uncle W Posted July 23, 2020 Share Posted July 23, 2020 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 23, 2020 Share Posted July 23, 2020 9 minutes ago, uncle W said: Did JB throw that together? Figures by the time Upton throws up a HA, we are stuck in the 70s 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted July 23, 2020 Share Posted July 23, 2020 Partly Sunny 86/75 HI 95 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 23, 2020 Share Posted July 23, 2020 sun is out, temp up to 82/76/90. Off to the races, not sure we hit 90... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted July 23, 2020 Share Posted July 23, 2020 81/76/87 here, finally clearing out now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 23, 2020 Share Posted July 23, 2020 2 minutes ago, Cfa said: 81/76/87 here, finally clearing out now. 84/76/93, decent bounce back. Think we level off around 87 though, heat wave over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 23, 2020 Share Posted July 23, 2020 14 minutes ago, Cfa said: 81/76/87 here, finally clearing out now. 85/75 now, enough to provide some juice for later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted July 23, 2020 Share Posted July 23, 2020 1 hour ago, psv88 said: Did JB throw that together? Figures by the time Upton throws up a HA, we are stuck in the 70s Yea I mean haven't you seen the 4,200 hour GFS? Wall to wall Miller A's! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted July 23, 2020 Share Posted July 23, 2020 84/72/90 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted July 23, 2020 Share Posted July 23, 2020 21 minutes ago, psv88 said: 84/76/93, decent bounce back. Think we level off around 87 though, heat wave over 84/76 here now as well, I think 90 is out of reach, but not impossible. I hope we get slammed later on, Suffolk has been missing out this summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted July 23, 2020 Share Posted July 23, 2020 85/76/95 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted July 23, 2020 Share Posted July 23, 2020 Getting closer...87/75 currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted July 23, 2020 Share Posted July 23, 2020 90/74 HI 98. LGA was 88 I think they reach 90 by next update. The Park was 84 Either way maybe we cook something good up this evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 23, 2020 Share Posted July 23, 2020 4 hours ago, SnoSki14 said: We could be in the top 3-5 warmest after early next week's heat. Looks like a string of 95-100F days looks likely. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 23, 2020 Share Posted July 23, 2020 1 hour ago, Cfa said: 84/76 here now as well, I think 90 is out of reach, but not impossible. I hope we get slammed later on, Suffolk has been missing out this summer. 88/74/96 now, i dont need severe. just water the lawn. had enough damage with last years microbursts... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 23, 2020 Share Posted July 23, 2020 i think most of us will get to 90 in the next hour 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 23, 2020 Author Share Posted July 23, 2020 3 hours ago, uncle W said: As I have always said, no winter outlook should be put out before October. Way to early IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 23, 2020 Author Share Posted July 23, 2020 53 minutes ago, forkyfork said: Flirting with the 100 degree mark on Monday/Tuesday. Especially on Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted July 23, 2020 Share Posted July 23, 2020 After 5 days in a row of 90 or above here, only hit 86 today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 23, 2020 Author Share Posted July 23, 2020 Current temp 90/DP 76/RH 64% 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted July 23, 2020 Share Posted July 23, 2020 1 hour ago, Rtd208 said: As I have always said, no winter outlook should be put out before October. Way to early IMO. you never know what you can find searching thru u tube... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted July 23, 2020 Share Posted July 23, 2020 This would be interesting... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 23, 2020 Author Share Posted July 23, 2020 4 minutes ago, TriPol said: This would be interesting... In any other year I would call BS but since its 2020 and its been a dumpster fire of a year so far sure why not. If that is going to actually happen this will be the year for it. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted July 23, 2020 Share Posted July 23, 2020 Overnight, parts of the region will see some showers and thundershowers. Tomorrow will be similar to today with clouds, some sunshine, and additional showers and thundershowers. This weekend, heat will rebuild across the area. The potential exists for early next week to see the warmest readings this summer in parts of the region. The current predominantly warmer than normal pattern will likely persist through at least August, paving the way for a solidly warmer than normal summer throughout the region. Occasional short-lived cool shots remain possible. One or more heatwaves are likely in July across the region, including New York City. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -1.5°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.2°C for the week centered around July 15. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.92°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.22°C. Neutral-cool conditions will likely into the start of autumn. During the autumn, La Niña conditions could develop. The SOI was +16.00. Today, the preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) figure was -0.829. On July 22, the MJO was in Phase 2 at an amplitude of 1.820 (RMM). The July 21-adjusted amplitude was 1.608. The MJO has been in either Phase 1 or Phase 2 for 53 consecutive days. Last year, the MJO went through a very strong passage through Phase 1 during the closing days of May. About four weeks later, a warmer than normal pattern locked in and predominated through early autumn. This year, the MJO was in Phase 1 for 3 consecutive days with an amplitude of 1.500 or above during the June 1-3 period. Last year, the SOI fell to -42.04 on June 22 when the MJO was in Phase 6. This year, the SOI plunged below -46.68 on June 5, its lowest level in more than three years. The dramatic plunge in the SOI could be the proverbial spark that kicks off a sequence of events leading to the development of a sustained warmer than normal period. The cases that saw both the MJO and SOI thresholds satisfied generally saw 10-20 days where the temperature reached or exceeded 90° in New York City during the July 1-August 31 period. Since 1990, there have been 11 La Niña events, 6 of which followed an El Niño winter. 10/11 (91%) case saw warmer than normal September. All 6 following an El Niño winter were warmer than normal. September mean temperatures for New York City for those cases were: 11 cases: 69.9°; Subset of 6 cases: 70.8°; Entire 1990-2019 period: 69.0°. The September mean temperature for all La Niña and neutral-cool cases following an El Niño winter (1950-2019: n=13) was 69.9°. Overall, the evolution of ENSO, along with the observed ongoing monthly warming (1.6°/decade in NYC and 1.5°/decade in the Northeast Region during September 1990-2019), favors a warmer than normal September. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 99% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal July. July will likely finish with a mean temperature near 79.8°. The probability of an 80° mean temperature in July remains near 50%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted July 24, 2020 Share Posted July 24, 2020 Just squeezed out a 90° today to keep the streak going, after am low of 72°...those heavier storms missed to my west so 0.06" for day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted July 24, 2020 Share Posted July 24, 2020 90 /72 max/min on this side of the island too...some light rain now with distant thunder... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted July 24, 2020 Share Posted July 24, 2020 some occasional drizzle/light rain, 86/75. High was 91, heat wave survives to day 6. Heat waves continues at LGA, EWR, TEB, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 24, 2020 Share Posted July 24, 2020 7/23 LGA: 92 EWR: 91 PHL: 91 ACY: 91 TEB: 90 TTN: 89 New Brnswk: 89 NYC: 86 BLM: 88 JFK: 85 ISP: 85 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted July 24, 2020 Share Posted July 24, 2020 87/73 today, streak over. Got off to a strong start but those mid-day showers/clouds ultimately killed it for us, only 0.03” from the showers anyway, a waste of time. Heat wave: 92, 91, 95, 93, 90. Currently 80/77 (HI 87). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted July 24, 2020 Share Posted July 24, 2020 not much here, but nice storms moving through DC, lighting up national park Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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