Stormlover74 Posted July 13, 2020 Share Posted July 13, 2020 18 minutes ago, Will - Rutgers said: Where you at? I live in the Pleasantview Gardens apartments off Carlton Avenue. We must be close. I'm in Plainfield so I'm sure theyre different ones Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 13, 2020 Author Share Posted July 13, 2020 It looks like we have an area of showers and a few thunderstorm about to move into the NYC metro. Nothing severe but we could have some heavy rain, thunder and lightning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 13, 2020 Author Share Posted July 13, 2020 High for the day yesterday was 92 here. Current temp 77/DP 66/RH 70% 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted July 13, 2020 Share Posted July 13, 2020 I hope this is a good Monday morning! No severe thread today and not much for me to talk about for a few days. IF anything occurs this afternoon in our NYC forum coverage area, probably restricted on our eastern edge, mainly New Haven County and plenty of doubt. Looking ahead, actually might be a brief shower tomorrow-Tuesday beneath the cool pool 500MB trough with some instability wrapping southeast. Then Thursday night (overnight) convection still seems plausible in WAA. Looks pretty hot for a while Saturday-Wednesday of next week and with PWAT creeping up above 1.8 at times, maybe we'll have a boundary or two to spawn pockets of big convection? Last night: lightning died in western NJ (as far as I can tell). One shower gust that I found, 26KT at KLGA ~949P (briefly PRESRR also). And the digital rainfall is posted.. blue starts .48". So no 1" in our forum area...but there is the coverage... too much decay after midnight which i didn't expect. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted July 13, 2020 Share Posted July 13, 2020 The next 8 days are averaging 82.5degs., or 4.5degs. AN. The 8 days after this are averaging an unbelievable 89degs., or about 11degs. AN. Month to date is +2.8[78.8]. Should be about +3.5[80.3] by the 21st. 74*(80%RH) at 6am, cirrus. 84% by 3pm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 13, 2020 Share Posted July 13, 2020 So far the high temperature of the month at NYC and LGA is 96° and 95° at EWR. Latest model runs indicate that our next chance to go 95°+ is around the 20th. We’ll see if the models hold this day 6-10 forecast or back off again. The period around July 20th has been our warmest part of the month for 7 out of the last10 years. Highest July temperature and date at EWR or LGA since 2010 7-21-19........100 7-1-18...........98 7-20-17.........98 7-23/25-16...99 7-19-15.........98 7-2-14...........96 7-18-13........101 7-18-12........104 7-22-11........108 7-6-10..........103 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted July 13, 2020 Share Posted July 13, 2020 I don't think we'll see the elusive 100F. Models have consistently backed off the extreme heat for our area and all the recent rains make it less likely as well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 13, 2020 Share Posted July 13, 2020 1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said: I don't think we'll see the elusive 100F. Models have consistently backed off the extreme heat for our area and all the recent rains make it less likely as well. We'll probably do it in september 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 13, 2020 Share Posted July 13, 2020 .15 overnight. It’s been a very wet last 7 days. It’s nice to have it happen in the middle of July Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 13, 2020 Share Posted July 13, 2020 3 minutes ago, Allsnow said: .15 overnight. It’s been a very wet last 7 days. It’s nice to have it happen in the middle of July my area looked like Phoenix 6/24...since then we've had close to 9 inches of rain-looks like Ireland now. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted July 13, 2020 Share Posted July 13, 2020 .10" last night. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 13, 2020 Share Posted July 13, 2020 Humidity back 79/68 and partly sunny. Looks less stormy today that initially expected. Some clouds moving through as winds shift to SW. Today again with enough sun and assume storms are more scattered, we should see places outside the damp park reach 90. Tuesday (7/14) looks like a cooler version of Sunday but again temps near 90 before more onshore flow Wed - Thu. Dry / sunny and temps on mid 80s both days. Friday toss up day where if winds go around to the SW the heat is on. Starting Saturday (7/18) should see overall hot pattern beging (gfs seems too cool) and continue thru at least 7/25. Potential in the period for strong heat 95 (+) especially towards 7/20. ECm has 850s >16c for the period and peaking at >20c around next mon/tue (7/20-21) Have to watch weakness undercutting the ridge (season persistence) which looks anchored between the Plains and Mid West. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted July 13, 2020 Share Posted July 13, 2020 Wantage NJ 0.26" 9PM ish/12 to 2AMish/13 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted July 13, 2020 Share Posted July 13, 2020 17 hours ago, nycwinter said: i like the cooler temps in the central park area makes it more tolerable.. It's not a real thing 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 13, 2020 Share Posted July 13, 2020 3 hours ago, Stormlover74 said: We'll probably do it in september And 90 in early October 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 13, 2020 Share Posted July 13, 2020 27 minutes ago, Rjay said: It's not a real thing We need some new photos. http://www.weather2000.com/ASOS/NYC_ASOS.html June 2009 June 2013 1 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 13, 2020 Share Posted July 13, 2020 16 minutes ago, Allsnow said: And 90 in early October We did it last year so why not 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 13, 2020 Share Posted July 13, 2020 17 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: We did it last year so why not ewr hit 96 with high humidity. lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 13, 2020 Share Posted July 13, 2020 22 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: We did it last year so why not Lol. Yep. Then come November we will go down to 12 degrees for two nights as we approach are 50/rainy season 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 13, 2020 Share Posted July 13, 2020 Just now, Allsnow said: Lol. Yep. Then come November we will go down to 12 degrees for two nights as we approach are 50/rainy season Yep big ol torch coming this winter after a cold November. It'll be interesting to see if the usual suspects go cold and snowy for a 3rd yr in a row.... 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted July 13, 2020 Share Posted July 13, 2020 Park has been wet that removes 90 chances significantly 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted July 13, 2020 Share Posted July 13, 2020 Cell ~40 miles to my ENE over eastern Suffolk... 81/74 and raining here now.... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 13, 2020 Share Posted July 13, 2020 8 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: Yep big ol torch coming this winter after a cold November. It'll be interesting to see if the usual suspects go cold and snowy for a 3rd yr in a row.... Who really knows...if anything the last few years have humbled some that put out seasonal Outlooks. IMO the key factors for any winter are the PV and MJO. Unfortunately, those can change drastically from month to month. Last winter the PV got uber strong and locked the cold by the pole. We didn’t get any help from the strat and it turned into a nightmare for snow lovers. In 18-19 we got a SSW in January but it never coupled so we got a few day cold outbreak. It also didn’t help that the nino never showed Up the last two winters. We ended up with more of a Niña like pattern for February 19 and 20. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 13, 2020 Share Posted July 13, 2020 2 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Who really knows...if anything the last few years have humbled some that put out seasonal Outlooks. IMO the key factors for any winter are the PV and MJO. Unfortunately, those can change drastically from month to month. Last winter the PV got uber strong and locked the cold by the pole. We didn’t get any help from the strat and it turned into a nightmare for snow lovers. In 18-19 we got a SSW in January but it never coupled so we got a few day cold outbreak. It also didn’t help that the nino never showed Up the last two winters. We ended up with more of a Niña like pattern for February 19 and 20. Yep, what looks great (or bad) in October and November doesn't always carry through to Dec-Mar. Last few years seemed to have a development that came out of nowhere and wrecked our winter (last year the PV and also the warm water NE of australia which kept the MJO in 4-5-6) 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted July 13, 2020 Share Posted July 13, 2020 4 hours ago, Brian5671 said: my area looked like Phoenix 6/24...since then we've had close to 9 inches of rain-looks like Ireland now. Damn, 6" more than here ~30 miles north. My wettest period so far was 1.3" in a few hours late Saturday but I was only at ~1.7 before that. 37 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: Yep big ol torch coming this winter after a cold November. It'll be interesting to see if the usual suspects go cold and snowy for a 3rd yr in a row.... October. We are going to get significant snow again in October and early frosts will doom the garden in September. Then it will be 65° t shirt riding weather on Xmas eve again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 13, 2020 Share Posted July 13, 2020 6 minutes ago, gravitylover said: Damn, 6" more than here ~30 miles north. My wettest period so far was 1.3" in a few hours late Saturday but I was only at ~1.7 before that. October. We are going to get significant snow again in October and early frosts will doom the garden in September. Then it will be 65° t shirt riding weather on Xmas eve again. We had that 4 incher on 7/3, that inflated our totals 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 13, 2020 Share Posted July 13, 2020 90 for the high here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 13, 2020 Share Posted July 13, 2020 Impressive first half of summer warmth to our north. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 13, 2020 Share Posted July 13, 2020 the start of a heat wave finally made it to day 5 3 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maureen Posted July 13, 2020 Share Posted July 13, 2020 15 hours ago, Will - Rutgers said: F me ignore this just fireworks at 11 PM on a Sunday. I've heard three times as many fireworks this summer as I have any other summer. o/t Every. Night. For weeks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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