Eskimo Joe Posted July 8, 2020 Share Posted July 8, 2020 If/when 98L gets named, we could see TS Watches all the way up to LI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted July 8, 2020 Share Posted July 8, 2020 Just now, losetoa6 said: A stronger coastal + vort signature + looking at height anomalies there's more interaction with some Ohio valley energy that might be helping bend this storm NW for a time. Yup. I’d wager that OH valley storm is helping yank it NW. Just need a little more... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted July 8, 2020 Share Posted July 8, 2020 Just now, WxUSAF said: Yup. I’d wager that OH valley storm is helping yank it NW. Just need a little more... Yeah that's what I noted on the 12z GFS run. The ridge over the Atlantic also looked a bit more robust/west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 8, 2020 Share Posted July 8, 2020 1 hour ago, Eskimo Joe said: GEFS and EPS really swining for the fences as well. Canadian even pumps like a 594 dm ridge. Big EML / derecho favorable pattern. Wouldn't we want to be less squarely under the ridge and more on the periphery for derecho stuff? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 8, 2020 Share Posted July 8, 2020 12 minutes ago, Kmlwx said: Wouldn't we want to be less squarely under the ridge and more on the periphery for derecho stuff? 2008/2012 derecho had the ridge focused over Kentucky. We're close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 8, 2020 Share Posted July 8, 2020 1 minute ago, Eskimo Joe said: 2008/2012 derecho had the ridge focused over Kentucky. We're close. Let's do it. I'm of course out town the entirety of next week. You guys will probably get rocked just because mother nature hates me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 8, 2020 Share Posted July 8, 2020 Just now, Kmlwx said: Let's do it. I'm of course out town the entirety of next week. You guys will probably get rocked just because mother nature hates me. From the 11th to 18th I'm in Chinocteague. Only week off I'll have this year. Have been working 6 day weeks since January. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 8, 2020 Share Posted July 8, 2020 16 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: From the 11th to 18th I'm in Chinocteague. Only week off I'll have this year. Have been working 6 day weeks since January. I'm in Chincoteague 12th-19th. Small world. I'm really hoping the mosquitos aren't awful (I haven't been down there since I was younger). There's a NRO spy sat launch scheduled for 9am on the 15th if you hadn't already seen that. Minotaur IV rocket. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 8, 2020 Share Posted July 8, 2020 1 minute ago, Kmlwx said: I'm in Chincoteague 12th-19th. Small world. I'm really hoping the mosquitos aren't awful (I haven't been down there since I was younger). There's a NRO spy sat launch scheduled for 9am on the 15th if you hadn't already seen that. Minotaur IV rocket. Can't wait! Used to work for WFF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 8, 2020 Share Posted July 8, 2020 3 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Can't wait! Used to work for WFF. Looks like the Visitor Center is still going to be closed - where do you plan on watching from? Wish it was a nighttime launch... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 8, 2020 Share Posted July 8, 2020 1 minute ago, Kmlwx said: Looks like the Visitor Center is still going to be closed - where do you plan on watching from? Wish it was a nighttime launch... The beach. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southmdwatcher Posted July 8, 2020 Share Posted July 8, 2020 The west trend can stop with 98L Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 8, 2020 Share Posted July 8, 2020 12z NAM pushes steady moderate rain right to I-95 but DCA stays partly sunny somehow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 8, 2020 Share Posted July 8, 2020 3 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: IR satellite pic above shows this pretty good. SW DC burbs(what storm lol) CHO could hit the low 90s while Delmarva floods. What a weird setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted July 8, 2020 Share Posted July 8, 2020 19 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: 12z NAM pushes steady moderate rain right to I-95 but DCA stays partly sunny somehow. The euro is really the worst-case. Interesting weather stays east, but there are enough clouds to prevent DCA from getting to 90 (while IAD hits it). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted July 8, 2020 Share Posted July 8, 2020 1 hour ago, C.A.P.E. said: Wasn't someone just saying the NAM shall lead the way lol? Euro looks pretty similar to the 12 km, although it NAMS my yard more than the NAM. Didn't you say you always wanted a pool in your backyard? This seems more cost effective 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted July 8, 2020 Share Posted July 8, 2020 3k is pretty close to the euro 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted July 8, 2020 Share Posted July 8, 2020 Just now, WxWatcher007 said: Look at all this action you’re missing lol I literally got 1.5" of rain the other day from a storm. That equaled all my precip from March 15th to July 1st before the rain. Now it's gonna be smoking hot with 105-110 everyday from Fri-Wed. Send help....... and ice cream 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 8, 2020 Share Posted July 8, 2020 1 hour ago, MN Transplant said: The euro is really the worst-case. Interesting weather stays east, but there are enough clouds to prevent DCA from getting to 90 (while IAD hits it). Never count DCA out. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted July 8, 2020 Share Posted July 8, 2020 I have 3.30in of rain so far this week. I am in good shape for now. But my grass is so weak it wouldn't take much to fry it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted July 8, 2020 Share Posted July 8, 2020 11 minutes ago, adelphi_sky said: I have 3.30in of rain so far this week. I am in good shape for now. But my grass is so weak it wouldn't take much to fry it. I have had 2.50", and I need more lol. My grass needs constant rain for another couple weeks at least to keep it going. Super well drained soil plus lots of big trees robbing moisture and nutrients. Always a struggle. I am in much better shape than this time last year though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted July 8, 2020 Share Posted July 8, 2020 18z gfs is painful for those of us west of the Bay while @C.A.P.E. and @JakkelWx build an ark 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted July 8, 2020 Share Posted July 8, 2020 22 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: 18z gfs is painful for those of us west of the Bay while @C.A.P.E. and @JakkelWx build an ark I will gladly shovel some rain off my driveway and place it in your rain guage. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted July 8, 2020 Share Posted July 8, 2020 Out here, just southwest of Purcellville, I am sitting at 1.58 inches of rain for the last 31 days! The storm two nights ago dumped almost an inch of rain less than 1 mile from my home! Yesterday, the storms literally split around me and I ended up with .04" . I submitted the information to the Climate office. Meanwhile, friends of mine in the eastern part of Loudoun saw 8+ inches of rain in June and over 3 inches the last week! I have brown grass and a dusty dry yard! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted July 8, 2020 Share Posted July 8, 2020 33 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: 18z gfs is painful for those of us west of the Bay while @C.A.P.E. and @JakkelWx build an ark It will track further east in the end and we all will be left high and dry, but with plenty of beer at hand, so all will be well. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted July 8, 2020 Share Posted July 8, 2020 12 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: It will track further east in the end and we all will be left high and dry, but with plenty of beer at hand, so all will be well. Lots of 120 Min IPA cures all. Lol 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted July 8, 2020 Share Posted July 8, 2020 ICON has the right idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted July 8, 2020 Share Posted July 8, 2020 Davis,WV, is part of this forum so I’m putting this here. We took some wine, crackers, pepperoni, and cheese up to the ridge this evening and watched this storm build. Looking forward to seeing @jonjon tomorrow and picking up some beers. 15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 1 hour ago, C.A.P.E. said: ICON has the right idea. We almost get the same precip as Buffalo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 22 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said: Davis,WV, is part of this forum so I’m putting this here. We took some wine, crackers, pepperoni, and cheese up to the ridge this evening and watched this storm build. Looking forward to seeing @jonjon tomorrow and picking up some beers. Looking good, I think I’m gonna head up to dolly sods and do a hike there tomorrow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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