PowderBeard Posted July 27, 2020 Share Posted July 27, 2020 North of pike into southern NH/VT looking best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted July 27, 2020 Share Posted July 27, 2020 Isn't this roughly the same setup as last week? Shear seems a little better, while instability seems worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 28, 2020 Share Posted July 28, 2020 Nothing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted July 28, 2020 Share Posted July 28, 2020 crushing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 28, 2020 Share Posted July 28, 2020 Dry fropa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted July 28, 2020 Share Posted July 28, 2020 Next Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted July 28, 2020 Share Posted July 28, 2020 Please hold together 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted July 28, 2020 Share Posted July 28, 2020 2 hours ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Please hold together Narrator: It did not. dry beget dry. droughtsteined. (what am I missing) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted July 28, 2020 Share Posted July 28, 2020 3 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Narrator: It did not. dry beget dry. droughtsteined. (what am I missing) Do you think that line saps some of the energy for later on? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted July 28, 2020 Share Posted July 28, 2020 It looks like we have another line getting going here for CVT and NVT. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 28, 2020 Share Posted July 28, 2020 As expected. Storm free 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted July 28, 2020 Share Posted July 28, 2020 Just had a 5min downpour at office Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted July 28, 2020 Share Posted July 28, 2020 6 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Just had a 5min downpour at office Looks like a small t storm developing right between Bellingham and Franklin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted July 28, 2020 Share Posted July 28, 2020 Enjoy the rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metagraphica Posted July 28, 2020 Share Posted July 28, 2020 Storms in SE CT just missed me to the north. Watering of the garden commencing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 28, 2020 Author Share Posted July 28, 2020 Had some excellent views of the storms while driving. Wish I could have taken pictures but was driving Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted July 28, 2020 Share Posted July 28, 2020 It’s close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted July 28, 2020 Share Posted July 28, 2020 Had a 2min sprinkle about an hour ago that moistened the grass no more than a dewy morning does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted July 28, 2020 Share Posted July 28, 2020 Couple smaller boomers. Ended up with 0.60” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted July 29, 2020 Share Posted July 29, 2020 What a dud. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted July 29, 2020 Share Posted July 29, 2020 On 7/24/2020 at 8:06 AM, SJonesWX said: stop starting these threads a week in advance and maybe you can make a better prediction than “maybe”. On 7/24/2020 at 8:20 AM, weatherwiz said: It's not a "maybe"...it's weather...there is never any guarantee. In the case of convective forecasting (which is where my biggest strength is in forecasting), I love to start sniffing events up to 7-days out. There is no better way to learn more about weather than to spend time tracking potential through models and then watching everything unfold in real time. About 7-days out if I see any type of synoptic support for convection I'm intrigued and I will follow everyday. how’d this one work out for ya? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted July 29, 2020 Share Posted July 29, 2020 7 minutes ago, SJonesWX said: how’d this one work out for ya? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 29, 2020 Author Share Posted July 29, 2020 8 minutes ago, SJonesWX said: how’d this one work out for ya? Well since you seem to lack the ability to read...or perhaps it's just a lack of reading comprehension, I'll break it down for you on a first grade reading level. On 7/24/2020 at 7:58 AM, weatherwiz said: A cold front is set to move through the region sometime Tuesday. Yup Ahead of the cold front it will be rather hot and humid with temperatures ranging from the mid-to-upper 80's to the mid 90's and dewpoints into the 70's. Not a single person will be walking around without toilet paper stuck to them. Was quite hot and certainly humid Anyways, this isn't a big severe threat...I don't think anyways, but the one thing that interests me is a seasonably strong mid-level jet associated with a large-scale trough digging through the Great Lakes and through New England. The best shear may lag the front but these details can be ironed out as we get closer. Played out beautifully. Wasn't a big severe threat, had a seasonably strong mid-level jet associated with large-scale trough, but the best shear did lag the front. Anyways, as it stands right now the potential should arise for the possibility of multiple line segments which will carry the risk for damaging winds depending on how this scenario unfolds. We did see several (short) line-segments and judging by the wording in the few warnings that were issued yesterday, they did carry a risk for damaging winds. One thing I would like to see is a much stronger shortwave as the main shortwave energy is north into Canada...but forcing from the front, modest shear, and ample CAPE should suffice for some t'storms/severe threat. We did see some t'storms and yes there was some severe threat as even suggested by the SPC and the few warnings. It's not my fault some of you don't seem to have the brain capacity to understand convection and how it works or operates and seem to think that every time a convection threat is mentioned it means a large-scale outbreak with widespread convection. 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted July 29, 2020 Share Posted July 29, 2020 In the past I believe we've had a general convection thread and and then highlighted a threat for a specific date when the situation warranted, which is somewhat subjective unless there are specific guidelines or parameters in place. In general when you highlight a day and its potential there is increased expectation. My thought is to have a general convection thread that covers more general non-severe convection or projections that are beyond 3 days, and perhaps have a specific date thread within the three days and/ or when SPC has placed us in the slight risk category. Just my two cents and I do appreciate Wiz's analysis. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted July 29, 2020 Share Posted July 29, 2020 3 hours ago, weatherwiz said: Well since you seem to lack the ability to read...or perhaps it's just a lack of reading comprehension, I'll break it down for you on a first grade reading level. It's not my fault some of you don't seem to have the brain capacity to understand convection and how it works or operates and seem to think that every time a convection threat is mentioned it means a large-scale outbreak with widespread convection. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 29, 2020 Share Posted July 29, 2020 Wiz smash. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted July 29, 2020 Share Posted July 29, 2020 17 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Wiz smash. Yeah he got me. i just like giving him crap mainly because severe in New England usually sucks 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted July 29, 2020 Share Posted July 29, 2020 We love Wizzy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted July 29, 2020 Share Posted July 29, 2020 We all need more Paul in our life instead of Karen, Don't be a Karen. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted July 30, 2020 Share Posted July 30, 2020 What? No convective thread for today? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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