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July 2020 General Discussion


Chicago Storm
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19 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said:

91 at ORD, 90 MDW and here today.

 

10th for ORD this year.

Too bad yesterday was 89.  If it isn't derailed on Saturday, this has the potential to get interesting.  Even the hot summer of 2012 only managed an 8 day streak of 90+.     

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Too bad yesterday was 89.  If it isn't derailed on Saturday, this has the potential to get interesting.  Even the hot summer of 2012 only managed an 8 day streak of 90+.     

Any time we are 89’d I’m annoyed, and yesterday was double, due to the streak potential.


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9 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said:

91 ORD today. (11th)

 

89’d MDW and 92 here.

 

Oddly enough, MDW has been running a bit cool on some of the warmer days recently.

 

 

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LOT has 90 at ORD tomorrow.  I am not sure if it's going to make it.  

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10 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said:


It’ll be close.

HRRRx has handled the past several days well, and has a ~10F spread over ~10 miles, with ORD right there in it.


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Hopefully it makes it.  If it does it's off to the races with the 90 degree streak.

Looking back at previous significant 90 degree streaks for Chicago, a lot of them happened after the early 1940s, which is not surprising since that is when the official observation site moved farther inland. 

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Obviously an OP run, but the consistency in the GFS showing almost wall to wall 90-100+ temps for the next two weeks is something. Can’t even recall that in 2012.

There is a good amount of EPS and GEFS support for the ridge to continue flexing into the region, so it might be on to something to a degree.


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Obviously an OP run, but the consistency in the GFS showing almost wall to wall 90-100+ temps for the next two weeks is something. Can’t even recall that in 2012.

There is a good amount of EPS and GEFS support for the ridge to continue flexing into the region, so it might be on to something to a degree.


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ce91cd372272a1c268bba72dc7c17909.jpg


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Monday
Sunny and hot, with a high near 96.
Monday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 74.
Tuesday
Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 97.
Tuesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 75.
Wednesday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 95.
Wednesday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 74.
Thursday
Sunny and hot, with a high near 96.
Thursday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 75.
Friday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 96.
 
:maphot::maphot::maphot::maphot::maphot:
 
A week of that type of heat is pretty wild.
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Obviously an OP run, but the consistency in the GFS showing almost wall to wall 90-100+ temps for the next two weeks is something. Can’t even recall that in 2012.

There is a good amount of EPS and GEFS support for the ridge to continue flexing into the region, so it might be on to something to a degree.


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As I mentioned, the ENS support for prolonged ridging and heat is high...

bac58e65440befa9146c3ae7fc8d29a6.jpg
f228199a33590de26e33e7fee481fd13.jpg


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Feeling better about ORD hitting 90 later.  
And yeah, some serious heat modeled in the extended.  Would be right at the climo favored time of year for big heat.

If we can get through today, the next biggest threat to 90+ would be on Friday.

There a disturbance moving through Thursday night, that if (probably will) timing changes on it, could make for a stormy day and hinder 90+ potential.


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It's looking like there will be just enough flattening of the ridge next weekend to at least bring a temporary "cool down" (meaning sub-90*F+ temps) for the NE parts of the subforum.

From what I recall, shortwaves like the one showing up on the models right now always end up breaking down the ridge more than projected in the mid/long range.

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