed to mock fantasy land snowstorms, right? My tune will change if its still showing up in a week. I took this here on 10/29/17.Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted October 16, 2020 Share Posted October 16, 2020 18 minutes ago, Buckethead said: Yeah, it's totally normal up here in Wolf, but its in the long range and we're supposed to mock fantasy land snowstorms, right? My tune will change if its still showing up in a week. I took this here on 10/29/17. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk I’ll leave the mocking to flatlanders, we welcome any blue that wants to show up on a map, no matter how far out. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sw NC weather Posted October 16, 2020 Share Posted October 16, 2020 Freeze warning up for me. About right on average mid October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted October 16, 2020 Author Share Posted October 16, 2020 Yep freeze warnings and Frost Advisories hoisted up! Its in the 40s here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted October 16, 2020 Share Posted October 16, 2020 Sorry if it this a touch late but here is some video of what I saw on the 12th (watch in HD): 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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