SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted August 8, 2020 Share Posted August 8, 2020 Too much rain, mushrooms everywhere in my yard, it needs some time to dry out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted August 8, 2020 Share Posted August 8, 2020 1 minute ago, DCTeacherman said: Too much rain, mushrooms everywhere in my yard, it needs some time to dry out. Without taste buds is the time to fry them up and give ‘me a try! How are you feeling? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted August 8, 2020 Share Posted August 8, 2020 11 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said: Without taste buds is the time to fry them up and give ‘me a try! How are you feeling? Taste and smell are SLOWLY returning. They were both at 0.0 for like a week and now I can taste and smell some things again. Overall I’m fine though, running 5+ miles a day and doing everything I usually do. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted August 8, 2020 Share Posted August 8, 2020 Liking those storms building east to west from the eastern shore toward us. Now they just need to hop over the bay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted August 8, 2020 Share Posted August 8, 2020 0.3” in my 10 minute downpour around 845 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted August 8, 2020 Share Posted August 8, 2020 I love how that storm did a U turn just to swing around and hit us. Calvert is literally a storm magnet now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted August 8, 2020 Share Posted August 8, 2020 3 hours ago, CAPE said: It's basically the "useful" portion of the weeklies built into the ensemble run lol, I’ve never seen anything “useful” about a three week forecast. A pattern recognition argument can be made for a forecast beyond ten days but even that is sketchy. I just can’t wrap my head around who the weather forecast a month in advance benefits. Christopher Newport on the Susan Constant? Spend the money and come up with a model that is superb at 7 days. Now that would be useful. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluehens Posted August 8, 2020 Share Posted August 8, 2020 I live in Wilmington. That storm was no joke. That much rain on saturated ground is no good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted August 8, 2020 Share Posted August 8, 2020 Is this residual tropical that just hasn’t been pushed out yet? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted August 8, 2020 Share Posted August 8, 2020 4 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said: Is this residual tropical that just hasn’t been pushed out yet? Looks like yes and the baroclinic zone that Isaias rode up was left behind #1 and #2 trough cold air aloft just to our west and #3 mesoscale lows running by. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted August 8, 2020 Share Posted August 8, 2020 Only a little over a quarter inch here. Just about 7" for the week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted August 8, 2020 Share Posted August 8, 2020 Nothing at all after two days of flood watches. Good thing I got 1.85" from Isaias because I think yesterday was the last chance for rain for a long time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted August 8, 2020 Share Posted August 8, 2020 18 minutes ago, BlizzardNole said: Nothing at all after two days of flood watches. Good thing I got 1.85" from Isaias because I think yesterday was the last chance for rain for a long time. The flood watch was put in effect because of the already saturated ground in many places. There was never going to be a widespread event over the last 2 days, and some areas did indeed receive excessive rain in a very short period. It does look mostly dry for the next few days at least. Mid to late next week could feature some storm chances. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherShak Posted August 8, 2020 Share Posted August 8, 2020 .Really neat observation on radar this morning. Bugs? Reminded me of outflow from a bomb. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted August 8, 2020 Share Posted August 8, 2020 16 minutes ago, BlizzardNole said: Nothing at all after two days of flood watches. Good thing I got 1.85" from Isaias because I think yesterday was the last chance for rain for a long time. My point and click has rain chances most of next week. I haven't been out to check how much fell last evening but I'd estimate 3". Close to 10" in 4 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted August 8, 2020 Share Posted August 8, 2020 9 hours ago, WinterWxLuvr said: I’ve never seen anything “useful” about a three week forecast. A pattern recognition argument can be made for a forecast beyond ten days but even that is sketchy. I just can’t wrap my head around who the weather forecast a month in advance benefits. Christopher Newport on the Susan Constant? Spend the money and come up with a model that is superb at 7 days. Now that would be useful. It was tongue in cheek, thus the use of quotations. Generally not worth much, other than maybe providing an idea of the 'big picture' pattern going forward. That said, extending the range of the ensemble system, and making changes(spending money) to improve performance inside of 10 days are not mutually exclusive. This GEFS (v12) upgrade provides higher resolution, and increases the number of ensemble members to 31. There are other technical changes in the model physics. eta- the rationale for extending the forecast range and some of the 'in the weeds' changes to the model. Quote Recently, there has been a large demand for subseasonal prediction, and GEFS v12 forecasts will be extended to 35 days to cover this time range. To better represent large uncertainties associated with this time scale, SPPT (stochastic physics perturbed tendency) and SKEB (stochastic kinetic energy backscatter) stochastic schemes are taking the place of the original STTP (stochastic total tendency perturbation), and a prescribed SST generated from combination of NSST and bias corrected CFS forecasts is also applied to simulate the sub-seasonal variation of SST forcing. https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2020EGUGA..22.6379F/abstract Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted August 8, 2020 Share Posted August 8, 2020 @WeatherShak I think probably birds leaving a roost. I’d guess swallows like purple martins. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhino16 Posted August 8, 2020 Share Posted August 8, 2020 The weenies want more forecast hours to drool over... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GramaxRefugee Posted August 8, 2020 Share Posted August 8, 2020 1 hour ago, dailylurker said: My point and click has rain chances most of next week. I haven't been out to check how much fell last evening but I'd estimate 3". Close to 10" in 4 days. You inspired me to dump the gauge. 2.90" for last night. I wouldn't be surprised if you have a bit more. My electric gauge had 3.76, but in summer there's lots of tree interference on that Davis, and it can't be trusted. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GramaxRefugee Posted August 8, 2020 Share Posted August 8, 2020 2 hours ago, BlizzardNole said: ....I think yesterday was the last chance for rain for a long time. I hope you're right. But after 5 straight days with rain...well y'know, trend is my friend, and all that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted August 8, 2020 Share Posted August 8, 2020 40 minutes ago, Rhino16 said: The weenies want more forecast hours to drool over... I am sure there will be plenty of west based -NAO at day 27. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted August 8, 2020 Share Posted August 8, 2020 Another day another record , another 1,000 year event. https://www.delawareonline.com/story/news/2020/08/07/friday-storm-delaware-isaias-delmarva-power-flooding-rain/3324504001/ The Delaware Environmental Observing System measured 1.03 inches of rain in just five minutes at its Greenville station near Winterthur, state climatologist Dan Leathers said. According to the NOAA Atlas-14, the document that the National Weather Service uses to examine these types of events, that amount of rain in five minutes would be expected less than once every 1,000 years, Leathers said. Leathers said he and his team were still looking at the storm in more detail Friday night. The storm dumped more than four inches of rain at that Greenville station in around 30 minutes, Leathers said, and the area near Hockessin Fire Co. saw more than three inches of rain. So, too, did the Claymont area. As of 1130 p.m., more than 11,000 Delmarva Power customers were without power. It all happened quickly. The National Weather Service issued a severe thunderstorm warning at 5:38 p.m., when a storm with wind gusts of 60 mph and the potential for hail was over Kennett Square, Pa., just over the Pennsylvania state line. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Herb@MAWS Posted August 8, 2020 Share Posted August 8, 2020 A whopping 0.03" Friday evening, MBY being on the SW end of that line of storms. At least some light watering for the plants. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winter Wizard Posted August 8, 2020 Share Posted August 8, 2020 Last night’s flood event in Wilmington was statistically a once-every-1000-year flooding event. Insane. Scroll up in the thread for full video of the flooding. Can anyone recall what the stats were for rainfall intensity during the Elliott City floods? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 8, 2020 Share Posted August 8, 2020 One time of year some extra clouds and a little east wind isn't the worst. Altho the forecast isn't looking too great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted August 8, 2020 Share Posted August 8, 2020 80/71 here Not bad out as long as you aren't moving too much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted August 8, 2020 Share Posted August 8, 2020 Just now, CAPE said: 80/71 here Not bad out as long as you aren't moving too much. Unfortunately I’m moving too much lol. Lacrosse tournament at the park I work at today, unfortunately field conditions were muddy so had to do some rakin’. It definitely is muggy out. Good thing it isn’t 95 too though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted August 8, 2020 Share Posted August 8, 2020 5 hours ago, GramaxRefugee said: You inspired me to dump the gauge. 2.90" for last night. I wouldn't be surprised if you have a bit more. My electric gauge had 3.76, but in summer there's lots of tree interference on that Davis, and it can't be trusted. Yeah. I got 7.20" from the tropical storm and 2.85" last night. I said near 10" because I figured the trees might of interfered a little. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted August 8, 2020 Share Posted August 8, 2020 2 minutes ago, Baltimorewx said: Unfortunately I’m moving too much lol. Lacrosse tournament at the park I work at today, unfortunately field conditions were muddy so had to do some rakin’. It definitely is muggy out. Good thing it isn’t 95 too though. Yeah I have been outside working too. Lost most of the clouds and the sun is beating down now. Time for a break. (maybe a beer) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted August 8, 2020 Share Posted August 8, 2020 The lowering sun angle is becoming more noticeable now. The mid day full sun area is shrinking, and more of the yard is shaded/filtered by trees longer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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