MN Transplant Posted July 4, 2020 Share Posted July 4, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted July 4, 2020 Share Posted July 4, 2020 Essentially a 2 week heatwave with temps above 90 if the weather forecast verifies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted July 4, 2020 Share Posted July 4, 2020 85 here. A stretch of 90 degree temps in July is nbd, esp for DC. Some rain would be nice. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted July 4, 2020 Share Posted July 4, 2020 20 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: 85 here. A stretch of 90 degree temps in July is nbd, esp for DC. Some rain would be nice. Low to mid 90s isn't that big of a deal until it is continuous without a break. The Euro also has + 850 departures for the entire run, which is unpleasant in July. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted July 4, 2020 Share Posted July 4, 2020 12 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: Low to mid 90s isn't that big of a deal until it is continuous without a break. The Euro also has + 850 departures for the entire run, which is unpleasant in July. I didn't realize DC had been 90+ the past 9 days. It can be so different being out of the UHI this time of year. Ofc if we get an upper ridge axis overhead and surface HP off the coast, then the whole region will be pretty toasty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted July 4, 2020 Share Posted July 4, 2020 I wonder the statistics about how often D.C. gets a storm on the 4th of July. hrrr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted July 4, 2020 Share Posted July 4, 2020 3 minutes ago, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: I wonder the statistics about how often D.C. gets a storm on the 4th of July. hrrr I’d think some would be interested to know if it is substantially lower than on July 5th after all the sulphur. Though I think they’ve shown that fireworks don’t make it rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted July 4, 2020 Share Posted July 4, 2020 it's not just the 90s during the day, we've been mid-upper 70s for lows for a while now. Last night only got down to 78. I'm sure if this continues we'll get some 80+ lows, as they are routine every summer now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted July 4, 2020 Share Posted July 4, 2020 I think as long as we don’t get the 95-100 with heat indexes 105-115, we’ll be alright whether it’s technically a historic stretch or not. AC and energy bills won’t like it though, cuz still hard to keep the windows open lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted July 4, 2020 Share Posted July 4, 2020 87 currently. Looks like the one-day 90+ run here will end. Tomorrow looks to be the start of a better streak here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted July 4, 2020 Share Posted July 4, 2020 Ha, that little storm hopped right over me with barely a sprinkle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted July 4, 2020 Share Posted July 4, 2020 2 hours ago, nw baltimore wx said: I’d think some would be interested to know if it is substantially lower than on July 5th after all the sulphur. Though I think they’ve shown that fireworks don’t make it rain. Maybe the time of year is more important? It just seems like it storms every 4th of July (before fireworks). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted July 4, 2020 Share Posted July 4, 2020 1 hour ago, C.A.P.E. said: 87 currently. Looks like the one-day 90+ run here will end. Tomorrow looks to be the start of a better streak here. No end in sight for 90s+ starting tomorrow unless something changes and it also looks pretty dry too. We do heat very well in summer now that the climate change continues to accelerate. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted July 4, 2020 Share Posted July 4, 2020 5 minutes ago, JakkelWx said: No end in sight for 90s+ starting tomorrow unless something changes and it also looks pretty dry too. We do heat very well in summer now that the climate change continues to accelerate. Yeah the next week or so looks dry outside of some isolated/very scattered stuff, and plenty of 90-95. Its inevitable here. I wouldn't mind the heat so much if it wouldn't always go bone dry during the hottest period of the summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted July 4, 2020 Share Posted July 4, 2020 Reading the Mount Holly AFD, looks like 4-5 days of low 90s, then depending on how things evolve towards next weekend with potential impacts from the southern low, temps may drop back to the mid to upper 80s. Much to be resolved with how that plays out, however. Pretty big differences between the Euro and the GFS. Shocking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowtoRain Posted July 4, 2020 Share Posted July 4, 2020 High of 91.4, still holding around 90, once that wind died the temps bumped up 4 degrees quick Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted July 4, 2020 Share Posted July 4, 2020 2 minutes ago, SnowtoRain said: High of 91.4, still holding around 90, once that wind died the temps bumped up 4 degrees quick I think there is a weak back door front in the area. Only made it to 87 here, and 83 currently. Quite comfortable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted July 4, 2020 Share Posted July 4, 2020 51 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Firepit last night was great . A light shower rolled through. Outflow breeze was great and the breeze lasted for an hour or so. Yeah if it wont actually rain, bring the outflow boundary! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrlg1181 Posted July 5, 2020 Share Posted July 5, 2020 Got right at 1 inch northern Waynesboro...much needed.. sort of uncommon for us to get that much rain from a single convective shower or storm... Huge difference just on the east side of the mts where I lived for my first 30 yrs , been keeping precip records since I was 12.. much much wetter on avg just to the east of the mts , mostly from the huge difference in the summer storms.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 5, 2020 Share Posted July 5, 2020 00z GFS trying to show some kind of cool down starting early next week... highs back in the low to mid 80s for a few days before the heat returns and the humidity along with it 00z GGEM would be really nice for Thursday and Friday... 70s to around 80... then brings in some cool air again next week Monday-Tuesday... highs in 60s and 70s 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted July 5, 2020 Share Posted July 5, 2020 Things have shifted noticeably wetter in the 14-day period overnight. Temps look to be about the same with low-mid 90s and very high humidity, with chances for widespread thunderstorms next weekend. There is chances for isolated-scattered thunderstorms most of this week, however I expect it to be mainly dry. There could be some strong wind gusts and heavy rain with any thunderstorm that forms in the I-95 corridor from DC-Philly. SBCAPE values already over 3,000 J/kg and it's not even 9 AM yet here. DCAPE over 1,000 J/kg as well will support healthy downdrafts. Isolated-scattered convection until the loss of daytime heating commences. Highs in the low-mid 90s for most of the area today with dews in the lower 70s will support heat indexes around 100F. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowtoRain Posted July 5, 2020 Share Posted July 5, 2020 84.4/76.8...gross Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted July 5, 2020 Share Posted July 5, 2020 Dews 73-75, sweating 10 minutes into my walk outside, now THATS what I’m talking about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted July 5, 2020 Share Posted July 5, 2020 89/75 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted July 5, 2020 Share Posted July 5, 2020 It’s vile out 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted July 5, 2020 Share Posted July 5, 2020 This is the worst of weather. We now enter the worst two months of the year. C’mon on back cutoff lows. Anything is better. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted July 5, 2020 Share Posted July 5, 2020 Pity meso out. Why they even bothered putting it out idek. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1107.html 91/73 out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted July 5, 2020 Share Posted July 5, 2020 11 minutes ago, JakkelWx said: Pity meso out. Why they even bothered putting it out idek. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1107.html 91/73 out. Cells will be very isolated, but given the impressive CAPE values and decent shear, they may go briefly severe, with a strong downdraft or 2, and possible damaging winds. That's why! One thing is guaranteed- my yard wont see anything- least of all, rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted July 5, 2020 Share Posted July 5, 2020 3 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: Cells will be very isolated, but given the impressive CAPE values and decent shear, they may go briefly severe, with a strong downdraft or 2, and possible damaging winds. That's why! One thing is guaranteed- my yard wont see anything- least of all, rain. Gonna have to start slant sticking rain soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted July 5, 2020 Share Posted July 5, 2020 28 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: This is the worst of weather. We now enter the worst two months of the year. C’mon on back cutoff lows. Anything is better. LOL I said this several times when most people were moaning about it. I would take that shiit all summer. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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