Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,702
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Szaquli
    Newest Member
    Szaquli
    Joined

Big time heat focused in sne Sunday-Tuesday to close out July


weathafella
 Share

Recommended Posts

  On 7/31/2020 at 1:36 PM, Typhoon Tip said:

It's funny ... just last week how that tenor was diametrical to this sort of dance-around a sombre fireside poetry.   It was then so gleeful, the song praised in lust for tortured heat in August, and activating tropics .. There just seemed indeterminable wealth in dystopian nourishment to feed this odd neurosis - dopamine when looking at weather charts that implicate relative dread. 

Now?  throwing hands - ... the most observable difference?   No hurricane... banal heat. Basically, no drama.  Seems pretty much cause-and-"affect"

Next week?  ... I predict a 70 .. 80% chance that the tenor will have vagaried right back the other way. 

It seems there is a separate scoring that is not based upon model verification that is crucial in this "hobby" ( which I quote, because I suspect it's more than merely a hobby for many that regular - ) that is emergent. It's not weather-driven, though rooted in the same lust for drama - sure.  It is a transference?  It's taking the want of the dramatic expression of Nature, and creating a joy-reliance, more so based upon these modeling technologies and the virtual impressionist art of implications they may paint for the various features they illustrate out in time...  And we become fixated on it - that's when it becomes a little ... probably "unhealthy" is the best word for that. 

Before 30 some-odd years ago... this did not exist.  Yet, 'nowadays' we are inherently allowing some random aspect that's never been a part of human history and evolution, become a guide in determining the future of one's life.  Fascinating really.. 

But, when the models seem to dwindle the drama... normalize affairs and impressions of the mid and extended ranges down to something less that a half a single standard deviation ( positive or negative ) that becomes the rainy day.  It's almost like in that particular scale,  0 standard deviation modeled virtual tapestry ( which isn't even real mind us...) triggers a 10 standard deviation anomaly in internal angst if not definable as sadness ... Inverse proportionality 

Expand  

Usually I can follow Tippy's thought process, but this one took a while to get there.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 7/31/2020 at 5:21 PM, Chrisrotary12 said:

Usually I can follow Tippy's thought process, but this one took a while to get there.

Expand  

I still can't quite understand what he's getting at there, ha.  It has some deep psychological undertone though, like we are all slaves to exciting weather or something is usually the end point of those.

  • Haha 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 7/31/2020 at 5:07 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

The wind trajectory is just right to waft it SE. If you look closely a few loose strands of long hair are floating around 3k feet .. some with pony o’s attached 

Expand  

No if you really analyzed the fibers, they'd come back to a Dale of Norway sweater that's hanging from the top of a ski lift somewhere up north.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Shit I thought today was going to be cooler ... 'nough so to run more comfortably.  

F!   it's 88.9 here...  DP of 62 ....  

I'm up to 100 miles riding bike in three days ... I guess I can do it again but I'd really like a nice 6 miles run without my balls flopping between my knees

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 7/31/2020 at 5:26 PM, powderfreak said:

No if you really analyzed the fibers, they'd come back to a Dale of Norway sweater that's hanging from the top of a ski lift somewhere up north.

Expand  

Given the cost (and beauty) of those sweaters I wouldn't have worn one for downhill skiing if I still did that, more likely for X-C.  Three years ago we bought Dale sweaters for our son-in-law and our only grandson (then, but his little bro will grow into it), I think while we were in Andalsnes.  Together the 2 came to 3,500 NOK, or north of $400 at the 2017 exchange rate. (This past May that 3,500 would've been about $100 less.)

  • Haha 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 7/31/2020 at 6:49 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

Yup. So correct the dew sensor and it’s 62-63 there 

Expand  

I want to bang my head into my laptop so hard right now, lol.  

You get hotter temps with lower dews in the same air mass.  So it’s either 83F with higher dews or its 87F with lower dews.... but it’s not hotter temps and higher dews.  

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 7/31/2020 at 7:44 PM, powderfreak said:

I want to bang my head into my laptop so hard right now, lol.  

You get hotter temps with lower dews in the same air mass.  So it’s either 83F with higher dews or its 87F with lower dews.... but it’s not hotter temps and higher dews.  The reason BDL is so much hotter is they mix out better.

Expand  

We will remember this come the first icing threat when BDL is 37/27, but we know the dew is wrong so it won’t be enough to wetbulb down below freezing.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 7/31/2020 at 7:53 PM, dendrite said:

We will remember this come the first icing threat when BDL is 37/27, but we know the dew is wrong so it won’t be enough to wetbulb down below freezing.

Expand  

Dew is 54F at ORH.  BDL looks fine.  

If we like seeing BDL be hotter than everyone, we should accept lower dews there.  Science, ha.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 7/31/2020 at 7:56 PM, powderfreak said:

Science, ha.

Expand  

From casual observation it’s always seemed like the ultimate process followed that of a reasonably routine, scientific calculation along lines of the following equation:

 

(P ± X) ± M

 

Where:

P = weenie parameter of interest

X = whatever nearly arbitrary value needs to be applied to fit current agenda

M = factor applied by meteorologists, forecasters, or knowledgeable amateurs to attempt to correct for X and bring final value back to reality

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...