Tropical connection NYC forum area Sun-Wed, 8/2-5/20- Tropical Storm Isaias

[doncat]

Top gust so far 53mph.

[Cfa]

2 minutes ago, psv88 said:

Those supercells south of the island are headed right towards us. ITs going to get ugly

Getting dark here now, I’m currently dragging in the houseplants, one of which already blew over in last night’s thunderstorm.

Also, am I the easternmost forum regular? I feel like I’m always the last one to see impacts with most storms.

[wdrag]

Here's some more rainfall for you since 1201AM this Tuesday morning!  Wantage now 1.50"  Worried about tree branches breaking. Wunderground for nw NJ and down near ABE-TTN.  

Thinking and thank that the modeling is doing well...  too far east on track the past 5 days but consensus tracks said we had a problem.  Will try and provide some brief overview images Wed morning. Credit to all the researchers and use of computers-stats. 245P/4

[Allsnow]

1.20 highest gust has been 55mph 

[eduggs]

Just now, Tatamy said:

No bust out here.  7.22” and coming down.

What you are experiencing is what I was concerned about further east.  Fortunately the primarily rain axis stayed west.

[psv88]

1 minute ago, Cfa said:

Getting dark here now, I’m currently dragging in the houseplants, one of which already blew over in last night’s thunderstorm.

Also, am I the easternmost forum regular? I feel like I’m always the last one to see impacts with most storms.

Gusting close to 50 now and raining sideways

[Allsnow]

Just now, eduggs said:

What you are experiencing is what I was concerned about further east.  Fortunately the primarily rain axis stayed west.

The further east track definitely open up the metro for stronger winds. The tor watch (while warranted) never really produced around the metro. 
 

[Pequest]

Just over 3 inches of liquid now out here in central Warren County, NJ. 

[justinj]

3 minutes ago, Cfa said:

Getting dark here now, I’m currently dragging in the houseplants, one of which already blew over in last night’s thunderstorm.

Also, am I the easternmost forum regular? I feel like I’m always the last one to see impacts with most storms.

Where are you located in Suffolk? I’m in holbrook

[lee59]

.07 inch of rain here so far

[NJwx85]

Special Marine Warning
ANZ345-353-355-373-375-041745-
/O.NEW.KOKX.MA.W.0073.200804T1638Z-200804T1745Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Special Marine Warning
National Weather Service New York NY
1238 PM EDT Tue Aug 4 2020

The National Weather Service in Upton NY has issued a

* Special Marine Warning for...

  Sandy Hook NJ to Moriches Inlet NY out 40 NM...

  Long Island South Shore Bays...

* Until 145 PM EDT.

* At 1238 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing
  waterspouts was located 26 nm east of Shark River Reef, moving
  northwest at 45 knots.

  HAZARD...Waterspouts and wind gusts in excess of 50 knots.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Waterspouts can easily overturn boats and create locally
           hazardous seas. Boats could suffer significant structural
           damage in high winds. Small craft could capsize in
           suddenly higher waves.

* The severe thunderstorm will be near...
  Barnum Island and Island Park around 130 PM EDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 400 PM EDT for southeastern
New York.

Move to safe harbor until hazardous weather passes.

&&

LAT...LON 4062 7394 4065 7378 4061 7374 4062 7372
      4065 7370 4064 7364 4067 7355 4067 7339
      4069 7335 4025 7285 4003 7312
TIME...MOT...LOC 1638Z 141DEG 44KT 4013 7313

[Allsnow]

Parts of Long Island will be lucky to break .50 of rain 

[eduggs]

2 minutes ago, wdrag said:

Here's some more rainfall for you.  Wantage now 1.50"  Worried about tree branches breaking. Wunderground for nw NJ and down near ABE-TTN.  

Thank the modeling is doing well...  too far east on track the past 5 days but consensus tracks said we had a problem.  Will try and some brief overview images ed morning. 1245P/4

 

Thanks for all your graphics.  Can you provide time frames with the totals?  Is that hourly, daily, multi day?  A few local totals (near Dover) look like they might be 2 day totals.  

[Nibor]

Just now, Allsnow said:

Parts of Long Island will be lucky to break .50 of rain 

I mean, wasn't that the forecast?

[Rtd208]

Insane winds. 

[psv88]

2 minutes ago, NJwx85 said:

Special Marine Warning
ANZ345-353-355-373-375-041745-
/O.NEW.KOKX.MA.W.0073.200804T1638Z-200804T1745Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Special Marine Warning
National Weather Service New York NY
1238 PM EDT Tue Aug 4 2020

The National Weather Service in Upton NY has issued a

* Special Marine Warning for...

  Sandy Hook NJ to Moriches Inlet NY out 40 NM...

  Long Island South Shore Bays...

* Until 145 PM EDT.

* At 1238 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing
  waterspouts was located 26 nm east of Shark River Reef, moving
  northwest at 45 knots.

  HAZARD...Waterspouts and wind gusts in excess of 50 knots.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Waterspouts can easily overturn boats and create locally
           hazardous seas. Boats could suffer significant structural
           damage in high winds. Small craft could capsize in
           suddenly higher waves.

* The severe thunderstorm will be near...
  Barnum Island and Island Park around 130 PM EDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 400 PM EDT for southeastern
New York.

Move to safe harbor until hazardous weather passes.

&&

LAT...LON 4062 7394 4065 7378 4061 7374 4062 7372
      4065 7370 4064 7364 4067 7355 4067 7339
      4069 7335 4025 7285 4003 7312
TIME...MOT...LOC 1638Z 141DEG 44KT 4013 7313

Cluster headed right into LI

[wdrag]

over 15% of the state of NJ population without power...650,000+

[NJwx85]

3 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

The further east track definitely open up the metro for stronger winds. The tor watch (while warranted) never really produced around the metro. 
 

The track ended up right over 95 which pushed the tornado threat offshore and more towards LI. Not going to make a difference in the wind department though. And many areas are going to get over 2" of rain which is more than it looked like was going to happen.

[SnowGoose69]

LGA and JFK both 52kts the last few minutes 

[Allsnow]

1 minute ago, Nibor said:

I mean, wasn't that the forecast?

Yep. 

[eduggs]

Morristown hit 50 kts, maybe higher last hour.  There should be lots of limbs scattered about the roadways.

[NJwx85]

1 minute ago, Nibor said:

I mean, wasn't that the forecast?

Plus we've known for two days that rain wasn't going to be the big ticket item for our immediate area.

I don't understand the obsession with rainfall. Had less than 2" with Sandy.

[bluewave]

South Shore LI gusting to 57 mph at Gilgo.

10:45

77.0

72.1

73.6

85

42.0

57.0

https://mesowest.utah.edu/cgi-bin/droman/meso_base_dyn.cgi?stn=F3143&unit=0&timetype=GMT

 

[Brian5671]

That feeder band jumped over most of us-far eastern LI may get into it....

[jm1220]

3 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Parts of Long Island will be lucky to break .50 of rain 

Called that 2 days ago. The east side of these is never a good place for high rain amounts. You have to be lucky and be under a feeder band for a while. West of track is always where the heavy rain is. 
 

That said wind is definitely picking up here with a shower that just came through. I hear sirens in the distance too. 

[Allsnow]

Just had a 60 mph gust 

[Maureen]

31 minutes ago, Rtd208 said:

Very strong winds here. Gusting over 50 easily.

Yes, my unscientific opinion of the winds and debris flying around here in Carteret is DAMN 

[jm1220]

Nasty cell looks to be headed for Rt 112 to the Sagtikos. 

[kat5hurricane]

Wind has gone from gusty to nuts here. There must have been a few 60+ mph gusts mixed in. Building shakers 

[wdrag]

6 minutes ago, eduggs said:

Thanks for all your graphics.  Can you provide time frames with the totals?  Is that hourly, daily, multi day?  A few local totals (near Dover) look like they might be 2 day totals.  

My mistake: hurried multi tasking.  Those weather underground are ONLY since midnight!!!!! You'll see some massive amounts near PHL when this all said and done...my """guess""" 10" since last evening.