mappy Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 7 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: 0300 Aug 26th. Last evening. you follow snow and have no idea when 3z is. i love you 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 God he is having issues right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 can a hurricane have two eyes? i don't mean concentric. like oo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 55 minutes ago, andyhb said: The great annual Yanksfan takeover of the tropical threads is on. cut him some slack. his dad died 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 Just now, forkyfork said: can a hurricane have two eyes? i don't mean concentric. like oo That's the new "Double Trouble" since Marco went AWOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortex95 Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 7 hours ago, SnowLover22 said: this aged well LMAO Yes, I know. Laura is doing what Harvey and Michael did. But at the time of the above post, doing a nowcast from that was not that unreasonable. However, the atmosphere is always throwing curves at you and all us of will be burned some of time. This is Laura's first RI, not a system that got strong early in its existence. Florence in 2018 was different. Multiple ERCs well before landfall, so it had expanded in size with the wind field spread out, and that's one reason why it didn't intensify near landfall despite going over the Gulf Steam (weakened a lot in fact). It's easier to tighten up a TC the first time (no RI prior in its existence). Laura had struggled all along and now makes its move at the last min. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 2 minutes ago, vortex95 said: Yes, I know. Laura is doing what Harvey and Michael did. But at the time of the above post, doing a nowcast from that was not that unreasonable. However, the atmosphere is always throwing curves at you and all us of will be burned some of time. This is Laura's first RI, not a system that got strong early in its existence. Florence in 2018 was like this (multiple ERCs well before landfall) so it had expanded in size with the wind field spread out, and that's one reason why it didn't intensify near landfall despite going over the Gulf Steam (weakened a lot in fact). It's easier to tighten up a TC the first time (no RI prior in its existence). Laura had struggled all along and now makes its move at the last min. Its alright. The intensity forecasts are really stochastic. You were spot on until you're not...then you're really wrong. And you did seem to be a negative Nancy about the storm and the environment from the get go...almost like it was personal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 2 minutes ago, vortex95 said: Yes, I know. Laura is doing what Harvey and Michael did. But at the time of the above post, doing a nowcast from that was not that unreasonable. However, the atmosphere is always throwing curves at you and all us of will be burned some of time. This is Laura's first RI, not a system that got strong early in its existence. Florence in 2018 was like this (multiple ERCs well before landfall) so it had expanded in size with the wind field spread out, and that's one reason why it didn't intensify near landfall despite going over the Gulf Steam (weakened a lot in fact). It's easier to tighten up a TC the first time (no RI prior in its existence). Laura had struggled all along and now makes its move at the last min. Irma was the only ATL one I remember that bombed out twice...or was about to before plowing into Cuba. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the ghost of leroy Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 5 minutes ago, CheeselandSkies said: Irma was the only ATL one I remember that bombed out twice...or was about to before plowing into Cuba. Hugo is the only one I can really think of that double bombed and made landfall on CONUS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 Laura is beginning to star in some next-level satellite porn. I wonder if @ldub23 is getting his fix or if it only counts if it gets named east of 40W? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortex95 Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 6 minutes ago, OSUmetstud said: Its alright. The intensity forecasts are really stochastic. You were spot on until you're not...then you're really wrong. And you did seem to be a negative Nancy about the storm and the environment from the get go...almost like it was personal. Not it wasn't personal. Just calling it as I saw it in the here and now, and looking at the synoptic pattern. Laura had been struggling it seemed forever, and I didn't see the overall environment changing much today. Dry air was still present just to its NW and shear was forecast to increase. But TCs are strange beasts, and small-scale factors can take over since were are dealing with TC inner cores, which are often on the mesoscale, so the synoptic factors can become a non-issue at times. As everyone knows, intensity forecasting for TCs is probably one of the most challenging aspects of the field. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 Man that dry slot in Laura really looks like an eye! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the ghost of leroy Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 3 hours ago, Akeem the African Dream said: @the ghost of leroy raildawg is chasing bet he pusses our again and leaves well before landfall Not only chasing, but in position and greeting the other inferior chasers who are coming after him 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 cedar rapids, ia says meh.... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friedmators Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 any chaser feed links? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Uncle Bobby Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 https://severestudios.com/livechase/ https://livestormchasing.com/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 So a guy walks into a bar and orders a Corona and 2 hurricanes. Bartender says, that will be 20.20. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bcLander Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 Question, what's the science behind this thing turning to the north? How is this thing going to be forced North? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the ghost of leroy Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 11 minutes ago, bcLander said: Question, what's the science behind this thing turning to the north? How is this thing going to be forced North? Think about when you wake up in the morning. You’ve got to pee, right? Well, the hurricane wants to go poleward as much as you want to get rid of your pee. Both are just waiting for the relaxation of the barrier to occur before they can do what they naturally want to do. In our case, the high pressure to the north is like the bladder. If it relaxes then Laura comes north. It is doing so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Uncle Bobby Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 3 minutes ago, bcLander said: Question, what's the science behind this thing turning to the north? How is this thing going to be forced North? I'm no met, but I can tell you that hurricanes are primarily steered by high pressure domes and low pressure troughs. There is a dome of high pressure over the southern Atlantic states and a low pressure over the Rockies. Laura is pushed westward by the H, but as that weakens (subsides) and slides E'wd Laura turns N and eventually NE. Hurricanes also curve N'wd and then E'wd as they gain latitude. Unless I'm wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bcLander Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 Thanks! That helps. What is the Stadium Effect? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 It’s like a beautiful butterfly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the ghost of leroy Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 15 minutes ago, bcLander said: Thanks! That helps. What is the Stadium Effect? The stadium effect is what it sounds like. The eyewall is tens of thousands of feet tall and circular. Little old you has survived the front side of the storm and stumbled into the sunlight to see what the calm is all about. You look all around you and see the “stadium” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 3 minutes ago, the ghost of leroy said: The stadium effect is what it sounds like. The eyewall is tens of thousands of feet tall and circular. Little old you has survived the front side of the storm and stumbled into the sunlight to see what the calm is all about. You look all around you and see the “stadium” The hurricanes stole the idea from the Roman Empire. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prospero Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 26 minutes ago, the ghost of leroy said: Little old you has survived the front side of the storm and stumbled into the sunlight to see what the calm is all about. You look all around you and see the “stadium” Like a person at their first Dead show, survived the first set, the lights come on during the break the they see the "stadium" for the first time with a completely new way of seeing... Being in the "eye" in more ways than one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the ghost of leroy Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 Just now, Prospero said: Like a person at their first Dead show, survived the first set, the lights come on during the break the they see the "stadium" for the first time with a completely new way of seeing... Being in the "eye" in more ways than one. Just watch out for the mesovortices, they come on faster and harder than the nitrous mafia. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheese007 Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 Very invested in the fate of the fire extinguisher on Chase Boyer's stream Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
09-10 analogy Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 Audrey was 959 at Cameron, Rita was less than 950. https://www.weather.gov/lch/rita_audrey Laura at 947 according to NHC's intermediate 6PM Central update. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 From a wind + surge perspective, this will be the new benchmark storm for southwest Louisiana. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Floydbuster Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 6 minutes ago, 09-10 analogy said: Audrey was 959 at Cameron, Rita was less than 950. https://www.weather.gov/lch/rita_audrey Laura at 947 according to NHC's intermediate 6PM Central update. Higher background pressures due to the high? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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