lee59 Posted September 15, 2020 Share Posted September 15, 2020 I wonder if the smokey sky will keep night time temps a few degrees higher and put a cap on day temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted September 15, 2020 Share Posted September 15, 2020 You know its boring when theres a bird migration debate lol 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted September 15, 2020 Share Posted September 15, 2020 4 minutes ago, lee59 said: I wonder if the smokey sky will keep night time temps a few degrees higher and put a cap on day temps. I know a smokey sky can keep temps down during the day but does it affect outgoing radiation.? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted September 15, 2020 Share Posted September 15, 2020 Just a model idea of how thick the smoke may be overhead tomorrow at 12z and 21z/15. Also a cross section of how it should remain at least above 5000 feet late tomorrow, tho descending closer to ground level as we go into Wednesday (modeled data not shown). 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted September 15, 2020 Share Posted September 15, 2020 41 minutes ago, doncat said: I know a smokey sky can keep temps down during the day but does it affect outgoing radiation.? I am thinking it might act like a thin cloud layer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted September 15, 2020 Author Share Posted September 15, 2020 2 hours ago, forkyfork said: a cbw radar loop right now shows southward moving echoes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted September 15, 2020 Share Posted September 15, 2020 Down to 62 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted September 15, 2020 Share Posted September 15, 2020 53 currently; might get into the 40s tonight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted September 15, 2020 Share Posted September 15, 2020 Current temp is down to 55 here. Fall weather has arrived. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted September 15, 2020 Share Posted September 15, 2020 55 here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted September 15, 2020 Share Posted September 15, 2020 The next 8 dys are averaging 65degs. Make it 60degs., or about -8. 55*!!!(50%RH) here at 6am, clear of clouds-but not really clear due to smoke from West Coasts fires? 60* by 10am. 63* by Noon. GFS remains w/o rain around here for 8 days at least. It probably would take more than the last 10 runs added together, to reach the normal 2.1" for a 16 day period. The Tropics: 19N 30W, 14N 46W, 37N 61W, 28.3N 88.2W(I always get where I am going). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted September 15, 2020 Share Posted September 15, 2020 Good Tuesday morning everyone: Sally fringe rain, closest pass may be delayed til Fri night-Saturday? and most 00z/15 models cut the northern fringe below our NYC area forum. However, NAEFS/EPS still give us a chance though with a slight southward trend since yesterday at this time. SMOKE: That I think is our primary visual interest the next 3 days. No change form the HRRR modeled heavy concentrations graphics posted last evening, near 15000 feet today. Have added the 1000 ft concentration for 06z/Thursday, implying a small concentration of the smoke may be getting closer to ground level in parts of the northeast during Thursday? Also added the vertical concentration for that time, which keeps us in the smoke plume, probably through the day Thursday. Finally, a cross section, for 06z Thursday near NYC, showing that most of the smoke is above 5000 feet. NAEFS (no image due to D10 uncertainty) vicinity the 25th: appears a bit QPF active off the east coast. 653A/15 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 15, 2020 Share Posted September 15, 2020 Could be the first September under 70° in NYC since 2014. A +2 in September for NYC is 70°. So anything below that will do it. Time Series Summary for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY - Month of Sep Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Year Mean Avg Temperature Missing Count 2020 72.8 16 2019 70.4 0 2018 70.7 0 2017 70.5 0 2016 71.8 0 2015 74.5 0 2014 69.7 0 2013 67.9 0 2012 68.8 0 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted September 15, 2020 Share Posted September 15, 2020 50 and it feels like September 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted September 15, 2020 Share Posted September 15, 2020 45; first 40s of the fall. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted September 15, 2020 Share Posted September 15, 2020 53 for the low 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted September 15, 2020 Share Posted September 15, 2020 46 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted September 15, 2020 Share Posted September 15, 2020 Quite chilly am. Mostly cloudy/hazy, breezy 51. First 50s went way down to near 50. Cooler than I excpected. Some upper 40s made it down to just about the westchester Bx line. Had to go searching for a hoodie. Cant remember last time I wore a long sleeve shirt. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 15, 2020 Share Posted September 15, 2020 12 minutes ago, dWave said: Quite chilly am. Mostly cloudy/hazy, breezy 51. First 50s went way down to near 50. Cooler than I excpected. Some upper 40s made it down to just about the westchester Bx line. Had to go searching for a hoodie. Cant remember last time I wore a long sleeve shirt. Earliest first 40s of the season at HPN since 2014. First/Last Summary for WESTCHESTER CO AP, NY Each section contains date and year of occurrence, value on that date. Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Year Last Value First Value Difference Minimum 05-13 (2011) 09-09 (2013) 97 Mean 05-30 09-20 113 Maximum 06-12 (2018) 10-12 (2018) 126 2019 06-04 (2019) 47 09-19 (2019) 43 106 2018 06-12 (2018) 49 10-12 (2018) 47 121 2017 06-09 (2017) 47 09-29 (2017) 47 111 2016 05-21 (2016) 48 09-25 (2016) 44 126 2015 06-02 (2015) 48 09-27 (2015) 47 116 2014 06-01 (2014) 48 09-14 (2014) 48 104 2013 05-28 (2013) 49 09-09 (2013) 49 103 2012 06-05 (2012) 49 09-11 (2012) 46 97 2011 05-13 (2011) 48 09-16 (2011) 48 125 2010 05-20 (2010) 49 09-16 (2010) 47 118 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted September 15, 2020 Share Posted September 15, 2020 53 for a low 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted September 15, 2020 Share Posted September 15, 2020 Two photos of this morning’s smoky sunrise. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted September 15, 2020 Share Posted September 15, 2020 51.4 in Syosset & 52.3 in Muttontown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted September 15, 2020 Share Posted September 15, 2020 Morning thoughts... This morning saw some of the coolest readings so far this season. Low temperatures included: Allentown: 44° Boston: 49° Bridgeport: 50° Islip: 53° New York City: 54° Newark: 51° Philadelphia: 52° Poughkeepsie: 43° White Plains: 45° Today will be sunny but brisk. Temperatures will likely reach the upper 60s in much of the region to perhaps lower 70s in a few areas. Likely high temperatures around the region include: New York City (Central Park): 68° Newark: 70° Philadelphia: 70° Much of the week will feel like early autumn. An even colder air mass could arrive late in the week. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 15, 2020 Share Posted September 15, 2020 58 right now in Brooklyn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted September 15, 2020 Share Posted September 15, 2020 53 this morning 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted September 15, 2020 Share Posted September 15, 2020 45 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted September 15, 2020 Share Posted September 15, 2020 wore my jacket this morning first time here in the city since june it was chilly out... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted September 15, 2020 Share Posted September 15, 2020 53 this morning, a shock to the system. High of 79 yesterday, would’ve been in the 80’s if not for the smoke. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted September 15, 2020 Share Posted September 15, 2020 Long period swells from Patrica worked their magic and caused washovers and erosion. Long period swells (over 12 seconds) are extremely energetic and surge up and over the beach. I had the pleasure of riding those swells last night and it was a memorable session at Gilgo beach. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 15, 2020 Share Posted September 15, 2020 Was down at 45 earlier today between 345 and 4AM this morning. Warm it up Wed and Thu before next cold front brings the coolest air since (today) starting Sat (9/19) through next Tues (9/22). Looks like moderation and then a much warmer close to the month. Also guidance may look wetter come Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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