RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted August 28, 2020 Share Posted August 28, 2020 Can’t recover from that, can you? Looks like instant paralysis. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted August 29, 2020 Author Share Posted August 29, 2020 20 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: You have an alarm whenever somebody posts anything that is contrary to your absolute furnace call? lol. I love that -7 up in the Canadian hinterlands. Meanwhile, my last weekend in ORH. Movers come on Monday and I head up to Pit 2 for 10 days before closing on a new Pit1 (Westborough). I'm moving in the wrong direction for snow. May as well bit the bullet and head to Savannah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted August 29, 2020 Share Posted August 29, 2020 2 hours ago, moneypitmike said: I love that -7 up in the Canadian hinterlands. Meanwhile, my last weekend in ORH. Movers come on Monday and I head up to Pit 2 for 10 days before closing on a new Pit1 (Westborough). I'm moving in the wrong direction for snow. May as well bit the bullet and head to Savannah. What happened to Princeton? Have fun with traffic in metrowest I moved out here to escape it lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 29, 2020 Share Posted August 29, 2020 3 hours ago, moneypitmike said: I love that -7 up in the Canadian hinterlands. Meanwhile, my last weekend in ORH. Movers come on Monday and I head up to Pit 2 for 10 days before closing on a new Pit1 (Westborough). I'm moving in the wrong direction for snow. May as well bit the bullet and head to Savannah. what are you thinking? Westborough? Enjoy the traffic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 29, 2020 Share Posted August 29, 2020 MPM moves around more than pickles and he’s a traveling gigolo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted August 29, 2020 Share Posted August 29, 2020 . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowderBeard Posted August 29, 2020 Share Posted August 29, 2020 21 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: Giggidy lust and all,You try too hard. No one said it wasn't going to get warm for a couple of days but those calling for an absolute furnace are hyping something that is not what modeling is showing Yup. And Tip, it's easier for a weather simpleton like me to see patterns like model bias (e.g., Euro over does warmth in the 5-7 day ranges and has a tendency to develop winter systems further west 3-4 days out) than conduct double secret probation ensemble math. Anyway, nice cool week to start the month. I still wouldn't be surprised to see BDL finish with 40 or even 41 days at 90*, always a few hot ones in September. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted August 29, 2020 Author Share Posted August 29, 2020 3 hours ago, Whineminster said: What happened to Princeton? Have fun with traffic in metrowest I moved out here to escape it lol. 2 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: what are you thinking? Westborough? Enjoy the traffic 2 hours ago, dendrite said: MPM moves around more than pickles and he’s a traveling gigolo. My wife and daughter won out re: Princeton. FWIW, Westborough is Worcester County, so now metrowest. No more snow for me though, even if I am in the high point of town. As far as traffic, I work from home and my wife reverse commutes to Worcester, so traffic won't really be an issue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted August 29, 2020 Share Posted August 29, 2020 4 hours ago, Whineminster said: . Agreed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 29, 2020 Share Posted August 29, 2020 Maybe MPM is a hustler? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted August 30, 2020 Share Posted August 30, 2020 He used to travel often for ‘work’ too and now he ‘works from home’. I know a few people like that... he fits the profile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted August 30, 2020 Author Share Posted August 30, 2020 4 hours ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: He used to travel often for ‘work’ too and now he ‘works from home’. I know a few people like that... he fits the profile. lol. I've worked from home for 16 of the last 18 years. Pre-coronavirus, that involved frequent travel for sales/consulting. Like most everyone else, thatd's all being done remotely. I'm eager to get back to face-to-face conversations. Much more impactful. Weird having 'no status' for flying. I guess few people will for a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 30, 2020 Share Posted August 30, 2020 Scooter knows when to fold em 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 30, 2020 Share Posted August 30, 2020 Looks like a warm dry week overall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 30, 2020 Share Posted August 30, 2020 Might have to watch southern areas later Tuesday and Wednesday for rain, but that looks south at the moment. Otherwise Thursday and Friday are toasty. Cool down Labor Day weekend and then warm Labor Day. After, an extremely deep trough is modeled to dive into Midwest. We then wait to see what pops in the tropics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 30, 2020 Share Posted August 30, 2020 Fairly seasonable week up here. Warm days and cool nights to start the week. GFS and euro have some rain up here Thu with the WAA so we’ll see how that plays out. It’ll probably end up being well into the 80s even up here. Then it comes down to the FROPA and CAA timing Friday. Right now it looks like a COC day up here with falling 850s and 70s although it could be in the 80s if the front slows. With the frequent cold fronts now we start running the risk of turning these 1-2 days torches in to wet CAD days and then we pull a couple of COC days behind it with W-NW flow. So the warm colors aloft won’t always be translating to the sfc up here. BDL will probably pull 90° Thu and Fri though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 30, 2020 Share Posted August 30, 2020 1 hour ago, dendrite said: Fairly seasonable week up here. Warm days and cool nights to start the week. GFS and euro have some rain up here Thu with the WAA so we’ll see how that plays out. It’ll probably end up being well into the 80s even up here. Then it comes down to the FROPA and CAA timing Friday. Right now it looks like a COC day up here with falling 850s and 70s although it could be in the 80s if the front slows. With the frequent cold fronts now we start running the risk of turning these 1-2 days torches in to wet CAD days and then we pull a couple of COC days behind it with W-NW flow. So the warm colors aloft won’t always be translating to the sfc up here. BDL will probably pull 90° Thu and Fri though. Pretty typical after the back is broken. We have had some brutal first weeks of September, this is not 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted August 30, 2020 Share Posted August 30, 2020 PF can confirm, it's gusty here at 1778' in Stowe. Wind was howling all night. Mansfield gusting to 70 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 30, 2020 Share Posted August 30, 2020 I’m impressed with how deep that trough is modeled. Signs of the times. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted August 30, 2020 Share Posted August 30, 2020 To the Knowledgeable folks, do those ensemble Ginxy charts significantly mute a temp anomaly once you get out past 5 days and especially the further out you go bc they weigh climatology or no Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 30, 2020 Share Posted August 30, 2020 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: To the Knowledgeable folks, do those ensemble Ginxy charts significantly mute a temp anomaly once you get out past 5 days and especially the further out you go bc they weigh climatology They would mute any extreme anomaly because of the nature of ensembles. They don’t use climo to mute it, it would be due to varying solutions that can start to mute a signal one way or another. For instance 30 members may show a cold front staying west with warm 850 temps, but then another 20 members bring the front east and show rain and cooler temps. That’s how to dumb down a signal. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted August 30, 2020 Share Posted August 30, 2020 Just now, CoastalWx said: They would mute any extreme anomaly because of the nature of ensembles. They don’t use climo to mute it, it would be due to varying solutions that can start to mute a signal one way or another. For instance 30 members may show a cold front staying west with warm 850 temps, but then another 20 members bring the front east and show rain and cooler temps. That’s how to dumb down a signal. Understood , thank you better than I thought then Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 30, 2020 Share Posted August 30, 2020 17 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: They would mute any extreme anomaly because of the nature of ensembles. They don’t use climo to mute it, it would be due to varying solutions that can start to mute a signal one way or another. For instance 30 members may show a cold front staying west with warm 850 temps, but then another 20 members bring the front east and show rain and cooler temps. That’s how to dumb down a signal. That’ll get the cane up the coast with the block to the NE. Nowhere to shoot except straight north up the fanny 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted August 30, 2020 Share Posted August 30, 2020 Not impressed this last couple weeks or whatever it's been of summer. Typically it's a scorcher through labour day then you start to get the FROPAs and cool nights. Disappointing. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 30, 2020 Share Posted August 30, 2020 Furnace incoming. Hide your children... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 30, 2020 Share Posted August 30, 2020 Very breezy here with gusts near 30 Much more comfortable than that dewy mess yesterday 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 30, 2020 Share Posted August 30, 2020 44 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Understood , thank you better than I thought then NOW MOS on the other hand does use climo more in the extended and that can mute any signal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted August 30, 2020 Share Posted August 30, 2020 16 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Furnace incoming. Hide your children... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 30, 2020 Share Posted August 30, 2020 1 hour ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: To the Knowledgeable folks, do those ensemble Ginxy charts significantly mute a temp anomaly once you get out past 5 days and especially the further out you go bc they weigh climatology or no Aint no doubt look at 5H Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 30, 2020 Share Posted August 30, 2020 He won’t leave 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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