jm1220 Posted July 23, 2020 Share Posted July 23, 2020 Heavy rain and thunder just started here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted July 23, 2020 Share Posted July 23, 2020 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 23, 2020 Share Posted July 23, 2020 Storm just about here. Nice big gust of wind just blew through, maybe 40 mph, nice light show. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted July 23, 2020 Share Posted July 23, 2020 Excellent storm driving home from garden city to lynbrook. Not severe though as winds were 40ish in gusts. Lighting was the main show, with some epic bolts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted July 23, 2020 Share Posted July 23, 2020 Torrential downpour, some decently loud thunder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted July 23, 2020 Share Posted July 23, 2020 Thankfully those 12z models were wrong, especially HRRR which really missed this. A great job by wdrag! As others said, a great storm here in northern Middlesex county. Probably the best lightning show in the last couple years along with 40 to 50mph wind gusts and over 2 inches of rain. Really glad we didn't miss out! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted July 23, 2020 Share Posted July 23, 2020 Got 0.83 inches of rain here. Still raining lightly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eduardo Posted July 23, 2020 Share Posted July 23, 2020 Mehhh. 8-minute downpour. But some decent, ongoing CTG anvil lightning. Oddly, not much thunder though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted July 23, 2020 Share Posted July 23, 2020 21 minutes ago, uncle W said: no big deal in my area...which is not a bad thing...who needs power outages and property damage... Yup, fringe city up this way. Not a bad thing at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted July 23, 2020 Share Posted July 23, 2020 yawn here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted July 23, 2020 Share Posted July 23, 2020 Gusty outside with fairly frequent lightning, starting to rain now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted July 23, 2020 Share Posted July 23, 2020 Seeing reports of several downed trees throughout Nassau County Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 23, 2020 Share Posted July 23, 2020 Well, i almost shit myself, bolt probably hit something in the backyard, heard the actual impact and then the boom Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted July 23, 2020 Share Posted July 23, 2020 Just .30" here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted July 23, 2020 Author Share Posted July 23, 2020 From yawners to big barkers, the 2PM-9PM svr and heavy rain bands soon will be done, with widely scattered possibly briefly heavy showers overnight. Tomorrow is another day but essentially no change to earlier thinking. Have added a few graphics: Won't be surprised at seeing a 3.5-4.5" rain report come in from near Liberty Township in northwest NJ, just s of I80. Otherwise posted a couple of radar storm total graphics. OKX includes last night while DIX is only this afternoon-evening. See the one early storm track on DIX (Brodheadsville-Scotrun-Montague storm) near the nw tip of NJ. Also, Rutgers climate totals for today only. Have seen numerous 2+ inch amounts on weather underground personal weather stations and a couple between 3.5-4.5" So we'll await more data tomorrow morning. Also a crude map of reports as sent by the NWS by 830PM. Finally a sampling of customer (household meter) power outages in the northeast as of about 830PM. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 23, 2020 Share Posted July 23, 2020 rain wind and thunder/lightning here-the hot wet month of July 2020 continues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted July 23, 2020 Share Posted July 23, 2020 It seems when convective coverage is in question, meso models are often more likely to underdo coverage than overdo. I find that the HRDPS model often does a pretty good job in comparison. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted July 23, 2020 Share Posted July 23, 2020 1 hour ago, hudsonvalley21 said: Yup, fringe city up this way. Not a bad thing at all. It mostly slid south then blew up east of me, I ended up with .17" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mgerb Posted July 23, 2020 Share Posted July 23, 2020 1.54" from this evening's storms. Sub-severe imby, but a short period of gusty winds of maybe 35 mph. Very satisfying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted July 23, 2020 Share Posted July 23, 2020 Main stuff was a few miles to my N&W. Very meh today but I'm glad some got a good show. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 23, 2020 Share Posted July 23, 2020 32 minutes ago, doncat said: It seems when convective coverage is in question, meso models are often more likely to underdo coverage than overdo. I find that the HRDPS model often does a pretty good job in comparison. it hits us hard tomorrow... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 23, 2020 Share Posted July 23, 2020 Total dud non event here. Some lightning and light rain. The only time we get decent storms around here anymore are during the early morning hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rock888 Posted July 23, 2020 Share Posted July 23, 2020 Got slammed here in central Queens. Tons of lightning, torrential sheets of rain and wind easily had to be 40-50 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted July 23, 2020 Share Posted July 23, 2020 94/73 max min...the 73 was during the rain this evening...0.17" of rain with a little thunder and lightning... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted July 23, 2020 Share Posted July 23, 2020 0.21” here, beggars can’t be choosers but radar returns looked more impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted July 23, 2020 Share Posted July 23, 2020 Was that a microburst earlier? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 23, 2020 Share Posted July 23, 2020 Picked up 0.42" of rain for the day here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 23, 2020 Share Posted July 23, 2020 https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted July 23, 2020 Author Share Posted July 23, 2020 SVR-FF potential continues... a little more wind available aloft, but not sure it will be quite as unstable, in part due to cloud cover. My guess is more FF, than SVR with bulk of east-southeastward moving big producers 4P-mid. Might have a few showers around this morning. Please follow SPC/NWS local discussions-statements and your own expertise. I'll post the updated 6hr COUNTYWIDE average threshold now. Then when time permits midday, will revisit the mesoscale and see if I can figure out a probable most favorable area for FF (2-4") amounts between Noon-midnight in a few spots. If it repeats I80-I78, then a bit bigger problem will ensue. Just don't know the details. (saw the very wet UK overnight but don't know what to make of it). Off line 630A to possibly as late as 1P. 618A/23 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB-99 Posted July 23, 2020 Share Posted July 23, 2020 F- 0 IMO 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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