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September 2020 Discussion


moneypitmike
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  On 9/20/2020 at 10:55 AM, CoastalWx said:

Cold is done for a long time. Late week could be 80 or a tick or two higher and looks to be warm into early October. 

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  On 9/20/2020 at 11:50 AM, CoastalWx said:

This is it for a long time. 

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  On 9/20/2020 at 12:36 PM, ORH_wxman said:

Early October looks cold on EPS. 

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lol

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  On 9/20/2020 at 2:14 PM, CoastalWx said:

I like this cool shot, but guidance looks pretty warm into October. Probably not a huge torch like some Nina Octobers..but a decent warm signal on the weeklies.

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Slightly AN is fine with me, especially if we stay on the dry side of the curve.  But yeah, crisp mornings have been nice for a change. 

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  On 9/20/2020 at 2:58 PM, ORH_wxman said:

Are we convinced we don’t see a coolish shot Friday/Saturday? Euro’s not too impressed but other guidance shows potential. 

Are we also convinced FROPA on the deep trough doesn’t happen 9/29ish?

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I just mean overall. We’ll get maybe some cooler air for a time Friday and/or Saturday before we finally get some rain hopefully . GEFS says fropa at end of month. EPS looks like after the first few days of October. But these cold shots of 540 air tickling SNE are done for awhile. 

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  On 9/20/2020 at 3:56 PM, CoastalWx said:

It’s a well modeled cutoff. Looks like a good drink finally.

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I’d guess we’ve heard that 5-10 x this summer . The only time it worked out was in early July . Since then Stein has strangled every event. Wagons west for big amounts seems most likely on this. 

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