Tropical connection NYC forum area Sun-Wed, 8/2-5/20- Tropical Storm Isaias

[weatherpruf]

6 minutes ago, Amped said:

Looks like winds are funneling into the NYC bite on that HRRX map.   If correct, winds will be higher there than SNJ .

Ny Bight? That would be offshore ( and better for us, meaning we don't want all that wind ) but Im not sure thats what you meant.....

[psv88]

Newark 43, LGA 41

[alexj7]

Doylestown, PA had some significant tornado damage. Pictures on social media of flipped cars and reports of building collapses. Radar showed rotation.

[SRRTA22]

5 minutes ago, NJwx85 said:

Nice couplet on radar now.

Where? Dont really see it...unless it dissipated 

[weatherpruf]

WHen should the rain stop.... so I. can get the generator cranking if needed ( not comfortable with the thing running in the rain with a tapr over it ) and still praying I won't need it....

[Rjay]

Getting sand blasted at Jones Beach 

[wdrag]

Many reports 50-60 kt coastal plain of NJ and Atlantic Coastal DE. At least one station not reporting anymore in DE BAY. Perth Amboy near 50 kt now. NJ power outages up to at least 274,000 customers (more than half a million people without power). 

1.16 Wantage at 1205P/4

[lee59]

I have already hit wind gusts as strong as Fay.

[weatherpruf]

1 minute ago, wdrag said:

Many reports 50-60 kt coastal plain of NJ and Atlantic Coastal DE. At least one station not reporting anymore in DE BAY. Perth Amboy near 50 kt now. NJ power outages up to at least 274,000 customers (more than half a million people without power). 

1.16 Wantage at 1205P/4

Right near Perth Amboy, just had a wicked gust.....rain eased up. Hoping this follows all the recent snowstorms and precip falls mostly east or west of me....still gotta deal with the winds ; just wishful nonscientific spitballing here....not a fan of storms like this.

[Wxnyc]

Highest gust at my station in Brooklyn 52 mph not too shabby . 

[NJwx85]

What's left of the Eastern part of the eyewall has some activity with it now.

[psv88]

Just now, lee59 said:

I have already hit wind gusts as strong as Fay.

Yea, gusting to around 45 now, big boy gusts

[2112wxgrl]

Power out in my part of Wantage. Up along the ridge near Space Farms.

[eduggs]

Too bad most places in the US never buried their power lines like Germany, the Netherlands, and other industrialized nations.

[jm1220]

Another feeder band might be developing E of ACY. 

[eduggs]

Winds are impressive today.  But clearly some of the really big wind numbers on yesterday's ECM and UK products were overdone.

[NJwx85]

[NJwx85]

Just now, eduggs said:

Winds are impressive today.  But clearly some of the really big wind numbers on the ECM and UK products were overdone.

We knew this, and still even cut back the gust potential is high end for our area.

[lee59]

2 minutes ago, Wxnyc said:

Highest gust at my station in Brooklyn 52 mph not too shabby . 

Wow you must be right on the water unless you were under a severe cell.

 

[Rjay]

7 minutes ago, Rjay said:

Getting sand blasted at Jones Beach 

https://streamable.com/mmzgf1

[allgame830]

Just now, Rjay said:

https://streamable.com/mmzgf1

Wow very impressive! 

[NJwx85]

3 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Another feeder band might be developing E of ACY. 

It is.

[weathermedic]

I'm checking the Kingsborough College (foot of Jamaica Bay on the eastern end of Manhattan Beach Brooklyn) Davis weather station data and they only have a high gust to 38 mph. Don't know how delayed that is though.

[NJwx85]

Cannot remember the last time I saw this.

 

[NJwx85]

[lee59]

1 minute ago, weathermedic said:

I'm checking the Kingsborough College (foot of Jamaica Bay on the eastern end of Manhattan Beach Brooklyn) Davis weather station data and they only have a high gust to 38 mph. Don't know how delayed that is though.

That seems about right, I have 36mph.

[eduggs]

4 minutes ago, NJwx85 said:

We knew this, and still even cut back the gust potential is high end for our area.

Should have cut back 50% or more.  In my experience, wind products are always overdone outside shorelines, exposed terrain, and with convection.  That said, the backside of this is gonna be gusty.  

Surface wind is a very local phenomenon.  Models lack both the vertical and horizontal resolution to resolve it.  And the resulting averaging overestimates winds in areas not prone to it.

[Brian5671]

5 minutes ago, eduggs said:

Winds are impressive today.  But clearly some of the really big wind numbers on yesterday's ECM and UK products were overdone.

wind products on these models are almost always over done-reduce by 25 to even 50%

[wdrag]

13 minutes ago, NJwx85 said:

We knew this, and still even cut back the gust potential is high end for our area.

Yes... but LI-yours is to come now.  If you get to 65-68 kt in a few places.. i consider that a hit on 24 hours notice. Let's see what happens.

 

In the meantime... there will be maybe a 1 hour lull when the wind shifts from south to sw, then blasts for 30 minutes out of the west 45-55kt, before the wind abruptly drops off. Used the experience of platforms in DE. 

[tiger_deF]

New Jersey has over 400,000 out of power which equates to roughly 1 million people