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Hurricane Isaias


wxeyeNH
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Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0704 AM CDT Tue Aug 04 2020

   Valid 041300Z - 051200Z

   ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PORTIONS OF THE
   NORTHEAST...

   ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CENTRAL HIGH
   PLAINS...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Tornadoes will be most likely through this afternoon from Delaware
   into southern New England, with a lingering threat for a couple
   tornadoes across northern New England this evening. Scattered large
   hail and severe wind gusts will be possible across the central High
   Plains from mid-afternoon to mid-evening.

   ...DE to New England...
   As T.C. Isaias rapidly shifts northeastward today, an accompanying
   very moist low-level environment will permit maintenance of weak
   buoyancy across the coastal plain of the Northeast into southern New
   England. Clusters and cells of shallow convection to the north and
   east of the circulation center will continue to pose a risk for
   tornadoes. The greatest risk will be where mid 70s surface dew
   points can become coincident with immense low-level hodograph
   curvature from DE to the NYC tri-state area. Most guidance is
   consistent in suggesting the very rich surface moisture will become
   pinched off across parts of southern New England later today. This
   suggests the overall tornado risk should decrease this evening as it
   spreads into northern New England
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Just now, ineedsnow said:

Maybe at 1pm?

I don't think we will see an enhanced go much farther north really...maybe moreso of southern CT but the next update is 12:30...that may be kinda late but I suppose it's posible.

Just now, yoda said:

You're gonna have to travel to see a tornado 

Well I can't really travel since I'm working but it's impossible to chase tornadoes in tropical systems...and extremely dangerous. Not sure I'd do it

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1 minute ago, yoda said:

Read the disco I bolded lol... good luck up there with your damage 

the threat decreases in northern New England...moisture pinches off in southern New england which means we will have a rather robust theta-e gradient. Also we'll see a CAPE axis traverse the region. NJ into southern CT prime spot for tornadoes today...even farther inland 

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