WinterWolf Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 If some of those winds Even come close to verifying...SNE could be one of the hardest hit areas from this system? Pretty ironic if it played out something like that...that never happens lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 Iaias was not upgraded at all. Same strength. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Some of those models intensify this a bit too over land, giving those solutions. I guess if that occurs, it’s possible along with the mixing. I’m just not sure of the high end stuff. Will is slowly coming around. He’s stubborn but it’s coming 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 Given the evolution of the storm and that it’s supposed to retain most of its intensity at this latitude isn’t this more a hybrid deal than a tropical system? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Will is slowly coming around. He’s stubborn but it’s coming LOL, still some questions as we see from models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 7 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Iaias was not upgraded at all. Same strength. No hurricane for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 Just now, The 4 Seasons said: No hurricane for you. Lol..or you either. I think we’re all safe now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 Tropical storm warnings are now extended up as far as Stonnington Maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 High end TS or low end hurricane, Not going to be much difference really. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 Feels like real story will be wind and storms from DC to jersey shore and NYC. Decent for us, but best stuff is mid atl. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted August 3, 2020 Author Share Posted August 3, 2020 Surprised no upgrade. Do they have to wait for science based evidence before making an upgrade? Maybe politically so? If they ever upgraded and then it was crying wolf situation it would not be good for the NHC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: Lol..or you either. I think we’re all safe now. yeah totally 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 Just now, dryslot said: High end TS or low end hurricane, Not going to be much difference really. Oh I realize that. But it looks much healthier on radar and sat, so the question was asked if it might be upgraded at 5 pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
correnjim1 Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 I'm getting the feeling this isn't gonna be that interesting for me 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted August 3, 2020 Author Share Posted August 3, 2020 I can't determine yet if the TS Watch for interior NNE was changed to a Warning like SNE was earlier today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 2 minutes ago, DotRat_Wx said: Feels like real story will be wind and storms from DC to jersey shore and NYC. Decent for us, but best stuff is mid atl. You might be to Far East for the real stuff? But who knows? This could shift East too? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: Oh I realize that. But it looks much healthier on radar and sat, so the question was asked if it might be upgraded at 5 pm. Meh I don't feel like it really matters. The interesting show starts north of VA for us. See what happens while it transitions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 4 minutes ago, correnjim1 said: I'm getting the feeling this isn't gonna be that interesting for me If youre still in E MA. Maybe we'll get a decent rain band with a few gusts of wind, a few iso tors or perhaps microburst.. but generally NBD. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 Dr. Meh 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 25 minutes ago, CT Rain said: What's sort of interesting about this storm in general is that decent mixing in the boundary layer is progged. Very rare to see on a southerly flow event. High SSTs, moist environment, amazing how similar the water temps and summer were to 2011. It was those outer bands that nailed us. Totally different setup but similar mixing. April’s event and Oct 17 both had more mixing than expected. Hopefully it stays less mixed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 Ryan just said maybe 2 hrs of the peak wind and then it’s over for the big wind. In and out as is usually the case when these are racing through the region. 50-60 for interior and 60-70 for the southern areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Ryan just said maybe 2 hrs of the peak wind and then it’s over for the big wind. In and out as is usually the case when these are racing through the region. 50-60 for interior and 60-70 for the southern areas. Yeah it’s really only an hour or two of the good winds. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah it’s really only an hour or two of the good winds. Short and sweet...wham bam and it’s gone! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 Still haven't purchased genny for the transfer switch we had installed couple months ago. Unless we get 40+ gusts, I doubt we lose power, but if we do my wife is gonna kick my ass for not buying the genny already. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 Start the day off with a couple tors in the state in CT around daybreak.. then sunny breaks and dews follow. Winds increase as we hit noon hour and then between 4-8 all hell breaks loose with damage like had in Irene. Another tor threat later in day with the tail and then the sting jet which is actually very modeled comes thru on backside with gusts 60-70 for a second time. That’s kind of how I see things playing out . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Start the day off with a couple tors in the state in CT around daybreak.. then sunny breaks and dews follow. Winds increase as we hit noon hour and then between 4-8 all hell breaks loose with damage like had in Irene. Another tor threat later in day with the tail and then the sting jet which is actually very modeled comes thru on backside with gusts 60-70 for a second time. That’s kind of how I see things playing out . Sting jet is at base of low which is to your west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Start the day off with a couple tors in the state in CT around daybreak.. then sunny breaks and dews follow. Winds increase as we hit noon hour and then between 4-8 all hell breaks loose with damage like had in Irene. Another tor threat later in day with the tail and then the sting jet which is actually very modeled comes thru on backside with gusts 60-70 for a second time. That’s kind of how I see things playing out . Ryan’s forecast looks nothing Like you just outlined...but that’s par for the course, you’re in your own extreme weather world lol. Hope it verifies the way you hope? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 7 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Sting jet is at base of low which is to your west. Maybe even wreckhouse winds at some point? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 I'm gonna put out a bucket. Will it even be wet? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 CT = "The Blackout State". Even without a windstorm. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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