dryslot Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Just now, HIPPYVALLEY said: Ya, but if we all fart hard enough... Cat 2 would be strong enough to blow your face covering off so i hope it stays below that threshold. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 There are reports of 100-knot flight level winds, multiple findings by the HHs in the eastern eye wall and now the NE quadrant they are finding similar readings. NC is in danger right now. the eastern circulation of Isaias is showing potential for rotating thunderstorms moving off the ocean from the southeast. Capable of bad damage. We need to be ready for those type of storms tomorrow afternoon. Especially if we can get sunshine. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 I am a little bit concerned about the winds if this doesn’t weaken much. I would be concerned up in the Hilltowns of Franklin County. Above 1000’ is going to roar. Even in Greenfield I am planning on at least short term outages. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Final Call Saturday night: AUG 2 Isaias: Final Call Much of the forecast philosophy from Saturday's First Call remains applicable, however, a track slightly further to the west with respect to the second landfall in in the Carolinas seems likely. Although some of this may be negated if the center reforms to the northeast in the vicinity of the mid level low. This slightly further west track would imply a slightly weaker storm, since the storm would have a bit more interaction with the coast of Florida. The system has weakened to a tropical storm, as implied may be the case. However, A period of intensification is still anticipated Sunday into Monday as Isaias approaches the coast. Final Call: First Call issued Yesterday: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 3 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: It’s not.. weenies getting a little carried away in here. Close only counts in horse shoes and hand grenades I think it will fall short. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: I think it will fall short. It looks like it will have a pretty significant land interaction in the Carolinas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 It's down to 983mb 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 950 winds are nuts here at 00z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Ray, sweet call. I definitely did not think a higher end cat 1. Weenie tip to you. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Just now, CoastalWx said: 950 winds are nuts here at 00z. What guidance are you looking at? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 7 minutes ago, snowman21 said: Those T-storms in SW CT mean business. 60 mph winds in Stamford area by the look of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Just now, WinterWolf said: What guidance are you looking at? What dendy posted. The NAM. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 The eastern seaboard from NJ north is going to be in for some serious winds 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Ruh roh (good thing they are in CT right now) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 You can pretty much see where the low level jet is in the dry slot rolling up through SNE and eastern NNE. Will the strongest winds be just ahead of the precipitation? Or will they move through with any stronger convective elements? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 3 minutes ago, Hoth said: 60 mph winds in Stamford area by the look of it. Moving fast too! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ct_yankee Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 The tornado threat tomorrow in SNE is legit. Usually with TCs we're starved for instability but most of these systems come through in the fall, I can't really remember the last time we had one right at the peak of high summer when the atmosphere is already juiced. Could definitely get interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Strongest winds in the daylight tomorrow? If so awesome! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: 950 winds are nuts here at 00z. Northern portion of Isaias ' eyewall is now on land. Landfall is within the hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Just now, ct_yankee said: The tornado threat tomorrow in SNE is legit. Usually with TCs we're starved for instability but most of these systems come through in the fall, I can't really remember the last time we had one right at the peak of high summer when the atmosphere is already juiced. Could definitely get interesting. Yeah this is really serious. I am not talking the EF-0s that are common place nowadays in SNE, lol, but we could be talking stronger tornadoes. Shear is expected to be awfully strong. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 4 minutes ago, powderfreak said: You can pretty much see where the low level jet is in the dry slot rolling up through SNE and eastern NNE. Will the strongest winds be just ahead of the precipitation? Or will they move through with any stronger convective elements? I think just after those shwrs. Lapse rates briefly steepen a bit as the core LLJ moves in, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nova737 Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 What effects should I be expecting in my area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Jimmy is back . That alone has me excited. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: What dendy posted. The NAM. It’s gotten windier since earlier. The euro may be leading the way. Still not sure about 100-110 knots at 850 like the euro has, but the NAM is now getting some 75-80s in there. Has 60 knots at 950 over E CT to BOS at 00z tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Severe thunderstorm warnings up here...looks like quite the storm moving in here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Oak island is gusting past 70 as the eyewqll strikes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Is there still a risk of spin ups in the morning? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 983 latest recon pass State of emegency for NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Just now, Cyclone-68 said: Is there still a risk of spin ups in the morning? yes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Core of Isaias is still over the atlantic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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