Hoth Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 On 7/10/2020 at 1:49 AM, Sn0waddict said: Of the rain variety lol. Expand Yeah, the fact that the highlight of my winter was some flakes in mid May says it all. The title of this thread would work well to describe last winter with one minor amendment: "Drought ending rains and severe dejection." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 On 7/10/2020 at 1:44 AM, dendrite said: We had a couple of good rainy ones. Expand This won't be one of them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 On 7/10/2020 at 1:10 AM, PowderBeard said: Gives New England the shaft. Expand Still enough rain to keep the grass green. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 On 7/10/2020 at 1:43 AM, Bostonseminole said: i guess folks enjoy the back and forth between ginx and DIT about dews and COC. Expand Why you gotta throw me out here, leave me out of it. Enjoy your TS talk, post some graphics, sat images or something, all you do is bitch 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 On 7/10/2020 at 2:45 AM, Ginx snewx said: Why you gotta throw me out here, leave me out of it. Enjoy your TS talk, post some graphics, sat images or something, all you do is bitch Expand So sensitive these days, relax.. I know you miss the COVID thread. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 On 7/10/2020 at 2:27 AM, moneypitmike said: Still enough rain to keep the grass green. Expand Yeah have not much rain lately. Storms have been all around, but I better not bitch too much. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 Icon and the NAM pretty much salvage the whole weekend here. NAM is a quick burst of rain and the icon has us dry by early Saturday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 On 7/10/2020 at 3:34 AM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Icon and the NAM pretty much salvage the whole weekend here. NAM is a quick burst of rain and the icon has us dry by early Saturday morning. Expand Cancel the ffw? Not sure why they have one for 1-2” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 What happened to the covid thread? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 On 7/10/2020 at 3:50 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: What happened to the covid thread? Expand just take what you know about the Board and all its regions and guess and then wait for a mod to chime in w the politically correct answer 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 On 7/10/2020 at 3:50 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: What happened to the covid thread? Expand I was wondering the same thing. Anti-virus? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 On 7/10/2020 at 4:07 AM, STILL N OF PIKE said: just take what you know about the Board and all its regions and guess and then wait for a mod to chime in w the politically correct answer Expand Lol wow... They really deleted it? It's a God damn online forum. People want to talk. Let them talk. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 On 7/10/2020 at 3:50 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: What happened to the covid thread? Expand You messed it up and got it deleted. WTAF? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 On 7/10/2020 at 4:16 AM, DotRat_Wx said: Lol wow... They really deleted it? It's a God damn online forum. People want to talk. Let them talk. Expand I think the question becomes, do you want a weather forum to become social media, with all the vitriol that goes along with it? It looked like things were getting personal at the end. Sometimes you're better off not knowing the political leanings of your online "friends", so you can just banter about the weather and enjoy it. To keep my post on topic - seems like QPF is down across the board for most of eastern New England on all the 00z models. Only the 12K nam gives any areas more than an inch east of the CT river... was hoping this could be a nice soaker for the garden... 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 I was hoping for the push east so we could salvage saturday afternon in WNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 EURO tracks it right up the Hudson Valley... couldn’t follow the river any closer if it tried. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 10, 2020 Author Share Posted July 10, 2020 Was a bit surprised to see TOR probs increased to 5% later today. Not seeing much model support for enough 3km CAPE...I'm not totally sure what numbers you would want to look for in this situation but I would wager you would like to see at least 75-100+ J of 3km CAPE. There actually could be potential for a brief tornado late tomorrow morning - late afternoon should we get anything to develop...CAMS though sort of keep convection just west of here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 Max gusts and rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 On 7/10/2020 at 3:33 AM, Bostonseminole said: Yeah have not much rain lately. Storms have been all around, but I better not bitch too much. Expand Headed to NJ for LF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 On 7/10/2020 at 9:55 AM, WxWatcher007 said: Slight risk for parts of coastal SNE ...Northeast and southern New England coastal areas... Tropical storm Fay is forecast by the National Hurricane Center to continue moving northward, and the center should be located near the central NJ coast by early this evening. Shear in the 0-1 km layer will increase from coastal NJ through coastal southern New England later today where near-surface dewpoints will reach the low 70s F. Best tornado threat with low-topped supercells will evolve during the afternoon into the early evening if some surface heating can occur between outer rainbands. Expand Yeah. We TOR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 AWT . NAM nailed this for days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 HRRR radar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 10, 2020 Author Share Posted July 10, 2020 If Long island Sound water temperatures were much warmer I would say we probably would see a few brief tornadoes today. If anything though, I think the greatest potential for a brief tornado would actually be across inland CT...away from the shoreline...only b/c the colder waters I think will act to sort of stabilize things around the boundary layer and there will be a bit more llvl instability inland. This typically goes against what you would expect for TOR potential with a TC but the time of year is a little screwy . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 On 7/10/2020 at 10:23 AM, weatherwiz said: If Long island Sound water temperatures were much warmer I would say we probably would see a few brief tornadoes today. If anything though, I think the greatest potential for a brief tornado would actually be across inland CT...away from the shoreline...only b/c the colder waters I think will act to sort of stabilize things around the boundary layer and there will be a bit more llvl instability inland. This typically goes against what you would expect for TOR potential with a TC but the time of year is a little screwy . Expand 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowderBeard Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 On 7/10/2020 at 10:23 AM, weatherwiz said: If Long island Sound water temperatures were much warmer... Expand I was thinking about that. If this was late August we might have a very different situation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 10, 2020 Author Share Posted July 10, 2020 On 7/10/2020 at 10:26 AM, Ginx snewx said: Expand I guess we'll have to see whether we can generate any breaks in the clouds. Really wouldn't take much to boost llvl CAPE given how moist it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 10, 2020 Author Share Posted July 10, 2020 On 7/10/2020 at 10:31 AM, PowderBeard said: I was thinking about that. If this was late August we might have a very different situation. Expand Plus water temperatures up the entire coast would be much warmer...obviously only speculation but if this scenario was another month or two from now we could possibly be looking at a hurricane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 With arrival inland as dark approaches any daytimeheating as mentioned above in Mr Bells post would be NYC area. I would say SWCT has the best shot at a low topped spinner. Under current trajectory LF in SNJ seems likely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 On 7/10/2020 at 10:33 AM, weatherwiz said: Plus water temperatures up the entire coast would be much warmer...obviously only speculation but if this scenario was another month or two from now we could possibly be looking at a hurricane. Expand Possibly a low end Cat 1 for sure. Winds are only 40 to 45 right now at sea, any interaction with the land will disrupt the organization. NJ and SLI probably hit hardest on the wind front then of course you have the Tstorm gusts either gust fronts or microbursts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 NYC tornado threat. SNE......yawn 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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