Tropical connection NYC forum area Sun-Wed, 8/2-5/20- Tropical Storm Isaias

[Franklin0529]

11 hours ago, wdrag said:

 

Not a drop of rain in Monmouth county by sandy hook this morning 

 

[wdrag]

Winds gusting ~60 MPh now Dewey Beach DE to the MD/VA coasts.  845A/4

[Newman]

Yeah confirmed tornadoes across Delaware. Those storms are only going to rotate into a more primed environment across the Jersey and NYC areas.

[NJwx85]

6 minutes ago, wdrag said:

Winds gusting ~60 MPh now Dewey Beach DE to the MD/VA coasts.  845A/4

Friend of mine in Ocean City, MD just went on a Facebook rant about how all they've had is a 20 minute shower and a few 30mph gusts.

[NJwx85]

[Tatamy]

Storm rainfall total has now passed 3”.  

[wdrag]

Wachapreague VA  58 KT around 9A. 

[bluewave]

This may be the highest rainfall total of the event so far.

 

[Allsnow]

Still not much going on here currently. Winds are calm and no rain 

[Santa Claus]

2 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Still not much going on here currently. Winds are calm and no rain 

Radar's finally filling in towards us at least.

The axis of heavy rains looks a good 50 miles west of where it was predicted a few days ago.

[wdrag]

 Rain, clearly there has been a west shift, even since yesterday.  Still, squalls are coming to coastal NJ, maybe TORS etc.  On wind:  Power outages spreading north.  

 HRRRX is coming down 5 knots on expected's for today.  That is good news for a little less damage inland NJ.

[donsutherland1]

IEMBot LWX

@iembot_lwx

·

29m

At 7:35 AM EDT, 4 S Chesapeake Beach [Calvert Co, MD] 911 CALL CENTER reports TORNADO. MULTIPLE TREES REPORTED DOWN IN THE WILLOW BEACH COLONY AREA. https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/lsr/#LWX/20200

[hudsonvalley21]

1 hour ago, wdrag said:

Since around 12z 56 KT ECG, ORF 53kt,  and the nw wind at RIC 44kt...  that's the wrap around back side tail get BWI, nW NJ se NYS and just forming now, i think. 

 

Would this be the sting jet that was picked up on some modeling yesterday?

[uncle W]

a few drops now...0.11" since last evening...we will get more wind than rain out of this...oh well...

[Allsnow]

2 minutes ago, Will - Rutgers said:

Radar's finally filling in towards us at least.

The axis of heavy rains looks a good 50 miles west of where it was predicted a few days ago.

Rain is definitely going to miss the bulk of the metro. The back edge is already through Richmond. 
 

the main issue will be wind or severe threat 

[NJwx85]

Getting sporadic downpours here. The radar has really filled in over Southern NJ, and I would expect that to cross the Western half of the subforum. 

[psv88]

3 minutes ago, wdrag said:

 Rain, clearly there has been a west shift, even since yesterday.  Still, squalls are coming to coastal NJ, maybe TORS etc.  On wind:  Power outages spreading north.  

 HRRRX is coming down 5 knots on expected's for today.  That is good news for a little less damage inland NJ.

So synoptic winds will be less than we expected?

[psv88]

Breezy here, winds fresh out of the south/soutwest, gusting up to 20 mph or so

[Allsnow]

For eastern sections the radar has a line down by acy and then that’s it. All the heavy convection continues to pump into eastern Pa 

[dmillz25]

I wonder if the tor watch should have been a pds? Just the area and situation should account for that 

[NJwx85]

1 minute ago, Allsnow said:

For eastern sections the radar has a line down by acy and then that’s it. All the heavy convection continues to pump into eastern Pa 

You do realize that the line you're talking about has about 6 or 7 couplets in it right?

[ForestHillWx]

Radar has definitely filled in. I would expect by 11:00 am the bulk of central/notheast NJ to be in on the action.

I have .5" from last night so far and am on the doorstep of the heavier returns. 

[MJO812]

2 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

For eastern sections the radar has a line down by acy and then that’s it. All the heavy convection continues to pump into eastern Pa 

There are little cells in that bow.

Be patient

[dWave]

There is a tornado warning in Sullivan county

 

[Allsnow]

2 minutes ago, NJwx85 said:

You do realize that the line you're talking about has about 6 or 7 couplets in it right?

Nothing is warned in southern nj. All the tor watches and FFW are in eastern Pa with the heavy convection. You can already see the dry punch of air moving into cape May 

[psv88]

Just now, Allsnow said:

Nothing is warned in southern nj. All the tor watches and FFW are in eastern Pa with the heavy convection. You can already see the dry punch of air moving into cape May 

When you going out on the boat? Already downplaying a storm before it starts, classing Allsnow 

[NJwx85]

2 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Nothing is warned in southern nj. All the tor watches and FFW are in eastern Pa with the heavy convection. You can already see the dry punch of air moving into cape May 

Go away.

[psv88]

Just now, NJwx85 said:

Go away.

He trolls every event, its a shame because he is a good poster. 

[wdrag]

Many reports 55-60 knots Wallops Island VA north to Dewey Beach DE and now near 50 knots parts of the extreme s NJ coast. 

[NJwx85]

Nothing to worry about in Southern NJ 

 

Marine Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
938 AM EDT Tue Aug 4 2020

ANZ452-453-041400-
/O.CON.KPHI.MA.W.0098.000000T0000Z-200804T1400Z/
938 AM EDT Tue Aug 4 2020

...A SPECIAL MARINE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 AM EDT...

For the following areas...
Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm...
Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out 20
nm...

At 937 AM EDT, a shower capable of producing waterspouts was located
near The Lump, moving north at 55 knots.

HAZARD...Waterspouts and wind gusts 34 knots or greater.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Waterspouts can create locally hazardous seas. Small craft
         could be damaged in briefly higher winds and suddenly
         higher waves.

Locations impacted include...
Sea Isle City, The Lump, Buoy Ge and Ocean City Reef.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...