Modfan2 Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Could be wrong but radar trend appear more NE than North; any chance this slides East over Western LI into CT? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 7 minutes ago, dendrite said: That’s like being the tallest little person in the midget basketball league. Hey...If you stand out, you stand out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Yee gads the sun is coming out here. Just what we need, more instability! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxFreak11 Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 I was noticing that too. Anyone else notice a more NE heading? 4 minutes ago, Modfan2 said: Could be wrong but radar trend appear more NE than North; any chance this slides East over Western LI into CT? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 11 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said: Need some advice from the Mets please. The Euro has been consistent in bringing a core of very strong gusts through the NW Lakes Region of NH. It actually intensifies the core as it moves north just east of the Conn Valley. Im at a high elevation with a south exposure. I rarely gust over 40 and my all time high in a winter cold front is 61mph. That did a lot of damage. Is this core of winds even remotely possible. Euro says 80-90mph gusts. I don't believe that but even 60 would be very strong Toss the 80-90. I think we need a lot to go right to mix 60mph down...maybe your elevation helps. But I'm worried about not getting fully into the warm sector and having a bit of cool taint to affect the mixing potential. I'm on the 45-50mph train for most with isolated spots of 50mph+. Looks like the 12z NAM is coming in with the LLJ a bit more east of the 6z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 27 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said: Dumbing down and translating this to English I think you are saying these crazy winds will probably not happen up here to any great extent No... I was meaning that without this tropical cyclone getting an assist from the jet structure aloft, it would/could be assumed to be a trivial ( means not a big deal/worth discussion) ordeal N of NYC. But, ... the Euro adds some question about it being stronger as a system as it moves N ... and I added reasons why - that layering of concepts may have been hard to follow? Anyway, we may need to wait on the behavior ( it is sometimes referred to as "now-casting" ) to see if the Euro works out.... This is like putting in an order at Dunkin Donuts. If you order off the menu...your fine. You get a yummy coffee with cream and sugar and a frosted donut in your bag. But, as soon as you add or subtract from the menu item, you end up with a mystery raffle ...as to what in the f you're going to be eating for breakfast 10 miles down the road. Just bustin' ballz but .. even if a stronger system/scenario, there's still other things that need to happen to get those hefty winds to mix down - probably need to refer to scienced method for those determinations. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 12z NAM coming in a little better if you like winds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cut Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 2 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: Yee gads the sun is coming out here. Just what we need, more instability! Yup - I was just going to post suns coming out in Trumbull. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tiger_deF Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 The presentation on radar is actually pretty impressive for a hybrid system that has been on land for 14 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Storm near Greenfield is looking good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 3k NAM only to hour 5 but wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 4 minutes ago, cut said: Yup - I was just going to post suns coming out in Trumbull. Suns out here as well....Rogue Tor signatures popping up in PA as we speak, impressive ones as well showing up off the Jersey Shore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Just now, ineedsnow said: 3k NAM only to hour 5 but wow Shifted east a bit... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 7 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: 12z NAM coming in a little better if you like winds Roars 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Just now, Spanks45 said: Shifted east a bit... Winds also stronger so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted August 4, 2020 Author Share Posted August 4, 2020 10 minutes ago, dendrite said: Toss the 80-90. I think we need a lot to go right to mix 60mph down...maybe your elevation helps. But I'm worried about not getting fully into the warm sector and having a bit of cool taint to affect the mixing potential. I'm on the 45-50mph train for most with isolated spots of 50mph+. Looks like the 12z NAM is coming in with the LLJ a bit more east of the 6z run. Brian, does the LLJ being a bit more east bring stronger winds into Central NH? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 18 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said: 930am 68/65 Light rain calm wind 84/73 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Underwhelming winds across the delmarva. Many people wondering when the storm is arriving and it's passed already...where have we seen this before?... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 The key is behind the line of shwrs. That's when laps rates steepen and when best winds occur. Not ahead of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adam038 Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 8 minutes ago, cut said: Yup - I was just going to post suns coming out in Trumbull. Same thing up here in the Worcester area (the sun is trying its best). Nothing like another Orlando morning this summer! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Sun really trying to poke thru here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxFreak11 Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Sun just broke through here in East Greenwich RI 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Does the sun coming out mean anything in a fun way for us eastern NE folks? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 1 minute ago, Pluffmud said: Sun just broke through here in East Greenwich RI Suns out, guns out here too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 WAL 59kts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Sit back folks and let it play out, It is what it is, Should always error on the side of caution. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Jealous of all the rain out west 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 14 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: Suns out here as well....Rogue Tor signatures popping up in PA as we speak, impressive ones as well showing up off the Jersey Shore. I think these early tor warned cells are more associated with convection running up and over the top of the book-end frontal boundary that was, as of 13:31 still draiped west to east ...sort of "frontalysis" in nature ..through the area. They were potent with high end DBZ ongoing ... but waited/rather suddenly tripped tor warning when they were roughly between the Pike and Rt 2 And below this residual boundary the skies are brightening like a proper warm sector would... There's some quasi behavior though - this TC is going to be "latching" onto these frontal structure as it natively acquires more and more transitioning to baroclinic physics, and you can kinda .. sorta see how it becomes "like" a standard cyclone and that frontal fragment over SNE would become the warm frontal arm?? Well, warm fronts have nearly ideal helicity profiles... and those cells speed bumping over that shear profile might have caused their updrafts to close off Just a hypothesis... Because for one, they are too far removed from the TC to really be part of it's specific forcing. You didn't ask...I'm just offering up this analysis to everyone and using your post as a launch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Latest HRRR wind gust product 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 3 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: Jealous of all the rain out west Pray you get into some cells. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now