Damage In Tolland Posted August 21, 2020 Share Posted August 21, 2020 FV3 never had any heat. It’s always had a deep trough next week as did it’s ensembles. It’s been tossed by all forecasters . Carry on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 21, 2020 Share Posted August 21, 2020 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: FV3 never had any heat. It’s always had a deep trough next week as did it’s ensembles. It’s been tossed by all forecasters . Carry on Don't worry...BDL has it locked up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 21, 2020 Share Posted August 21, 2020 Just now, dendrite said: Don't worry...BDL has it locked up. It’s just crazy how bad the model is and you’ve folks buying it . One hell of a hot next 5-7 days until the mild front Friday afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 21, 2020 Share Posted August 21, 2020 Stein close to being committed to Bellevue https://twitter.com/growingwisdom/status/1296852149658320901?s=21 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 21, 2020 Author Share Posted August 21, 2020 Nice Metrowest torch today. 90F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 21, 2020 Share Posted August 21, 2020 2 hours ago, dryslot said: He's had back to back nights in the 40's there. Leaves already down out there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 21, 2020 Share Posted August 21, 2020 47 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Selling, but I could see a fropa then and maybe a warm DSD here Wed or something like that. Heat getting squashed. Someone made up their mind a week ago that this was going to be a very impressive, possibly record breaking heater coming up next week... I’m not even sure why we are still running the models daily. It’s set in stone. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 21, 2020 Share Posted August 21, 2020 8 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Leaves already down out there? Not yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 21, 2020 Share Posted August 21, 2020 87.8, gorgeous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted August 21, 2020 Share Posted August 21, 2020 Just now, Dr. Dews said: 87.8, gorgeous Yes, those dews hovering at 60 are delish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 21, 2020 Share Posted August 21, 2020 Just now, MaineJayhawk said: Yes, those dews hovering at 60 are delish Relatively gorgeous, since the wx has been horrid the past 5 days 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 21, 2020 Share Posted August 21, 2020 That GFS run is a warm look just beyond mid week tho - those are summer heights ORD-PWM day 8-10 and well beyond ...not a convincing autumn appeal for me but I don't mean nuttin' This run's just doing what always happens in NE... Thermal ridge attempts to progress east across the country, and then the model generates a trough out of nowhere and bullies the hell out of it through NE and all it does is belay the inevitable warm air a couple of days... It's just ensemble-line synoptic behavior - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 21, 2020 Share Posted August 21, 2020 79/58, More of this please. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 21, 2020 Share Posted August 21, 2020 81/60 here. Pool is at 72. Hoping that goes up a bit with the full sun BOX p n c has me getting to 90 today Not sure that is happening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 21, 2020 Share Posted August 21, 2020 Only took until September but yellows and reds a comin'!!!!!!!!!!!! It's like an English Premiere League soccer football (don't want to offend the English) match Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 21, 2020 Share Posted August 21, 2020 And BDL up to 89!!! 90 day #36 about to happen. Should tie record Sunday and break Monday and add on Tuesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 21, 2020 Share Posted August 21, 2020 Paul... we've had SB CAPE over 3500 here several times this year ... just that it's hard to do anything with it when the lapse rates suck and there's no triggers. That said, it's a dicey to dribble those warm buttery dps up under/nearby subtly westerlies increasing along 50-55 N ..yeah I'm almost think MCS .... We haven't had a bona fide overnight windy strober in years around here... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 21, 2020 Share Posted August 21, 2020 2 hours ago, weatherwiz said: Only took until September but yellows and reds a comin'!!!!!!!!!!!! It's like an English Premiere League soccer football (don't want to offend the English) match + +?? 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 21, 2020 Share Posted August 21, 2020 3 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Paul... we've have SB CAPE over 3500 here several times this year ... just that it's hard to do anything with it when the lapse rates suck and there's no triggers. That said, it's a dicey to dribble those warm buttery dps up under/nearby subtly westerlies increasing along 50-55 N ..yeah I'm almost think MCS .... We haven't had a bona fide overnight windy strober in years around here... At this the pattern being projected does favor the potential for some steeper lapse rates to eject our way...very fickle though. You would also think it could favor MCS activity...we are at the climo time of year where that potential (I would wager) is highest. We just have to lock in high theta-e air in the llvls while strong jet energy traverses above...and the way to do that...be atop the crest of the ridge...which looks like we will be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 21, 2020 Share Posted August 21, 2020 Eff the GFS and the phantom EMLs it has given us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 21, 2020 Share Posted August 21, 2020 Just now, CoastalWx said: Eff the GFS and the phantom EMLs it has given us. I actually am not a huge fan of the mlvl lapse rate output from COD. It always tends to want to bring in steep lapse rates. But...there were times throughout the summer where the look seemed to favor it, but there was one or two key pieces missing. not sure what exactly but you need the airmass to sort of remain homogeneous moving through the upper-Midwest and OV and that hasn't happened. Probably mT air from the Gulf being entrained into the mid-levels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 21, 2020 Share Posted August 21, 2020 23 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: And BDL up to 89!!! 90 day #36 about to happen. Should tie record Sunday and break Monday and add on Tuesday WTTTE ! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 21, 2020 Share Posted August 21, 2020 So much dry heat for BDL this year. They really needed the low dews to pull the record off. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 21, 2020 Share Posted August 21, 2020 Just now, dendrite said: So much dry heat for BDL this year. They really needed the low dews to pull the record off. Bic Mac's 62 HR barely made it over the wall but a HR is a HR 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 21, 2020 Share Posted August 21, 2020 Euro has the Tue night front too...just not as cold behind it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 21, 2020 Share Posted August 21, 2020 2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Bic Mac's 62 HR barely made it over the wall but a HR is a HR The BDL ASOS is also on roids. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 21, 2020 Share Posted August 21, 2020 Brings the heat back with a vengeance into SNE Thursday though. I'll gladly take being north of that hung up sfc boundary. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 21, 2020 Share Posted August 21, 2020 5 minutes ago, dendrite said: The BDL ASOS is also on roids. Maybe temp too high and dews too low. Meet in the middle and we’ve got consummation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 21, 2020 Share Posted August 21, 2020 This is wild. Smoke from California fires absorbed by Genevieve, also tossed out way 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 21, 2020 Share Posted August 21, 2020 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Maybe temp too high and dews too low. Meet in the middle and we’ve got consummation Convert all of the 90F/91F highs this summer to 88F/89F? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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