eduggs Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Big hydro problems from MD to EPA. Fortunately this thing is moving pretty quick. Axis of heaviest rain stayed just west of the metros. Looks like one or two quick shots of tors as the main feeder band spins through and then a few hours of very gusty winds. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 1 minute ago, eduggs said: Big hydro problems from MD to EPA. Fortunately this thing is moving pretty quick. Axis of heaviest rain stayed just west of the metros. Looks like one or two quick shots of tors as the main feeder band spins through and then a few hours of very gusty winds. Great post Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Rain and winds picking up here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 If this storm had stayed east of the metro the flooding would have been very impactful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 25 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: In 26 minutes, Philadelphia has picked up 1.17" rain. That brings the daily figure to 3.01". The daily figure surpassed the old record of 2.74", which was set in 1915. Heavy rain axis looks about where it was expected, maybe even a bit East. There should be some 3-4” amounts in the western half of NJ too. I would rather have taken that then the high winds and tornado threat here on the right side. Still not much wind here but models have it picking up pretty quickly as the major feeder band comes in. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 17 minutes ago, jasperk99 said: Stupid question I always thought we look at the Velocity radars to look for tornado activity. On several videos, I have seen meteorologists use the correlation coefficient radar that we usually use to look for the changeover line in a snow/sleet storm. What is the difference? Thank you in advance No question is stupid. Storm relative velocity will show you rotation but using correlation coefficient/differential reflectivity is as close to ground truth as you can get using radar. It will show you if there's debris being lofted into the air. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Winds gusting 35ish now, hearing that sound Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Just now, jm1220 said: Heavy rain axis looks about where it was expected, maybe even a bit East. There should be some 3-4” amounts in the western half of NJ too. I would rather have taken that then the high winds and tornado threat here on the right side. Still not much wind here but models have it picking up pretty quickly as the major feeder band comes in. Wind is kicking up here, should be by you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Just now, jm1220 said: Heavy rain axis looks about where it was expected, maybe even a bit East. There should be some 3-4” amounts in the western half of NJ too. I would rather have taken that then the high winds and tornado threat here on the right side. Still not much wind here but models have it picking up pretty quickly as the major feeder band comes in. That appears to be the case. The wind will likely pick up very quickly over the next hour or two. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 27 mph wind gust here, been picking up all morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jasperk99 Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 1 minute ago, Rjay said: No questiom is stupid. Storm relative velocity will show you rotation but using correlation coefficient is as close to ground truth you can get using radar. It will show you if there's debris being lofted into the air. ah, thank you! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 LGA gusting to 32 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kat5hurricane Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 2 minutes ago, Allsnow said: If this storm had stayed east of the metro the flooding would have been very impactful There are still going to be wind impacts. It's pick your poison with this system, rain impact to the west vs. wind impact to the east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 the feeder band is almost here...if NYC gets anything severe it will come within a few hours... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Just now, psv88 said: LGA gusting to 32 It’s going to come in like a wall with the main feeder band. We should see consistent gusts in the 50s then. After that the question is can we surpass 70 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 A lot of small/weak spin ups were not and probably will not be identified and flagged. They are forming and moving very quickly. If you could be out in a boat safely SE of Atlantic City I bet you would have a great view of several tornadic waterspouts parading in that line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Gusting close to 40 Id day sky getting real dark Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 2 minutes ago, kat5hurricane said: There are still going to be wind impacts. It's pick your poison with this system, rain impact to the west vs. wind impact to the east. I much prefer the rain but it isn't up to me is it.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Still calm here. 80/77. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 In the past hour, Philadelphia picked up 1.77" rain. That brings today's total to 3.61" (old record: 2.74", 1915). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Ocean and southern Momnouth under tornado warning according to news 12....when will the tornado danger pass for the region? I'm not even thinking about the power right now....this is a quick mover right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 I've had a few showers, the only heavy one was the first around 10pm last night that dropped .12". The wind has also been light and inconsequential so far. I'd be OK if it stayed that way. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 3 minutes ago, weatherpruf said: Ocean and southern Momnouth under tornado warning according to news 12....when will the tornado danger pass for the region? I'm not even thinking about the power right now....this is a quick mover right? by mid afternoon it should be through the area 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Just now, Stormlover74 said: by mid afternoon it should be through the area Right in your backyard here bud....daughter is supposed to have a Chem lab quiz at 5....told her to email the professor we may have no power.. all classes are online. This guy's a one those persnicketty types, admin already had a talk with him.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted August 4, 2020 Author Share Posted August 4, 2020 64 KT occurred Ocean MD on a platform. Elevated platform in DE BAY 67 kt. LBI SURF looks like a potentially very bad report a few minutes ago and so not using but if there is big damage by LBI...specific report should be sent here with resource. 50 KT up to Brick NJ. Within about 2 hours NYC and LI involved with 50 kt+ 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 6 minutes ago, weatherpruf said: Ocean and southern Momnouth under tornado warning according to news 12....when will the tornado danger pass for the region? I'm not even thinking about the power right now....this is a quick mover right? The main impact from any tornadoes would be from the main feeder band that’s over central NJ now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
justinj Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 11 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: It’s going to come in like a wall with the main feeder band. We should see consistent gusts in the 50s then. After that the question is can we surpass 70 We won’t. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 ACY gusting to 65 mph now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Pouring in this feeder band Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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