Bostonseminole Posted July 8, 2020 Share Posted July 8, 2020 EURO is like 12 hrs slower and definitely east of GFS/NAM but maybe west of UKIE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 8, 2020 Share Posted July 8, 2020 Heaviest rain should be near and NW of circulation, so my guess is NJ-NYC-western New England. To the east, some gusty winds and maybe an iso tor threat where wind fields are best. But you won't get a ton of rain in that region. Ukie looks like an outlier for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 8, 2020 Share Posted July 8, 2020 1 hour ago, Cyclone-68 said: Has SNE ever experienced a tropical system to evolve in this sort of set up? (ie cross the eastern gulf into the Carolinas then go offshore and redevelop? 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Many I'm thinking this is early in the year though-often see it Sept/Oct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 8, 2020 Share Posted July 8, 2020 Canadian takes a conv blob east. I suppose that could happen, but usually the best rain in this setup with a trough moving in would be more to the west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted July 8, 2020 Share Posted July 8, 2020 Euro wants to drop a lot of rain over Philly, s NJ and the Delmarva which already had flash flooding issues and big totals thanks to the thunderstorms on Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 8, 2020 Share Posted July 8, 2020 Right up the CTRV. Precursor to our big 38’ redux coming in September? 2 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 8, 2020 Author Share Posted July 8, 2020 OKX should break their PWAT record for the day (Note: using 0z soundings the record for the day is 2.05'') Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted July 8, 2020 Share Posted July 8, 2020 1-2” of rain with a little wind. Fun for July I suppose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted July 8, 2020 Share Posted July 8, 2020 I wasn't sure what thread to put this in. This photo was taken this afternoon on Newfound Lake. My house would be on the hill to the left of the photo. This is looking south south east. It was posted on facebook saying she thought it was a waterspout on Newfound Lake. I recorded a quick .45" just after this photo was taken but had no wind and the storm produced only a couple of lightning strikes. I think this is just a thin rain shaft. The storm was moving to the east and you can see the shaft line is quicker up at cloud height. Any thoughts? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 8, 2020 Share Posted July 8, 2020 You’d have to probably see a video because it’s hard to tell on a still photo. It is interesting, but it seems like a rain shaft perhaps. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted July 8, 2020 Share Posted July 8, 2020 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: You’d have to probably see a video because it’s hard to tell on a still photo. It is interesting, but it seems like a rain shaft perhaps. Pretty tight definition on it for a rain shaft. Plus would rain shafts generally have that sharp of a curvature? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 8, 2020 Author Share Posted July 8, 2020 I think there is window for some nocturnal convection Saturday night with the risk for damaging winds/large hail. Pretty impressive s/w moving through overnight and we look to remain rather unstable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 8, 2020 Share Posted July 8, 2020 NAM’s got a couple ToRnadic looking supercells sweeping right up across CT Fri night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted July 8, 2020 Share Posted July 8, 2020 Bryan Norcross discussing the tropical system https://www.facebook.com/BryanNorcrossWeather/videos/916454108871120/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted July 8, 2020 Share Posted July 8, 2020 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: NAM’s got a couple ToRnadic looking supercells sweeping right up across CT Fri night Low topped spinners all you/may see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 8, 2020 Share Posted July 8, 2020 Congrats NJ and Pa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 8, 2020 Share Posted July 8, 2020 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Congrats NJ and Pa They get 3-5 hours heavy rain. We get severe and wind damage. I’ll take the latter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 8, 2020 Share Posted July 8, 2020 12 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: They get 3-5 hours heavy rain. We get severe and wind damage. I’ll take the latter Wind? Nice fantasy . It's an inland 1003, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 8, 2020 Share Posted July 8, 2020 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Wind? Nice fantasy . It's an inland 1003, lol Euro? Lol. East side as mets here have been discussing 30-50 mph gusts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 32 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Euro? Lol. East side as mets here have been discussing 30-50 mph gusts Good luck , you are actually LOLing the Euro , ok 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 Up to 80% chance for development per the 8pm advisory Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 yawn. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: yawn. But Mets are discussing 50 mph winds here where I don't know but that's what we were just told Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 Scooter and Ginx in alliance on no wind or severe on East side. First time for everything Let’s see upon verification if that was a good tag team or not. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 Drawing lines in the sand. If it’s not 50mph, it’s nada. No in between. 30mph peak gusts ain’t bringing the hurt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 Who cares. Looks meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Who cares. Looks meh. Are we going to get porked and end up mostly dry in this area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 5 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Are we going to get porked and end up mostly dry in this area? Yep. I’m back to droughtstein and watering. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Yep. I’m back to droughtstein and watering. But you don’t want rain either, ha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 I pray its ends up dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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