Tropical connection NYC forum area Sun-Wed, 8/2-5/20- Tropical Storm Isaias

[NJwx85]

Just now, psv88 said:

He trolls every event, its a shame because he is a good poster. 

Agreed.

[donsutherland1]

4 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Nothing is warned in southern nj. All the tor watches and FFW are in eastern Pa with the heavy convection. You can already see the dry punch of air moving into cape May 

From Mount Holly:

IEMBot PHI

@iembot_phi

·

3m

PHI issues Tornado Warning [tornado: RADAR INDICATED, hail: 0.00 IN] for Atlantic, Cape May [NJ] till 10:15 AM EDT

[NJwx85]

The skies just opened up here. Absolutely pouring. 

[wdrag]

Much of DE with 50 Knots or greater since 9AM, including GED, DOV and many coastal reporting sites (courtesy wxflow etc). Posted a map of SVR/TOR/Rain reports since 6A...  many reports not yet shared officially for the LSR. On-going too fast to get the data out (I suspect). 

[psv88]

3 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

From Mount Holly:

IEMBot PHI

@iembot_phi

·

3m

PHI issues Tornado Warning [tornado: RADAR INDICATED, hail: 0.00 IN] for Atlantic, Cape May [NJ] till 10:15 AM EDT

Supercells with clear water spouts offshore too

[psv88]

Winds are gusting around 25 now, ramping up out there

[wizard021]

Vrot on is 60 kt. Thats a ef3 + tornado offshore.

[wdrag]

62 Knots at 948A Ocean City - South Beach in far s NJ.  May be a little high but there should soon be a response in s NJ - power outages. 

[donsutherland1]

IEMBot PHI

@iembot_phi

·

20s

PHI continues Tornado Warning [tornado: OBSERVED, hail: 0.00 IN] for Atlantic, Cape May [NJ] till 10:15 AM EDT

[wdrag]

Cape May now gusting over 50 knots! Would say s 1/2  NJ coast fully involved through 2PM. Quiets down rapidly mid or late afternoon.  MY Error on Brick NJ report which was last evening. edited 957A.  

[forkyfork]

we are a few hours away from mayhem

[MJO812]

I'm about to go near the water to take pics. 

Should be fun

[Rtd208]

 

[wdrag]

26 minutes ago, hudsonvalley21 said:

Would this be the sting jet that was picked up on some modeling yesterday?

I think but cant really analyze well from my home view. Check satellite and other mets may be commenting on this.  No question there weill be a brief 1 or 2 hour shot of 40+KT westerlies behind Isaias.   Thats what should get nw NJ hills after 4P. 

[forkyfork]

 

[MJO812]

The tail of this storm is huge. I doubt It will be in a rush to get out of the way 

[wdrag]

HRRRX wind gusts tend to run high...a bit high but not more than 10kt in my estimation.  Iso seeing HRRRX winds come down 5 or 10 kt is good. t's cranking s NJ -Wallops now and I think the values I'm seeing in the 10z guidance will be accurate to within 5kt. 

[Tatamy]

20 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Nothing is warned in southern nj. All the tor watches and FFW are in eastern Pa with the heavy convection. You can already see the dry punch of air moving into cape May 

Wrong - there is a tornado warned storm in Atlantic Cty right now.  I am watching live coverage of it.

[lee59]

That feeder band over the ocean looks to be moving due north and should hit NYC and Long Island. I think that can give us some good rains, not to mention the wind and embedded storms. So far no rain here except for a strong storm about 9PM last night.

[wkd]

I'm looking forward to reading this sub-forum in a few hours. Should be exciting, especially on Long Island. 

[NJwx85]

7 minutes ago, Rtd208 said:

 

Nothing to worry about, move along. 

[NJwx85]

7 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

The tail of this storm is huge. I doubt It will be in a rush to get out of the way 

It's going to be about 2-3 hours. Not a 20 minute shower.

[forkyfork]

radar looks pretty good for a quick 1-3" from the parkway west

[forkyfork]

[Rtd208]

2 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

Nothing to see here, just some yellow and reds.

[dmillz25]

3 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

Looks meh

[wdrag]

The following is for information only. NOT media for rebroadcast. I'm borrowing from another highly reliable source, with whom I've not had time to discuss permission transmitting his information.  BUT... thisto highlight the seriousness of the on-going event to motivate concern. Short hammering event. Be smart when NWS issues the warnings. 

 

 

Isaias has been overperforming in terms of tornadoes, with many confirmed touchdowns overnight and this morning between NC and Delaware.  Tornado outbreaks in TCs often have a diurnal component, but temperatures staying around 80 (with dewpoints well into the 70s) northeast of the storm's center created sufficient instability to accompany the intense low-level shear and create a night/early morning outbreak.   Significant damage in Suffolk, VA, damage in southern MD and on the eastern shore, and a possible ongoing long-track event through central Delaware.     While the main area of interest right now is in DE/NJ shifting into southeast New England this afternoon, there are active tornado warnings as far north as New Hampshire, and SPC has issued an ENH risk for an area that includes NYC metro.

 

 

 

[bluewave]

The 70 mph + gusts reported right along the coast in VA.

Virginia...

...Accomack County...
Onancock                     70 MPH    0929 AM 08/04   37.65N/75.88W        
Tangier Sound Light          70 MPH    0623 AM 08/04   37.79N/75.97W       

76.39W        

...City of Portsmouth County...
South Norfolk Jordan Bridge  76 MPH    0637 AM 08/04   36.81N/76.29W    

75.09W        

...Virginia...
York River East Rear Range L 74 MPH    0648 AM 08/04   37.25N/76.33W        
Rudee Inlet                  73 MPH    0448 AM 08/04   36.83N/75.97W    

[Rtd208]

2 minutes ago, dmillz25 said:

Looks meh

A couple of showers and a minor breeze.

[weatherpruf]

3 minutes ago, wdrag said:

The following is for information only. NOT media for rebroadcast. I'm borrowing from another highly reliable source, with whom I've not had time to discuss permission transmitting his information.  BUT... thisto highlight the seriousness of the on-going event to motivate concern. Short hammering event. Be smart when NWS issues the warnings. 

 

 

Isaias has been overperforming in terms of tornadoes, with many confirmed touchdowns overnight and this morning between NC and Delaware.  Tornado outbreaks in TCs often have a diurnal component, but temperatures staying around 80 (with dewpoints well into the 70s) northeast of the storm's center created sufficient instability to accompany the intense low-level shear and create a night/early morning outbreak.   Significant damage in Suffolk, VA, damage in southern MD and on the eastern shore, and a possible ongoing long-track event through central Delaware.     While the main area of interest right now is in DE/NJ shifting into southeast New England this afternoon, there are active tornado warnings as far north as New Hampshire, and SPC has issued an ENH risk for an area that includes NYC metro.

 

 

ENH...help me out....panicking here in Middlesex county.