ineedsnow Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 12 minutes ago, radarman said: Catastrophic tree damage this area, even worse N Quabbin. I would love it trees are far enough away from the house.. we pray 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 16 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: I wouldn't want to be on the coast for it but for here I would say bring it! Nope, I worked Michael in the FL Pan Handle two years ago and it was like a 150 wide tornado; New England with a 2 would be very bad considering the tree growth since Bob Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 Party on! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 10 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said: many hilltops gusted 100+ I bet. I had a nice picture book from '39 in NH, tons of damage in your area to CON A couple of the original COOP forms from around here...Franklin and Lakeport. We took some down. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 And stats from TS Irene which I believe has a similar track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
correnjim1 Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 Well that does me no good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 10 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Looks like it's coming. 2 20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 Let’s spin and let’s knock some the FOC down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 When do I get my PRE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 Question about PRE's. Do they only occur with stronger systems or could a band of convective showers break out earlier than forecasted? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 Just now, Cyclone-68 said: When do I get my PRE? You read my mind. Just posted about this 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Let’s spin and let’s knock some the FOC down If I remember correctly TS Irene caused considerable tree damage in Eastern CT; I had no power for 4 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 Just now, Modfan2 said: If I remember correctly TS Irene caused considerable tree damage in Eastern CT; I had no power for 4 days Yeah that was stronger though. At LF in W LI this is probably 60-65Mph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 Sucking in some added moisture from that wave near Bahamas wait Till it hits the Gulf Stream for just a bit longer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 11 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said: Question about PRE's. Do they only occur with stronger systems or could a band of convective showers break out earlier than forecasted? They just need deep tropical convection to sustain them, so TC strength isn't a necessary factor. With this event I would personally like to see a better upper jet to really get that moisture transport going. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 Enjoy the rains folks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 7 hours ago, weatherwiz said: The higher helicity I think is more of a product of the stronger llvl flow rather than turning of the winds in the lower levels. However, storm moving may be slightly angled compared to the mean flow so that could certainly enhance rotation potential. Regardless, I don't think instability in the lowest lvls is going to be sufficient enough. That's the key, and why I'd watch the coast near NJ if it tucks just inland. Could be enough 0-3 km CAPE to get it done, but timing doesn't look great for New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 Rapid intensification, let's go! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 9, 2020 Author Share Posted July 9, 2020 5 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: That's the key, and why I'd watch the coast near NJ if it tucks just inland. Could be enough 0-3 km CAPE to get it done, but timing doesn't look great for New England. Saturday looks looks rather intriguing to me...in fact, there are some signals we could see some serious dewpoint pooling. Could see dews maybe 75-77. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 Has she gone annular yet? 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 9, 2020 Author Share Posted July 9, 2020 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: Has she gone annular yet? not without lube first 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 Good heavens! Are y'all actually still trying to win - 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 11 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Saturday looks looks rather intriguing to me...in fact, there are some signals we could see some serious dewpoint pooling. Could see dews maybe 75-77. That’s what they’ve been today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 Screw w li and ct send this into rt or se ma 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 9, 2020 Author Share Posted July 9, 2020 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: That’s what they’ve been today I've seen like 70-73 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 13 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Has she gone annular yet? They’ve gone plaid 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 46 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Yeah that was stronger though. At LF in W LI this is probably 60-65Mph Very unlikely to be that strong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LSC97wxnut Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 10 minutes ago, DotRat_Wx said: Screw w li and ct send this into rt or se ma 18z GFS says hello Philly... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 4 minutes ago, LSC97wxnut said: 18z GFS says hello Philly... I have a hard time believing Fay gets yanked hard left like that IMO we see Fay hug the coast before landfall east of NYC on LI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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