alex Posted September 28, 2020 Share Posted September 28, 2020 Speaking of bulls eyes, is it time to start posting the clown maps? 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted September 28, 2020 Share Posted September 28, 2020 Might as well add the euro too. Last year at this point I was mourning summer, which I felt like it had just started. This year I am ready. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 28, 2020 Share Posted September 28, 2020 Last year we had a similar set-up with an unseasonably warm/humid air mass ahead of a slow moving front with a cold trough digging in behind it. Halloween night had several inches fall in a short amount of time as a wave developed on the front. There was localized flooding similar to Irene in the northern Greens from a similar set-up to what we have coming. I was out of town and came back to ~4" in the stratus. This upcoming event will certainly rain hard for someone and possibly a sizeable axis... get that moisture rich humid air pumping northward and a forcing mechanism. This looks like it could even be wetter, as last year's was a narrow 3-4.5" zone with a more widespread 0.5-2.0" and models are currently more impressive than that. Someone is going to get smoked in a SW to NE axis that is modeled much further east currently than last year's. Last year though had some very impressive kinematics...severe warnings and high wind products with the FROPA, iirc. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted September 28, 2020 Share Posted September 28, 2020 I'm actually curious to see how much the river here will rise compared to a similar amount of rain in a typical season. In the spring, an inch of rain makes it rise as much as 2 feet and sometimes more. Now the ground is very dry and wetlands are low, so I imagine it will take a lot more rain to result in a similar increase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 28, 2020 Share Posted September 28, 2020 11 minutes ago, alex said: I'm actually curious to see how much the river here will rise compared to a similar amount of rain in a typical season. In the spring, an inch of rain makes it rise as much as 2 feet and sometimes more. Now the ground is very dry and wetlands are low, so I imagine it will take a lot more rain to result in a similar increase. I find the backyard West Branch responds more to rainfall rates, than overall total. Obviously, antecedent conditions are a big factor... but rainfall rates are what can really make it go nuts. There isn't nearly as much response as there is getting 3-4" in like 12 hours or less. No matter how dry it's been, if a lot of rain falls in a short period of time, the mountain runoff that feeds these waterways is substantial. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 28, 2020 Share Posted September 28, 2020 57 minutes ago, alex said: I'm actually curious to see how much the river here will rise compared to a similar amount of rain in a typical season. In the spring, an inch of rain makes it rise as much as 2 feet and sometimes more. Now the ground is very dry and wetlands are low, so I imagine it will take a lot more rain to result in a similar increase. dry hard ground will initially cause more runoff into streams than normal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rimetree Posted September 28, 2020 Share Posted September 28, 2020 Good to see models at least showing classic nor'easters developing, whether they appear is TBD. Feels like those have been scarce the past couple of years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted September 28, 2020 Share Posted September 28, 2020 1 minute ago, rimetree said: Good to see models at least showing classic nor'easters developing, whether they appear is TBD. Feels like those have been scarce the past couple of years. Absolutely agreed. Signs of things to come perhaps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted September 28, 2020 Share Posted September 28, 2020 Yeah, we actually got a decent rainfall overnight! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 28, 2020 Share Posted September 28, 2020 68° 0.23” overnight...was not expecting that much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted September 28, 2020 Author Share Posted September 28, 2020 21 minutes ago, klw said: Yeah, we actually got a decent rainfall overnight! I have no idea whether it was decent. I do know it woke me up--always a nice sound to wake up to. Where in SB are you? I need to find a local station for qpf reports. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 28, 2020 Share Posted September 28, 2020 Hopefully with a low near 70 and dews the same, those who are uninstalled can safely remove their sheets stuck inside bum crack. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted September 28, 2020 Share Posted September 28, 2020 33 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Hopefully with a low near 70 and dews the same, those who are uninstalled can safely remove their sheets stuck inside bum crack. Some of us are acclimated, so it's NBD 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 28, 2020 Share Posted September 28, 2020 13 minutes ago, MaineJayhawk said: Some of us are acclimated, so it's NBD Based on some of the posts, many have not, unfortunately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 28, 2020 Share Posted September 28, 2020 48 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Hopefully with a low near 70 and dews the same, those who are uninstalled can safely remove their sheets stuck inside bum crack. heh...slept fine here and only had the window open a crack. But I tend to be cold most of the time anyway. Heck I was out with the birds yesterday evening in a hoodie. I’m turning into weatherwiz. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 28, 2020 Share Posted September 28, 2020 Just now, dendrite said: heh...slept fine here and only had the window open a crack. But I tend to be cold most of the time anyway. Heck I was out with the birds yesterday evening in a hoodie. I’m turning into weatherwiz. Now that is concerning. You should build a sauna where you are. Great spot for it. Or take a ride up the road where I was, in Sanborton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 28, 2020 Share Posted September 28, 2020 The leaves begin raining down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 28, 2020 Share Posted September 28, 2020 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Now that is concerning. You should build a sauna where you are. Great spot for it. Or take a ride up the road where I was, in Sanborton. It’s ever since I went low/no carb a few years ago. It’s like my body reverted back to ancient Mesopotamian DNA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 28, 2020 Share Posted September 28, 2020 Just now, dendrite said: It’s ever since I went low/no carb a few years ago. It’s like my body reverted back to ancient Mesopotamian DNA. Well not a bad thing. Stickiest run I've had yet in weeks it feels like. But I am digging the sauna thing. They say it's good for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 28, 2020 Share Posted September 28, 2020 Just now, CoastalWx said: Well not a bad thing. Stickiest run I've had yet in weeks it feels like. But I am digging the sauna thing. They say it's good for you. Yeah I have too. Just don’t be this guy. https://www.foxnews.com/world/russian-man-dies-during-the-sauna-world-championships.amp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted September 28, 2020 Share Posted September 28, 2020 Am I the only one who wants the drought to continue? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 28, 2020 Share Posted September 28, 2020 Just now, dendrite said: Yeah I have too. Just don’t be this guy. https://www.foxnews.com/world/russian-man-dies-during-the-sauna-world-championships.amp You should have a thermometer with you. I can't do more than like 140F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 28, 2020 Share Posted September 28, 2020 6 minutes ago, Whineminster said: Am I the only one who wants the drought to continue? DIT secretly does as well. He doesn’t fool anyone here. He seems to have a strange satisfaction with his lawn nearing spontaneous combustion. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 28, 2020 Share Posted September 28, 2020 Just now, dendrite said: DIT secretly does as well. He doesn’t fool anyone here. He seems to have a strange satisfaction with his lawn nearing spontaneous combustion. He sends many texts of dead trees and asks if they will come back. I do think he may have a dry fetish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 28, 2020 Share Posted September 28, 2020 Just now, CoastalWx said: He sends many texts of dead trees and asks if they will come back. I do think he may have a dry fetish. He has Epstein pictures on the walls of his bedroom. He drifts to sleep imagining what it’d be like to have webbed fingers too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 28, 2020 Share Posted September 28, 2020 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: 6z gfs was ran right out of droughtsteins basement. Less than half an inch of rain this week from central Connecticut on east You live on a swamp. The water table is 3' below you. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 28, 2020 Share Posted September 28, 2020 GFS has a damaging wind signal Wednesday. No inversion there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 28, 2020 Share Posted September 28, 2020 3 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: 6z gfs was ran right out of droughtsteins basement. Less than half an inch of rain this week from central Connecticut on east We told em not to spike early Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 28, 2020 Share Posted September 28, 2020 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: We told em not to spike early It's over dude. The pattern has changed. Multiple rounds next two weeks. Follow the rain shepard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 28, 2020 Share Posted September 28, 2020 16 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It's over dude. The pattern has changed. Multiple rounds next two weeks. Follow the rain shepard. So far the flock is headed for the cliffs. Not off yet though. Still time to get the herd back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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