SACRUS Posted July 5, 2020 Share Posted July 5, 2020 77/70 as low clouds burn off with wind change. Next two days should see temps exceed guidance where its mostly sunny. Temps low to mid 90s perhaps hotter as 18-20C 850 temps are nearby today and monday. Tuesday we will see how far NE flow keeps the cool, but another day that could get use our heatwave before the next chance Wed - Fri. Storms possible each day Mon - Fri. ULL (sub tropical low) again further north on guidance, ECM had that feature since earlier last week - lost it, then it over the southeast and is back now. north since 00z Sat runs. Could be a soaker Fri evening if it comes north and id bet on it ending a dry pattern with a soaker. Beyond there as we clear this feature plenty of heat rebuilding into Lakes, Mid West by 7/13. Believe that allusive triple digit may have a chance between mid July and early August with one of these surges. Warm and wet now evolving looks like June might have been an anomaly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 5, 2020 Author Share Posted July 5, 2020 High for the day yesterday was 89 here. Current temp 80/DP 70/RH 72% 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 5, 2020 Author Share Posted July 5, 2020 Temps rising quickly this morning. Already 87 here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 5, 2020 Share Posted July 5, 2020 Would hate to loose a weekend in July to a straight form rainstorm but we need the precipitation 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 5, 2020 Share Posted July 5, 2020 12 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Would hate to loose a weekend in July to a straight form rainstorm but we need the precipitation The next 3 days look active but of course not everyone will see rain 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 5, 2020 Author Share Posted July 5, 2020 Dew point has been steadily dropping along with low humidity should make it more comfortable this afternoon. Current temp 91/DP 62/RH 39% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted July 5, 2020 Share Posted July 5, 2020 91 here, 90 at the park Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted July 5, 2020 Share Posted July 5, 2020 Temp currently here @ 88/DP 68/RH 55% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 5, 2020 Author Share Posted July 5, 2020 Another day of 90's in the book. Current temp up to 93 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted July 5, 2020 Share Posted July 5, 2020 47 minutes ago, Rtd208 said: Dew point has been steadily dropping along with low humidity should make it more comfortable this afternoon. Current temp 91/DP 62/RH 39% While most are seeing DPs drop mine spiked. 87/73 here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted July 5, 2020 Share Posted July 5, 2020 Looking at obs around the area FRG was 85/73 last hour. Everyone else is lower. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted July 5, 2020 Share Posted July 5, 2020 Sea breeze front is evident on radar. It's just north of me. Probably why my DP spiked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted July 5, 2020 Share Posted July 5, 2020 95 degrees here now, but the dewpoint has fallen to 56. At least its a dry heat today. Models are showing scattered heavy storms for tomorrow, so hoping for a dowpour here tomorrow. The ground is absolutely parched. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 5, 2020 Share Posted July 5, 2020 46 minutes ago, Rjay said: Looking at obs around the area FRG was 85/73 last hour. Everyone else is lower. topped out at 90 up here, the north shore is upper 80s to low 90s today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted July 5, 2020 Share Posted July 5, 2020 1 minute ago, psv88 said: topped out at 90 up here, the north shore is upper 80s to low 90s today I meant the DPs are lower elsewhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted July 5, 2020 Share Posted July 5, 2020 Same here with the temp up to 93° but dp down at 56°. See if sea breeze makes it here soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 5, 2020 Share Posted July 5, 2020 6 minutes ago, Rjay said: I meant the DPs are lower elsewhere. gotcha, DP here is 66 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted July 5, 2020 Share Posted July 5, 2020 93/60 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted July 5, 2020 Share Posted July 5, 2020 91 now...down from 93... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted July 5, 2020 Share Posted July 5, 2020 Good Sunday afternoon, Just a couple of notes: SPC upgraded mid Atlantic tomorrow to "marginal". Not sure if it can happen along the NYS/NJ border but trust SPC considerations... modeling that I/we might not be aware of. Also, IF and/or when NHC starts Edouard/FAY??? mid week and confidently-reliably projects QPF impact here (still easily could be an unnamed low), we may want a separate topic from what is potentially going to develop Monday afternoon through Thursday. Think the indicators are continuing in some of the 12z/5 modeling for an active-heavy QPF Mon-Thu in parts of NY metro (including parts of LI-WAA). SPC HREF has potential for 1"+ thunderstorms near or south of I80 Monday afternoon-evening (HREF mean qpf is less) responding to increased CAPE/PWAT and the associated instability burst, with a little 850 flow kink modeled toward our area. and below from SPC regarding Monday potential: ...Southern NY/western PA and the Mid-Atlantic Vicinity... Modest vertical shear will exist across the region on Monday afternoon/evening, with strong flow and forcing for ascent focused further to the north over New England as a shortwave trough shifts eastward and eventually offshore. However, a very moist airmass will be in place, with surface dewpoints in the 60s to near 70 F common. Strong heating (high temps 85-95) will result in steep low level lapse rates and MLCAPE values from 2000-3000 J/kg. Midlevel lapse rates also will be steeper thanks to cooling aloft associated with the aforementioned shortwave trough. As a result, clusters of thunderstorms capable of sporadic strong/locally damaging gusts and occasional hail will be possible during the afternoon and evening. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 5, 2020 Author Share Posted July 5, 2020 Current temp 95/DP 62/RH 33% 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eduardo Posted July 5, 2020 Share Posted July 5, 2020 Top-notch beach weekend. Water temps also quite warm for this time of year! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted July 5, 2020 Share Posted July 5, 2020 2 hours ago, Rjay said: While most are seeing DPs drop mine spiked. 87/73 here. Same. DP spiked into the mid 70’s and the temp dropped into the 80’s. 84/74 here currently, high was 91. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 5, 2020 Share Posted July 5, 2020 Pretty big dew point spread between the North Shore and South Shore. LaGuardia Arpt MOSUNNY 94 46 Wantagh N/A 82 72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted July 5, 2020 Share Posted July 5, 2020 9 minutes ago, bluewave said: Pretty big dew point spread between the North Shore and South Shore. LaGuardia Arpt MOSUNNY 94 46 Wantagh N/A 82 72 It's been so muggy the last few summers that I had forgotten what mid 90s felt like with low humidity. Not as bad as i remembered! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 5, 2020 Share Posted July 5, 2020 37 minutes ago, Cfa said: Same. DP spiked into the mid 70’s and the temp dropped into the 80’s. 84/74 here currently, high was 91. 86 here now, topped out at 91 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted July 5, 2020 Share Posted July 5, 2020 3 minutes ago, psv88 said: 86 here now, topped out at 91 Back up to 86 here now as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted July 5, 2020 Share Posted July 5, 2020 94/70 temp split today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted July 5, 2020 Share Posted July 5, 2020 84/73 RH 70% at my station in Sheepshead Bay. Topped out at 90 before the sea breeze. 0.14 in the bucket from this morning’s convection. 0.51 for the month to date. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted July 5, 2020 Share Posted July 5, 2020 High of 94 here. Down to 92/55 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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