BuffaloWeather Posted July 4, 2020 Share Posted July 4, 2020 43 minutes ago, WesterlyWx said: I don’t think we’re gonna quite make it to 90 tomorrow but it’s gonna be close. After that I’m gonna go out on a limb and say we see 90 for at least 8-10 days straight which would be a record for most consecutive 90 degrees as well as put us at 11+ 90 degree days on the year which I think would also be a new record. If the GFS is to be believed we could see 90s straight through to around the 17th or so which would be almost 2 weeks of consecutive 90s which would just be mind boggling. 8-10 90+ days would be so difficult here. Rochester I would almost guarantee it. With the lake erie breeze, you never know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 4, 2020 Share Posted July 4, 2020 Happy 4th everyone! 87 at Buffalo as of 1 PM. Should get close to 90 with a NE breeze. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted July 4, 2020 Share Posted July 4, 2020 Hit 87.4° today, few degrees hotter than expected.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted July 4, 2020 Share Posted July 4, 2020 Dewpoints are crazy low today (49 right now)making the heat index lower than the actual air temp! Perfect day. Winds finally go south Monday and then the humidity will pour on. One more day of hot dry weather first. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted July 5, 2020 Author Share Posted July 5, 2020 Think Buffalo goes for at least 8+ days of 90 + breaking the record now that we officially hit 90 yesterday and today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted July 5, 2020 Share Posted July 5, 2020 18 hours ago, DeltaT13 said: Dewpoints are crazy low today (49 right now)making the heat index lower than the actual air temp! Perfect day. Winds finally go south Monday and then the humidity will pour on. One more day of hot dry weather first. Low dews (mid 50s in Buffalo) felt really good yesterday. Really dreading the subtropical air on its way later this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted July 5, 2020 Share Posted July 5, 2020 GFS shows a slight cooldown by the latter half of next weekend, lasting 2-3 days before the sauna returns. This is not my favorite kind of summer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_rules Posted July 5, 2020 Share Posted July 5, 2020 1 hour ago, WNash said: GFS shows a slight cooldown by the latter half of next weekend, lasting 2-3 days before the sauna returns. This is not my favorite kind of summer. Not my kind of weather either. Too hot to do any productive work outside. I wonder if the guy who kept posting about this summer’s forecast ever got central air installed. I would never suggest it for someone from upstate NY but, ironically, this summer is trending toward one where it may be useful. Dropped to 50 degrees last night though, so that was a nice surprise. I’m also shocked to see that the number of annual 90 degree days in Buffalo is trending downward over the last +/-century. That seems very counterintuitive relative to all other temperature trends I have heard about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 5, 2020 Share Posted July 5, 2020 10 minutes ago, winter_rules said: Not my kind of weather either. Too hot to do any productive work outside. I wonder if the guy who kept posting about this summer’s forecast ever got central air installed. I would never suggest it for someone from upstate NY but, ironically, this summer is trending toward one where it may be useful. Dropped to 50 degrees last night though, so that was a nice surprise. I’m also shocked to see that the number of annual 90 degree days in Buffalo is trending downward over the last +/-century. That seems very counterintuitive relative to all other temperature trends I have heard about. I would definitely recommend AC around here. Our summers are hot and especially humid near the lake. Out in the country away from water, it is not as bad with less humidity. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 5, 2020 Share Posted July 5, 2020 pretty much the same pattern the last 10 months https://twitter.com/chris_sowers/status/1278428240760262656 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_rules Posted July 5, 2020 Share Posted July 5, 2020 1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said: I would definitely recommend AC around here. Our summers are hot and especially humid near the lake. Out in the country away from water, it is not as bad with less humidity. Good point. My default image of upstate NY consists of semi-elevated rural areas, but of course most people live in populated areas that are generally lower elevation and near water. My property is usually a +/-5 degree difference compared to when we “go into town.” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted July 5, 2020 Author Share Posted July 5, 2020 Well officially a heatwave now at BUF. At least 90 today as we hit 90 at the 4 pm observation. So the streak stands at 3 in a row so far. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted July 5, 2020 Share Posted July 5, 2020 Today actually not to bad.. Briefly hit 85° around 3 pm, but most of the day it's been between 81°-83°.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted July 5, 2020 Share Posted July 5, 2020 1 hour ago, winter_rules said: Good point. My default image of upstate NY consists of semi-elevated rural areas, but of course most people live in populated areas that are generally lower elevation and near water. My property is usually a +/-5 degree difference compared to when we “go into town.” The dewpoint is well into the 60s for much of the summer, and can push towards or past 70 with flow from the S or SW. Stubborn ridging over the southeast can bring that soupy gulf air up this way, not to mention flow off Lake Erie can bring up humidity on the lake plain. When we have highs in the 70s and lows in the 50s, it’s nice to put the windows open, but we haven’t had much of that this summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted July 6, 2020 Share Posted July 6, 2020 Heat advisory for 4 days. Anyone ever seen that before around here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flying MXZ Posted July 6, 2020 Share Posted July 6, 2020 16 hours ago, WNash said: The dewpoint is well into the 60s for much of the summer, and can push towards or past 70 with flow from the S or SW. Stubborn ridging over the southeast can bring that soupy gulf air up this way, not to mention flow off Lake Erie can bring up humidity on the lake plain. When we have highs in the 70s and lows in the 50s, it’s nice to put the windows open, but we haven’t had much of that this summer. Low of 55 today at my house, 50 yesterday. But I know most places don't radiate like here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted July 6, 2020 Share Posted July 6, 2020 6 minutes ago, Flying MXZ said: Low of 55 today at my house, 50 yesterday. But I know most places don't radiate like here. The low was 61 at my house. It’s already pushing 80 just before 10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted July 6, 2020 Author Share Posted July 6, 2020 Already 88 here at 11am. Thinking we may hit 93-94 today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted July 6, 2020 Author Share Posted July 6, 2020 1 hour ago, vortmax said: Heat advisory for 4 days. Anyone ever seen that before around here? Never have I ever. Definitely one to remember and I really think this is going to be the new number one spot for BUF heatwaves. Think we will see 8 consecutive days beating the old record of 7 consecutive days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted July 6, 2020 Share Posted July 6, 2020 GFS has us above average all the way through 15 days, but with two dips to lower dews. Some troughiness in the lakes will keep us from the extreme heat. Things look just brutal for the central states, temps getting to well above 105F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted July 6, 2020 Author Share Posted July 6, 2020 Airport already at 90 as of noon. Should be on track for 93-94 today as long as a lake breeze doesn’t kick in this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 6, 2020 Share Posted July 6, 2020 2 hours ago, WesterlyWx said: Airport already at 90 as of noon. Should be on track for 93-94 today as long as a lake breeze doesn’t kick in this afternoon. 92 as of latest update. Insane Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 6, 2020 Share Posted July 6, 2020 Next week looks just as hot after a brief cooldown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 6, 2020 Share Posted July 6, 2020 Top 10 warmest Julys 1 76.2 1921 2 76.0 1955 3 75.5 2012 4 75.3 2011 5 75.0 2005 6 75.0 1887 7 74.8 1988 8 74.7 1916 9 74.4 2018 10 74.3 1999 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 6, 2020 Share Posted July 6, 2020 So far this month we are +8.1 INSANE AVERAGE MONTHLY: 78.3 DPTR FM NORMAL: 8.1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 6, 2020 Share Posted July 6, 2020 94 at latest update! Greater Buffalo International Airport NY Partly Cloudy 94°F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted July 6, 2020 Share Posted July 6, 2020 The Northeast winds have really tempered Rochester's temps during this recent "heat wave". We've barely hit 90 and hit has felt very comfortable with the low DP's. Quite disappointing for a heat lover like myself. I want it to be completely oppressive. Give me 95 degrees with a dewpoint of 77 please! 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted July 6, 2020 Author Share Posted July 6, 2020 1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said: So far this month we are +8.1 INSANE AVERAGE MONTHLY: 78.3 DPTR FM NORMAL: 8.1 We’re a lock for Top 10 and at this point I think it would take a hell of a cold shot to get us out of top 5. Next 2 weeks look well above normal with 80s and 90s right through the end of the model runs. after this week we will likely be a +10 or more departure for the month with more mid 90a the rest of the week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 6, 2020 Share Posted July 6, 2020 25 minutes ago, WesterlyWx said: We’re a lock for Top 10 and at this point I think it would take a hell of a cold shot to get us out of top 5. Next 2 weeks look well above normal with 80s and 90s right through the end of the model runs. after this week we will likely be a +10 or more departure for the month with more mid 90a the rest of the week. Obviously too early to call it. But with the long range right now I think we're a lock for #1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 6, 2020 Share Posted July 6, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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