Tropical connection NYC forum area Sun-Wed, 8/2-5/20- Tropical Storm Isaias

[weathermedic]

Strong cells developing south of Long Island

[NJwx85]

1 minute ago, eduggs said:

Should have cut back 50% or more.  In my experience, wind products are always overdone outside shorelines, exposed terrain, and with convection.  That said, the backside of this is gonna be gusty.  

We did cut it back 50%, and it still gives us 40-50kts 

[Wxnyc]

Very windy now , spurts of heavy rain , nothing crazy ...

[Allsnow]

Hearing Staten Island has numerous trees and wires down 

[eduggs]

In most of NJ, rain underperformed but wind and isolated severe have mostly delivered as expected.  The past hour has really felt like a tropical storm.

[Stormlover74]

Just had a 50+ gust easily 

[lee59]

Confirmed 109mph wind gust at Long Beach Island weather station. This accured during severe cell maybe a tornado

[SRRTA22]

18 minutes ago, SRRTA22 said:

Where? Dont really see it...unless it dissipated 

Nvm...kdix died lol

[sussexcountyobs]

1.7" of rain so far. Wind ENE @7mph

[jm1220]

Just now, lee59 said:

Confirmed 109mph wind gust at Long Beach Island weather station.

Uhh what? 

[SI Mailman]

Hearing Staten Island has numerous trees and wires down 

I am currently in Charleston by the Outerbridge. We have lost power

[lee59]

Just now, jm1220 said:

Uhh what? 

Just heard it from Jeff Smith meteorologist on channel 7. This is a weather station and it is confirmed

[eduggs]

2 minutes ago, lee59 said:

Confirmed 109mph wind gust at Long Beach Island weather station. This accured during severe cell maybe a tornado

Almost certainly a tornado.  Was pretty clear on radar and eyewitness accounts.

[jdt]

1 minute ago, lee59 said:

Just heard it from Jeff Smith meteorologist on channel 7. This is a weather station and it is confirmed

Could that be related to an earlier tornado?

[NJwx85]

1 minute ago, eduggs said:

In most of NJ, rain underperformed but wind and isolated severe have mostly delivered as expected.  The past hour has really felt like a tropical storm.

Not under performing here. 

[Rtd208]

Very strong winds here. Gusting over 50 easily.

[justinj]

Looks like jersey is getting the best of it 

[NJwx85]

[eduggs]

1 minute ago, NJwx85 said:

Not under performing here. 

What do you have in the bucket?

[wdrag]

6 minutes ago, lee59 said:

Confirmed 109mph wind gust at Long Beach Island weather station. This accured during severe cell maybe a tornado

 

1 minute ago, NJwx85 said:

Not under performing here. 

Thank you... i saw the 95 kt but didn't take the time to look back at detail. Has to be massive problem near that station. Would like to know. 

[terrapin8100]

8 minutes ago, lee59 said:

Confirmed 109mph wind gust at Long Beach Island weather station. This accured during severe cell maybe a tornado

000
WTNT64 KNHC 041557
TCUAT4

Tropical Storm Isaias Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL092020
1200 PM EDT Tue Aug 4 2020

...1200 PM EDT POSITION UPDATE...
...STRONG WINDS...HEAVY RAINFALL...AND TORNADOES OCCURRING OVER 
SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA WILL CONTINUE TO 
SPREAD NORTHWARD ALONG THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST THIS AFTERNOON...


A Weatherflow weather station at Long Beach Island Surf, New Jersey, 
recently reported a sustained wind of 46 mph (74 km/h) and a gust to 
59 mph (94 km/h).

Around 1053 AM EDT, this same weather observing station measured a 
wind gust of 109 mph (176 km/h), which was associated with a 
tornadic thunderstorm. Doppler weather radar data from Ft. Dix, New 
Jersey, indicated Doppler velocities as high as 112 mph (180 km/h) 
at an altitude of 1,590 above ground level at this same location. 
However, this wind is not considered to be representative of 
Isaias' larger wind field.

Also, a Weatherflow observing site located at Rutgers/Little Egg 
Harbor, New Jersey, recently reported a sustained wind of 52 mph 
(84 km/h) and a gust to 70 mph (113 km/h).


SUMMARY OF 1200 PM EDT...1600 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...39.6N 75.8W
ABOUT 10 MI...20 KM WSW OF WILMINGTON DELAWARE
ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM WSW OF PHILADELPHIA PENNSYLVANIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 35 MPH...56 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.32 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Stewart/Roberts

[Animal]

Just now, NJwx85 said:

I have barely an inch.

that shows over 2 inches in my area

[lee59]

2 minutes ago, jdt said:

Could that be related to an earlier tornado?

yes

[NJwx85]

1 minute ago, eduggs said:

What do you have in the bucket?

I'm at work and without a gauge, but it's been pouring non stop for over an hour and radar estimates are well over an inch.

[kat5hurricane]

Winds kicked up big time here.

[lee59]

46mph. gust here

[wizard021]

I had a gust in Staten Island well over 60.

[Wxnyc]

Ok, just gusted to almost hurricane strength here in Brooklyn. 71 MPH

[NJwx85]

Special Marine Warning
ANZ335-345-355-375-041715-
/O.COR.KOKX.MA.W.0072.200804T1619Z-200804T1715Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Special Marine Warning
National Weather Service New York NY
1226 PM EDT Tue Aug 4 2020

The National Weather Service in Upton NY has issued a

* Special Marine Warning for...

  Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet NY out 40 NM...

  Long Island Sound West of New Haven CT / Port Jefferson NY...

  Long Island South Shore Bays...

* Until 115 PM EDT.

* At 1225 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 15 nm east of
  Shark River Reef, moving northwest at 50 knots.

  HAZARD...Wind gusts in excess of 50 knots.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Boats could suffer significant structural damage in high
           winds. Small craft could capsize in suddenly higher
           waves.

[eduggs]

1 minute ago, NJwx85 said:

I'm at work and without a gauge, but it's been pouring non stop for over an hour and radar estimates are well over an inch.

Based on the past 2 days off inter-model averages, I'd say it's a bit of an underperformer in the QPF department for much of the State.  NW areas have been consistently modeled in the 2-6" range.  It's not over yet.