August 2020 Discussion

[Damage In Tolland]

  On 8/14/2020 at 11:48 AM, dendrite said:

The BDL 90° record chance is taking a major hit this next week. 

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Should get one today for #35. Then 2-3 days later next week is next shot of a couple. 

[Cold Miser]

  On 8/14/2020 at 12:14 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

Should get one today for #35. Then 2-3 days later next week is next shot of a couple. 

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Didn't BDL get close to the record last year too? 

[tamarack]

  On 8/13/2020 at 7:55 PM, tamarack said:

GFS op had 1.4" yesterday afternoon for Mon-Tues at Augusta, 0.9" this AM and less than 0.6" for 12z.  Final answer tenth to a quarter?  (if that?)

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Morning GFS now less than 0.1" and GYX AFD says "sporadic showers."  And another day-5 RA event goes away.

[Lava Rock]

  On 8/14/2020 at 11:16 AM, CoastalWx said:

Tough to green. This is as bad as I've ever seen things in all my life. The lawn is probably not repairable in many spots. At this point, just trying to save the plants/shrubs. 

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welcome to the club

[Lava Rock]

  On 8/14/2020 at 12:27 PM, tamarack said:

Morning GFS now less than 0.1" and GYX AFD says "sporadic showers."  And another day-5 RA event goes away.

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Other than the slug of rn in June, this Summer has played out the same way most recent ones have. High and dry. Frcst of showers that never happen. Everything burnt to a crisp.

[Damage In Tolland]

  On 8/14/2020 at 12:23 PM, Cold Miser said:

Didn't BDL get close to the record last year too? 

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Nah. Last summer wasn’t overly hot. July was but June and August were too COC ky

[moneypitmike]

  On 8/14/2020 at 11:38 AM, Ginx snewx said:

Dew you dew feel like I dew

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da-dew-gone-gone-gone, da-dew-gone-gone

[snowman21]

BDL has to get to #35 today or it'll be like the Sox 5 1/2 out with 12 to play against Yanks, Rays, and Jays.

[weatherwiz]

  On 8/14/2020 at 12:23 PM, Cold Miser said:

Didn't BDL get close to the record last year too? 

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I think a few years ago BDL made a run into the 30's...I want to we may even be slightly ahead of that year too. But BDL will definitely have to hit 90 today to probably have a chance. Of course it's 7-days out but there is a window to sneak some heat in here towards the end of next week and next weekend. Could be a big difference too between NNE and SNE in terms of temps. 

[snowman21]

90-degree days at BDL:

1983    38
2002    35
2020    34
2010    34
1965    34
2018    32
1966    32
2016    31
1991    31
1988    30
1973    30

[weatherwiz]

  On 8/14/2020 at 1:33 PM, snowman21 said:

90-degree days at BDL:

1983    38
2002    35
2020    34
2010    34
1965    34
2018    32
1966    32
2016    31
1991    31
1988    30
1973    30

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Thanks. I wanted to say it was 2018. If I remember correctly, we got those last few days earlier in August? I also think June had more 90F days too...I know this year I think June had like one or two? July set a record I think with 20.

[dryslot]

  On 8/13/2020 at 8:23 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Nice to see the coc returning. It’s time to start fading the summer doldrums away. 

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Summer is waking up with a sore back, Another week or two and its going in for an MRI to see if its broken.

[Cold Miser]

  On 8/14/2020 at 1:22 PM, weatherwiz said:

I think a few years ago BDL made a run into the 30's...I want to we may even be slightly ahead of that year too. But BDL will definitely have to hit 90 today to probably have a chance. Of course it's 7-days out but there is a window to sneak some heat in here towards the end of next week and next weekend. Could be a big difference too between NNE and SNE in terms of temps. 

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  On 8/14/2020 at 1:37 PM, weatherwiz said:

Thanks. I wanted to say it was 2018. If I remember correctly, we got those last few days earlier in August? I also think June had more 90F days too...I know this year I think June had like one or two? July set a record I think with 20.

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Yeah. That was it, 2018. It was a good run, but then all of a sudden the wall was hit, and it was only mid 80's as highs for the rest of the season.  I think that may happen again this year, with a few high 80's thrown in there.

I might even have to make a bet with Kevin that we DON'T break the record.

[weatherwiz]

  On 8/14/2020 at 2:49 PM, Cold Miser said:

 

Yeah. That was it, 2018. It was a good run, but then all of a sudden the wall was hit, and it was only mid 80's as highs for the rest of the season.  I think that may happen again this yea, with a few high 80's thrown in there.

I might even have to make a bet with Kevin that we DON'T break the record.

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I think we do have a shot to break the record. It's going to come down to how well established any troughing to our northwest becomes. There is still a very strong signal moving forward for the western ridge and western-Atlantic ridge to significantly dominate the pattern regime across the country. However, there are also signals for more potent troughs/cold fronts to show their face in our region. 

I just wouldn't rule it out yet b/c there are signals for some heat to sneak into our area towards the end of next week. With how dry it is all we really need is a favorable wind direction and a pinch of the heat ridge to break off and move overhead. 

[weatherwiz]

BDL was 80 last ob but looks like they should get into some strong heating soon so I would expect a decent jump in the next hour. 

[CoastalWx]

NE breeze today. Actually feels nice.

[PowderBeard]

  On 8/14/2020 at 12:47 PM, moneypitmike said:

da-dew-gone-gone-gone, da-dew-gone-gone

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Na, just like in June it will be 81/62 and folks will be commenting "oppressive." 

[weatherwiz]

BDL jumped to 84 last hour...thought perhaps they could do 85 or even 86. Assuming another 4F increase next hour that gets to 88 with another few hours of peak heating. Think 90 is well within reach 

[kdxken]

 Meh... 

[dryslot]

80/56 with a nice breeze.

[Damage In Tolland]

  On 8/14/2020 at 4:03 PM, weatherwiz said:

BDL jumped to 84 last hour...thought perhaps they could do 85 or even 86. Assuming another 4F increase next hour that gets to 88 with another few hours of peak heating. Think 90 is well within reach 

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Locked today 

[weatherwiz]

  On 8/14/2020 at 4:15 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

Locked today 

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I think so. Today would be #36? 

[Damage In Tolland]

  On 8/14/2020 at 4:18 PM, weatherwiz said:

I think so. Today would be #36? 

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35. 3 to tie , 4 to break. Should get to 40 based on pattern upcoming 

[weatherwiz]

  On 8/14/2020 at 4:37 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

35. 3 to tie , 4 to break. Should get to 40 based on pattern upcoming 

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I think signals are increasing we tack on at least another two days towards the end of next week. signal for a trough is becoming less...looks more like a de-amplifying trough with a nice westerly mid-level flow. 

[powderfreak]

80F off a low of 55F... feels so good to finally get consistent lows in the 50s (which is normal), never thought we'd get there, ha.

[weatherwiz]

@dendrite

you've been warned 

[weatherwiz]

BDL up to 87! 

[PowderBeard]

Down at the in-laws in East Haddam. Some large dark towers starting to form. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 8/14/2020 at 2:36 PM, dryslot said:

Summer is waking up with a sore back, Another week or two and its going in for an MRI to see if its broken.

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When the results come back, the doc sees multiple fractured vertebrates from an angry weenie throwing his AC units into storage...

[snowman21]

Keep in mind we're losing 3 minutes of daylight per day, means are declining, sun angle is rapidly declining. It's not just about the pattern. There's a reason climo is climo, and even the mighty BDL 'mac has trouble getting to 90 after about the 23rd of August. If Ryan's 10-day is right, which takes us to the last week of August, yesterday and today are critical for BDL breaking the record. If you're expecting a late summer like '83 or '73 then yeah I guess it doesn't matter and we'll blow past the record, but I wouldn't bet on it.