Bostonseminole Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: ? Looks shredded still looks wetter than it was earlier today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 nice breezy day for coastal folks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 10 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: ? Looks shredded This is definitely going to be one of those hit or miss systems wrt rains. Tropical downpours for some, nothing for others. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 2 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: This is definitely going to be one of those hit or miss systems wrt rains. Tropical downpours for some, nothing for others. that's how these typically work when you are not dead nuts in the core.. tropical systems always have some surprises so we will see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 what a crappy storm. Next 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 1 minute ago, Dr. Dews said: what a crappy storm. Next haha next could be 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 10, 2020 Author Share Posted July 10, 2020 Really should watch south of Long Island the next few hours. Some definite thinning/breaks of clouds occurring. Also noting some decent convection to pop up to the south and east of the circulation. I think it's becoming apparent the slug of heaviest rain moves off to the west...however, we may be seeing increasing potential for t'storms/TOR potential Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Really should watch south of Long Island the next few hours. Some definite thinning/breaks of clouds occurring. Also noting some decent convection to pop up to the south and east of the circulation. I think it's becoming apparent the slug of heaviest rain moves off to the west...however, we may be seeing increasing potential for t'storms/TOR potential If anything it will be low topped variety’s as precip comes in from the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 10, 2020 Author Share Posted July 10, 2020 Just now, Modfan2 said: If anything it will be low topped variety’s as precip comes in from the coast low topped for sure...hell there may not even be much lightning. It won't take much sun poking through to vastly build 3km CAPE...even if OVC is thin enough...strong sun angle is plenty to boost things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 Wow. Misery outside. Florida humidity 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Hold me..... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 Just now, CoastalWx said: Hold me..... Glad we don’t live in Winni 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 10, 2020 Author Share Posted July 10, 2020 I'm thinking we see an MCD...Tornado Watch Possible to be issued within the next 90-minutes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
correnjim1 Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 1 minute ago, weatherwiz said: I'm thinking we see an MCD...Tornado Watch Possible to be issued within the next 90-minutes. where? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 10, 2020 Author Share Posted July 10, 2020 Just now, correnjim1 said: where? Long Island into the southern 4 counties of CT...though I would think Litchfield and Hartford should be included too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
correnjim1 Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 Just now, weatherwiz said: Long Island into the southern 4 counties of CT...though I would think Litchfield and Hartford should be included too. thanks 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 4 minutes ago, correnjim1 said: thanks yeah we are doomed.. maybe some scattered downpours.. but nothing exotic.. I think.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 Fay's eye might track right over my brown eye Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 10, 2020 Author Share Posted July 10, 2020 RAP on mesoanalysis yielding 50-75 J of 3km CAPE early afternoon...50 might be a bit low to produce anything but we get towards 75 and higher and that may be enough to make for some interesting cells. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
correnjim1 Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 8 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: yeah we are doomed.. maybe some scattered downpours.. but nothing exotic.. I think.. it's painful lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 10, 2020 Author Share Posted July 10, 2020 That dry slot wrapping around the backside seems to really be enhancing convection off the NJ coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kbc360 Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 41 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Really should watch south of Long Island the next few hours. Some definite thinning/breaks of clouds occurring. Also noting some decent convection to pop up to the south and east of the circulation. I think it's becoming apparent the slug of heaviest rain moves off to the west...however, we may be seeing increasing potential for t'storms/TOR potential Sun keeps popping out here in NECT, my thermo showing 84, nasty stickiness outside Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 Just now, kbc360 said: Sun keeps popping out here in NECT, my thermo showing 84, nasty stickiness outside Get into the basement? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 10, 2020 Author Share Posted July 10, 2020 1 minute ago, kbc360 said: Sun keeps popping out here in NECT, my thermo showing 84, nasty stickiness outside yeah it's pretty bright here in Branford. 84 really...wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
correnjim1 Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 30% chance of rain lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 To my eyes, should be good tstorm potential as wiz mentioned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 14 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: Euro is 1003, highest wind I see is 42 mph 100 miles east of the center over the open ocean. Once the circulation ingests continental air off the Midatalantic land and hits cooler waters this will be a heavy rain storm with some embedded gusts to 40 on the coast 25 to 30 inland. As we discussed last night 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kbc360 Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 1 minute ago, weatherwiz said: yeah it's pretty bright here in Branford. 84 really...wow. Yea, it’s a Lowe’s Acurite, but it’s on my covered porch and is usually close 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kbc360 Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Get into the basement? Yea, naked 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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