RogueWaves Posted September 13, 2020 Share Posted September 13, 2020 On 9/12/2020 at 2:12 AM, Hoosier said: No guarantees but one of the better sneak attack hurricane potentials in the Gulf in a while. Expand #michiganhurricane Quote - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Tornadoes not expected - The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment. - PLAN: Tornadoes are not expected. Showers and thunderstorms with gusty winds may still occur. - PREPARE: Little to no preparations needed to protect against tornadoes at this time. Keep informed of the latest tornado situation. - ACT: Listen for changes in the forecast. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None - Little to no potential impacts from tornadoes. Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted September 13, 2020 Author Share Posted September 13, 2020 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted September 13, 2020 Author Share Posted September 13, 2020 Exciting forecast At least there will be sun .TONIGHT...Mostly clear. Patchy fog after midnight. Lows in the mid 50s. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Patchy fog in the morning. Highs in the lower 70s. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 50. East winds 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming southeast after midnight. .TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Then temperatures falling into the mid 60s by evening. .THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. .FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the 40s. Highs in the upper 60s. .SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the lower 70s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted September 14, 2020 Share Posted September 14, 2020 On 9/13/2020 at 6:55 PM, Hoosier said: Expand Hopefully we can duplicate that precip max in about 3 months. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted September 14, 2020 Share Posted September 14, 2020 Still sitting in drought conditions out here. Only an inch of rain so far this month. Our heaviest rain was over a month ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bowtie` Posted September 14, 2020 Share Posted September 14, 2020 On 9/13/2020 at 6:55 PM, Hoosier said: Expand Yeah it is just a little parched here in my county. Another T last night which does not helps things at all. Ground is concrete hard in my yard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted September 14, 2020 Share Posted September 14, 2020 Obviously smoky in the upper levels today. I guess to many it looks like a veil of cirrus. The sun should have that tell-tale red glow again towards sunset. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted September 14, 2020 Share Posted September 14, 2020 On 9/14/2020 at 1:29 PM, purduewx80 said: Obviously smoky in the upper levels today. I guess to many it looks like a veil of cirrus. The sun should have that tell-tale red glow again towards sunset. Expand Yep. DTX just released an update about this: 000 FXUS63 KDTX 141411 AFDDTX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI 1011 AM EDT Mon Sep 14 2020 .UPDATE... Mid/upper level trajectories have taken the smoke plume from nrn California and the Pacific Northwest into the Upper Midwest and Great Lakes region. Satellite representation and visual observation suggest the high altitude smoke overhead is quite opaque. So even though some of the morning strato cu has been and will continue to dissipate, afternoon sun is going to be very filtered through the upper level smoke. This seems to suggest more or less filtered sunshine today as opposed to outright sunny skies. So an update will be issued to increase sky cover today. Otherwise, the going forecast looks reasonable. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted September 14, 2020 Author Share Posted September 14, 2020 The smoke looks extremely extensive today. Appears to be stretching all the way toward the east coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted September 14, 2020 Author Share Posted September 14, 2020 On 9/12/2020 at 2:12 AM, Hoosier said: No guarantees but one of the better sneak attack hurricane potentials in the Gulf in a while. Expand Here she goes Trends may be improving for NOLA, but getting worse for areas farther east. Mobile/Mobile Bay is of growing concern. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted September 14, 2020 Share Posted September 14, 2020 On 9/14/2020 at 5:00 PM, Hoosier said: The smoke looks extremely extensive today. Appears to be stretching all the way toward the east coast. Expand Yeah we might have weeks of this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted September 14, 2020 Share Posted September 14, 2020 On 9/13/2020 at 6:55 PM, Hoosier said: Expand That could be a double-edged sword. As needed as that rain was, now that the heat and growing season are nearly over, drying out in the ground takes longer. There's going to be plenty more precip this fall, so now flooding may be the next concern down the road. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted September 14, 2020 Author Share Posted September 14, 2020 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted September 15, 2020 Share Posted September 15, 2020 On 9/14/2020 at 10:15 PM, Hoosier said: Expand It is incredible up here in the UP. It is so thick that the entire sky was milky white and the sun was very filtered. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted September 15, 2020 Share Posted September 15, 2020 Cool weather best weather 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted September 15, 2020 Share Posted September 15, 2020 Another morning of an otherworldly sunrise due to the thick smoke. Really hope tonight’s cold front can push it out 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted September 15, 2020 Share Posted September 15, 2020 1st official low in the 40s for Detroit since June 14th. Low was only 49 at DTW and 48 at DET, but temperatures hung around 49-50 for about 6 or 7 hours. Had all the windows closed and it was still about 65 in the house this morning. Fall is here. Got down to 40 at White Lake and 37 at bad axe. Incredible to think, but on this date in 1939 Detroit hit 100゚. Easily the latest 100 on record, it was a 3 day heatwave that was unprecedented for the time of year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted September 15, 2020 Share Posted September 15, 2020 On 9/15/2020 at 2:58 PM, michsnowfreak said: 1st official low in the 40s for Detroit since June 14th. Low was only 49 at DTW and 48 at DET, but temperatures hung around 49-50 for about 6 or 7 hours. Had all the windows closed and it was still about 65 in the house this morning. Fall is here. Got down to 40 at White Lake and 37 at bad axe. Incredible to think, but on this date in 1939 Detroit hit 100゚. Easily the latest 100 on record, it was a 3 day heatwave that was unprecedented for the time of year. Expand Third official low in the 40's at YYZ. For most of the burbs it’s our 5th. YYZ got down to 41F last night. It'll likely get down to the mid 30's later this week. The source of this weekend’s cold is straight from the Arctic. I'm sure your excited about the onset of Fall knowing Winter isn't too far away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted September 15, 2020 Author Share Posted September 15, 2020 Hoping no precip occurs here Wed/Thu. If it doesn't, could start to put together a fairly impressive streak of precipless days. It's that and tracking smoke from fires a couple thousand miles away. You have to entertain yourself somehow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted September 15, 2020 Share Posted September 15, 2020 it will drizzle just enough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted September 15, 2020 Share Posted September 15, 2020 Last couple days been very hazy from all the smoke. Interesting to see the whole country is being affected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted September 15, 2020 Author Share Posted September 15, 2020 Tomorrow looks like 80+ at ORD for the first time since the 7th. It got me thinking how there are probably only a handful of 80+ days left... at best. Summer is slipping away, as it always does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted September 15, 2020 Author Share Posted September 15, 2020 On 9/15/2020 at 6:43 PM, Hoosier said: Tomorrow looks like 80+ at ORD for the first time since the 7th. It got me thinking how there are probably only a handful of 80+ days left... at best. Summer is slipping away, as it always does. Expand So I ran the stats on this of course. Wouldn't you know, the average number of 80+ days in Chicago from 9/16 onward is pretty much exactly 5 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted September 15, 2020 Share Posted September 15, 2020 i'll take it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted September 15, 2020 Share Posted September 15, 2020 On 9/15/2020 at 6:43 PM, Hoosier said: Tomorrow looks like 80+ at ORD for the first time since the 7th. It got me thinking how there are probably only a handful of 80+ days left... at best. Summer is slipping away, as it always does. Expand Summer ended on the 3rd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted September 15, 2020 Share Posted September 15, 2020 The thickest smoke that I've ever seen. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted September 15, 2020 Share Posted September 15, 2020 everything in the house gets a pinkish hue around 5 each night. pretty cool Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted September 15, 2020 Share Posted September 15, 2020 There's a shot that some of the smoke may make it down to the surface tomorrow in portions of the region, immediately following the frontal passage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted September 15, 2020 Share Posted September 15, 2020 On 9/15/2020 at 7:17 PM, Chicago Storm said: Summer ended on the 3rd. Expand I concur, my guess is if tomorrow doesn't yield 80F, Milwaukee is done with 80F days. I won't go full Spartman though. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted September 15, 2020 Author Share Posted September 15, 2020 On 9/15/2020 at 10:10 PM, Chicago Storm said: There's a shot that some of the smoke may make it down to the surface tomorrow in portions of the region, immediately following the frontal passage. Expand HRRR models the ground level smoke I think, but I don't remember where to find that. Do you have the link? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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