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August Discobs 2020


George BM
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24 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said:

The radar is fairly active for pre sunrise. Flash flood watches all the way to the coast.

Morning AFD from LWX tells us why

Quote

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
409 AM EDT Thu Aug 13 2020

.SYNOPSIS...
A front will stall over the Middle Atlantic today, then drift
southward Friday into Saturday. The front will then lift back
northward through the end of the weekend as low pressure lifts
into the Ohio River Valley.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Stalled front in the vicinity combined with a tropical air mass
and passing shortwave energy promises to make the next few days
interesting. For this morning, a fairly significant vort max and
shortwave will move through shortly. This is already starting to
cause storms to develop, and expect coverage to expand
northward, maxing out during rush hour. Locally heavy rain is
very possible and given the rain we had yesterday in some areas,
a flash flood watch seemed prudent. Ran the watch through this
evening as expect more storms to fire in the afternoon, but
highest coverage likely occurs this morning with the shortwave.
Exhaustion of CAPE and modest height rises/anticyclonic flow
this afternoon likely keep coverage a bit reduced. Some sun will
break through, but highs will only be in the 80s. By comparison,
tonight looks like we will be between upper level features, so
evening convection will diminish and do not expect a refiring
overnight. Lows in the 60s to 70s.
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13 minutes ago, CAPE said:

Nothing here other than a brief sprinkle yesterday evening. After 7" last week, probably whiff on this period. Things tend to even out.

i could drive 5 min south and find rain. so close, but so far. oh well. sorry you're missing out too

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