psv88 Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 Low of 75 last night, 90 here now, after struggling the past 2 days. Awaiting the winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 Western Atlantic Ridge strength forecast has been too weak vs what has been occurring. This should mean winds may be bigger threat here tomorrow vs the widespread flooding rains which now look west of the immediate metro areas. EPA.NWNJ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 LGA moves into 3rd place through yesterday for the longest streak of not falling below 70°. ISP also in 3rd place for longest streak of not falling below 65.° FRG is in 1st place for the longest streak of not falling below 70°. HPN in 1st place for not dropping below 64 degrees. BDR is in 1st place for longest streak of not dropping below 68°. Number of Consecutive Days Min Temperature >= 70 for LAGUARDIA AIRPORT, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Run Length Ending Date 1 34 2006-08-10 2 32 1980-08-15 3 31 2020-08-02 4 29 2018-08-19 5 28 2010-07-30 Number of Consecutive Days Min Temperature >= 65 for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Run Length Ending Date 1 42 1988-08-16 2 32 2013-07-24 - 32 1980-08-15 3 31 2020-08-02 - 31 2019-08-09 Number of Consecutive Days Min Temperature >= 70 for FARMINGDALE REPUBLIC AP, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Run Length Ending Date 1 29 2020-08-02 2 15 2010-07-25 - 15 2003-08-16 3 13 2006-08-07 Number of Consecutive Days Min Temperature >= 64 for WESTCHESTER CO AP, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Run Length Ending Date 1 31 2020-08-02 - 31 2013-07-24 2 25 2011-08-10 3 24 1961-09-14 Number of Consecutive Days Min Temperature >= 68 for IGOR I SIKORSKY MEMORIAL AIRPORT, CT Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Run Length Ending Date 1 29 2020-08-02 2 20 2010-07-25 - 20 1994-08-04 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 1PM Roundup BLM: 89 LGA: 89 ACY: 88 TTN: 87 TEB: 87 ISP: 86 JFK: 86 New Brnswck: 86 EWR: 86 NYC: 86 PHL: 86 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 Looks like we are following with a trilogy to late may and June with onshore barrage 8/7 - 8/12/13th then some strong heat. Pattern locked and doesnt want to budge. Tropical implications are FL/ GOM threats for that time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted August 3, 2020 Author Share Posted August 3, 2020 It looks like the higher dewpoints are creeping back in. Current temp 90/DP 69/RH 50% 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 90/65, that makes a heat wave. 15 of last 17 days 90+, or sort of like one long heat wave since Jul 18, minus Fridays Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 3PM Roundup; BLM: 92 LGA: 92 ACY: 91 EWR: 89 TTN: 89 New Brnswck: 89 PHL: 89 TEB: 87 ISP: 86 JFK: 86 NYC: 86 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 LGA mini heateave after the break Friday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 Storms working south to north out of DE and MD near S-NJ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted August 3, 2020 Author Share Posted August 3, 2020 Temp up to 92 here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 1 hour ago, SACRUS said: Looks like we are following with a trilogy to late may and June with onshore barrage 8/7 - 8/12/13th then some strong heat. Pattern locked and doesnt want to budge. Tropical implications are FL/ GOM threats for that time a bit far out, but good weather for the peak of the Perseids Aug 12-13? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 EWR also hit 91 in between hours.Not sure of NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 13 minutes ago, SACRUS said: EWR also hit 91 in between hours.Not sure of NYC I would think NYC hit 90, but never know. I hit 90 at my two weather stations (Muttontown & Syosset) & they usually run about the same at NYC if not a tad cooler. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 Rain may get here before 7:30 at this rate from storms and rain developing in MD/DE/S-NJ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 33 minutes ago, SACRUS said: EWR also hit 91 in between hours.Not sure of NYC Im guessing no, highest I saw was 88 and now latest update is 86. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 3 hours ago, dWave said: Im guessing no, highest I saw was 88 and now latest update is 86. Yep, 88 was the high for NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 8/3 BLM: 93 LGA: 93 ACY: 92 EWR: 91 TTN: 91 TEB: 90 PHL: 90 New Brnswck: 90 NYC: 88 JFK: 88 ISP: 87 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Rain and some strong breezes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Nice storm about to rocket off the ocean into western Nassau. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Today was another very warm day with readings again reaching the upper 80s and even lower 90s in some parts of the region. However, clouds will be increasing overnight and an increasingly stormy day lies ahead for tomorrow as Isaias advances north-northeastward. At the height of the storm, winds could gust past 65 mph along coastal New Jersey, the south shore of Long Island and the Long Island Sound. A few 70 mph or above gusts are possible. Isaias will bring heavy rainfall as it moves northward across the Chesapeake Bay, through New Jersey and into southern New York State en route to northern New England and then Canada tomorrow into Wednesday. A general 2"-4" rainfall is likely along and west of a line extending from Poughkeepsie to Wilmington, DE. There will likely be an area of 3"-6" rainfall with locally higher amounts in a portion of the region including Baltimore, Philadelphia and Washington, DC. As of 8:30 pm, Washington, DC had picked up 0.40" rain. Select rainfall estimates based on a weighted multi-model blend include: Allentown: 3"-6" Baltimore: 3"-6" Harrisburg: 2"-4" Islip: 0.50"-1.50" New York City: 1”-3” Newark: 2”-4” Philadelphia: 3”-6” Washington, DC: 3”-6” The 12z UKMET was again a wet outlier. Given the storm's forward motion, its solution appears to be unlikely. As a result, it was discounted. Uncertainty for Islip and New York City remains relatively high. The current predominantly warmer than normal pattern will likely persist through much of September, paving the way for a solidly warmer than normal summer and a warm start to fall throughout the region. Occasional short-lived cool shots remain possible. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -1.1°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.8°C for the week centered around July 29. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -1.08°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.25°C. Neutral-cool conditions will likely into the start of autumn. During the autumn, La Niña conditions could develop. The Region 3.4 anomaly is the lowest such figure in July since 2010. Since weekly recordkeeping commenced in 1990, July 1998 was the only other summer following an El Niño winter that saw a comparably cool Region 3.4 anomaly. Both cases went on to have a very warm September and warmer than normal autumn. They diverged in December with the state of the Arctic Oscillation (AO) making a decisive difference. The SOI was +0.85. Today, the preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) figure was -0.088. On August 2, the MJO was in Phase 3 at an amplitude of 0.780 (RMM). The August 1-adjusted amplitude was 0.995. Last year, the MJO went through a very strong passage through Phase 1 during the closing days of May. About four weeks later, a warmer than normal pattern locked in and predominated through early autumn. This year, the MJO was in Phase 1 for 3 consecutive days with an amplitude of 1.500 or above during the June 1-3 period. Last year, the SOI fell to -42.04 on June 22 when the MJO was in Phase 6. This year, the SOI plunged below -46.68 on June 5, its lowest level in more than three years. The dramatic plunge in the SOI could be the proverbial spark that kicks off a sequence of events leading to the development of a sustained warmer than normal period. The cases that saw both the MJO and SOI thresholds satisfied generally saw 10-20 days where the temperature reached or exceeded 90° in New York City during the July 1-August 31 period. Since 1990, there have been 11 La Niña events, 6 of which followed an El Niño winter. 10/11 (91%) case saw warmer than normal September. All 6 following an El Niño winter were warmer than normal. September mean temperatures for New York City for those cases were: 11 cases: 69.9°; Subset of 6 cases: 70.8°; Entire 1990-2019 period: 69.0°. The September mean temperature for all La Niña and neutral-cool cases following an El Niño winter (1950-2019: n=13) was 69.9°. Overall, the evolution of ENSO, along with the observed ongoing monthly warming (1.6°/decade in NYC and 1.5°/decade in the Northeast Region during September 1990-2019), favors a warmer than normal September. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Crazy storm here. Very windy. Severe warning up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 @bluewave getting smacked now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 0.56 from the storms before and winds hit 33 mph gust. Prelude to the show tomrorw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 12 minutes ago, Rjay said: Crazy storm here. Very windy. Severe warning up Not much rain but windy as hell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Storm just started here. Definitely gusty wind, enough to sway trees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Dewpoint surging from 68 to 72 here now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 crazy winds here-not alot of rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 1 hour ago, uofmiami said: Yep, 88 was the high for NYC. Maybe some of Isaias winds can blow away the overgrowth tomorrow.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted August 4, 2020 Author Share Posted August 4, 2020 Picked up 0.28" of rain from the storms that moved thru earlier this evening. Current temp 73/DP 70/RH 92% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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