PhineasC Posted August 30, 2020 Share Posted August 30, 2020 22 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: He won’t leave Webbed hands. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 30, 2020 Share Posted August 30, 2020 Phin, just so you know...his name is Dave Epstein. He’s a meteorologist and an avid gardener. He hates dry periods....so because we are all clowns...we embellish it and give him the name Droughtstein. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted August 30, 2020 Share Posted August 30, 2020 41 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Phin, just so you know...his name is Dave Epstein. He’s a meteorologist and an avid gardener. He hates dry periods....so because we are all clowns...we embellish it and give him the name Droughtstein. OK, I had no idea who that was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 30, 2020 Share Posted August 30, 2020 3 hours ago, PhineasC said: OK, I had no idea who that was. That’s him above in that pic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 30, 2020 Share Posted August 30, 2020 The webbed fingers would explain why he's so concerned about drought though. Part amphibian? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted August 31, 2020 Share Posted August 31, 2020 Bout dem Atlantic Tropics Can I get a storm Over 50mph to send a swell . Did something turn more unfavorable for a good storm to track or ...just breathe and patience . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 31, 2020 Share Posted August 31, 2020 What a strange pattern ... all guidance agreeing too - That full-latitude ... hugely uncharacteristically coherent planetary wave structure for early September ( D's 6/7 to 10 ) draped ( actually 'raging' is more like it) from the eastern/NE Pacific to the eastern Canadian shield, while simultaneously there is a stacking hypsometric height depths towering over 600 dm E of Cape Cod like that ? That's ..I dunno, I've never seen that. For one thing, that should set up one helluva a Bahama suck fest right up the coast... Talking powerful conveyor pattern... Should there be any kind of TC nearing the climo traffic routing ESE of the archipelago down there, it's going to end up over Montreal in 24 hours... Assuming those excessive synoptic circumstantial anomalies actually set up that way - ... But that is a weird WAR structure... it's like why isn't that settling S into the Bermuda position.. fascinating. I almost get the wild notion that the season is attempting to flip prematurely .. possibly because of two reasons: The solar nadir is statistically correlated strongly to blocking; the excessive integrated tropospheric wind velocities are generating unsually early R-Wave structures. *BUT* ...while that is happening, the HC is usually large in keeping with measure empirical data... so, the models are attempting to structure these events over top - ... hey, it's a wild notion. But it fascinating to consider. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted August 31, 2020 Share Posted August 31, 2020 Swing it and bring it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 31, 2020 Share Posted August 31, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 31, 2020 Share Posted August 31, 2020 26 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Beer stein? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted August 31, 2020 Share Posted August 31, 2020 Not much posting in here - boring week incoming? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 31, 2020 Share Posted August 31, 2020 8 minutes ago, Whineminster said: Not much posting in here - boring week incoming? Tracking the cane 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
correnjim1 Posted August 31, 2020 Share Posted August 31, 2020 20 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Tracking the cane i wouldn't hold my breath Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 31, 2020 Share Posted August 31, 2020 15 minutes ago, correnjim1 said: i wouldn't hold my breath We are Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 31, 2020 Share Posted August 31, 2020 34 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: This is trouble for somebody if one of those impulses in the flow can overcome the MDR. It’s coming 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
correnjim1 Posted August 31, 2020 Share Posted August 31, 2020 10 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: We are i'm with you i hope so...but they always seem to find away to disappoint Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 31, 2020 Share Posted August 31, 2020 48 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It’s coming Maybe 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted August 31, 2020 Share Posted August 31, 2020 1 hour ago, WxWatcher007 said: This is trouble for somebody if one of those impulses in the flow can overcome the MDR. Tutt killed MDR developers? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 31, 2020 Share Posted August 31, 2020 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: Tutt killed MDR developers? I worry more about Bahama Mamas anyways. Off furnaces on to canes 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 31, 2020 Share Posted August 31, 2020 Thread the needle. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 31, 2020 Share Posted August 31, 2020 5 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: The TUTT hasn’t really been a major factor in the MDR this season, really anywhere in the basin. It has been SAL (which has been well placed rather than overly strong) and a too convoluted wave train that I think has dampened MDR development. That said, the best environment is west and it’s not even close. Higher SST anomalies and TCHP, more mid-level moisture, less shear which is in line with a Nina/cool neutral state. It’s not an accident that Hanna, Isaias, and Laura were all rapidly intensifying on final approach. So like Ginx I don’t worry about a buzzsaw making a 14 day trip across the Atlantic. The environment isn’t conducive for that right now. I watch for a piddly wave or system that barely makes it into the Caribbean or Bahamas before quickly developing and getting shunted north. The models have struggled to sniff out explicit TC genesis, but the seeds are there. Whether we get one to bloom at a location or time to pose a threat to New England is up in the air. The more cold fronts with strong winds we have the less chances of above Cat 1 we have. Upwelling season 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 31, 2020 Share Posted August 31, 2020 GEM with a 603dm contour with that block around D9-10. Impressive 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 31, 2020 Share Posted August 31, 2020 17 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Maybe, but I would never bank on warmer SSTs north of Hatteras being the mechanism for a big hurricane up here. I think the formula would be: explosive development in the Caribbean/Bahamas—>steady state with an inertially stable hurricane off the SE coast—>rapid movement over waters north of NC to minimize weakening. Hard to do, but not impossible this season given the amount and depth of warmth in the western Atlantic. We need all the dominoes on the table to fall for a high end event up here. I’ll probably be down in NC before the season is over lol. If the ten day Asian rule works out, sooner than you think. SC NC border 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted August 31, 2020 Share Posted August 31, 2020 3 hours ago, Dr. Dews said: GEM with a 603dm contour with that block around D9-10. Impressive Monster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted August 31, 2020 Share Posted August 31, 2020 How stable is a block like that? If it comes to fruition. Multi day type thing? Looks dewy. #NovaScotiaStrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted September 1, 2020 Share Posted September 1, 2020 What the hell is TUTT and MDR? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 1, 2020 Share Posted September 1, 2020 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: What the hell is TUTT and MDR? Tropical Upper Tropospheric Trough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 1, 2020 Share Posted September 1, 2020 58 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: What the hell is TUTT and MDR? New IPAs 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted September 1, 2020 Author Share Posted September 1, 2020 Happy met fall, everyone. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted September 1, 2020 Share Posted September 1, 2020 51F as we usher in Sept. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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