Brian5671 Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: NHC says landfall in NYC looks like an Irene track.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 Just now, Brian5671 said: looks like an Irene track.... Yep I got alot of rain but barely any wind from Irene here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYC10023 Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 thinking about heading somewhere out of the city to watch it come in. suggestions? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 https://www.njweather.org/maps/mid-atlantic-radar-3-hour-loop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 18 minutes ago, psv88 said: Damn. Not good for LI. Probably some gusts close to hurricane force on the eastern quadrant. I doubt anyone will see that except the immediate beaches at most. I would say in the populated areas, maybe gusts to 60 in a couple of spots. The sustained 60 is over open water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 6 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Yep I got alot of rain but barely any wind from Irene here Had 50 mph+ winds and lost power for 4 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 4 minutes ago, eyewall said: I doubt anyone will see that except the immediate beaches at most. I would say in the populated areas, maybe gusts to 60 in a couple of spots. The sustained 60 is over open water. Agreed, I could see JFK gusting to 50. The cough shore barrier islands to 60 with a direct onshore flow off the ocean. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 12 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: someone noted yesterday the storm would be ventilated by the incoming trough over the OV. Maybe that's the case for strengthening despite it being over borderline water temps That was me. I think it's more the fact that it's in a very good upper air environment. Normally at this latitude you have the Westerlies picking at it and a strong trough inflicting shear. This really is an anomalous storm. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ARyan Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 6 minutes ago, eyewall said: I doubt anyone will see that except the immediate beaches at most. I would say in the populated areas, maybe gusts to 60 in a couple of spots. The sustained 60 is over open water. I'm in Long Beach about a block from the ocean. This afternoon should be interesting... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 10 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: looks like an Irene track.... Irene spent a lot of time over land in NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 8 minutes ago, eyewall said: I doubt anyone will see that except the immediate beaches at most. I would say in the populated areas, maybe gusts to 60 in a couple of spots. The sustained 60 is over open water. Some of the higher elevations in interior NJ and SE NY could see some stronger winds than expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 radar looks more showery east of NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 12z RGEM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 FL winds approaching 60kts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 Southeast Pa is going to get lots of rain as tropical convection just dies there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 22 minutes ago, eyewall said: I doubt anyone will see that except the immediate beaches at most. I would say in the populated areas, maybe gusts to 60 in a couple of spots. The sustained 60 is over open water. Gusts to 50 can still do some damage to fully leafed out trees. Obviously we wont see sustained to 60 over land, but gusts to 50 a few miles inland on the island will result on power outages. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SI Mailman Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 12z RGEMcenter goes right over me on that run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 11 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Southeast Pa is going to get lots of rain as tropical convection just dies there. Yes but we're still going to get a lot of rain from the stuff moving in off the ocean. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 1 minute ago, NJwx85 said: Yes but we're still going to get a lot of rain from the stuff moving in off the ocean. When do you think we get hit with the stronger winds? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 12z GFS totals 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 Just now, nycsnow said: When do you think we get hit with the stronger winds? Mid-afternoon into tonight. It's going to take awhile for those feeder bands to rotate in. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 .21 light rain falling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 20 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Southeast Pa is going to get lots of rain as tropical convection just dies there. Yeah I think the models are underdone there 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 Most of the stronger winds will stay aloft. Scattered 40-50mph gusts still possible in stronger bands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poker2015 Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 10 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: 12z GFS totals I feel like the heaviest totals will be 30-40 miles west of this...do you think the GFS is accurate here? unless the radar will really fill in more later... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 I would worry about flash flooding in the usual spots in northern NJ... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 OXB: 5.19 WWD: 3.78 DOV: 3.76 ACY: 3.11 PHL: 1.13 BLM: 0.63 TTN: 0.23 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SI Mailman Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 Rain getting heavier here. Looks like a juicy band on radar coming off the water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 Just now, SI Mailman said: Rain getting heavier here. Looks like a juicy band on radar coming off the water. Yep and just heard some thunder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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