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NOAA wind probabilities chart


schuh
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Please help me understand something about NOAA's wind speed probabilities projection. Right now at 1700 CDT Noah is projecting Laura to make landfall in western LA as a catagory 2 hurricane. Why then is the wind speed probability chart only show a 50% probability of hurricane force winds in the next 5 days ??

image.png.bc3894a9e264e959d67105e96bb4fe86.png

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