Baroclinic Zone Posted July 19, 2020 Author Share Posted July 19, 2020 13 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: I’ll just keep on fighting the good fight. I’m good natured by heart. Takes a lot more than this stuff to a break good soul Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 19, 2020 Share Posted July 19, 2020 66/62 morning coffee on the deck ,gonna be a scorcha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted July 19, 2020 Share Posted July 19, 2020 Pool all day yesterday, And pool day again today, We may crack 90 today, Yesterday was manageable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted July 19, 2020 Share Posted July 19, 2020 15 hours ago, DotRat_Wx said: Lithuania and Italy... I myself am Lithuanian and Irish I’m full blood Lithuanian! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 19, 2020 Share Posted July 19, 2020 A bear was back at it this afternoon... came home with groceries this evening to this little guy grazing in our yard. He seems very young and smaller than the one we had seen before. It's hard to tell. He's a little guy, big stout legs though like he's going to grow up into a big guy. Sort of like a young puppy who's paws and legs are much too big for their body. He's been chilling out at the back dumpster now for a half hour or so. Doesn't give a sh*t about humans, think we are deer or something. Just another living thing going about it's business. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 19, 2020 Share Posted July 19, 2020 25 minutes ago, powderfreak said: A bear was back at it this afternoon... came home with groceries this evening to this little guy grazing in our yard. He seems very young and smaller than the one we had seen before. It's hard to tell. He's a little guy, big stout legs though like he's going to grow up into a big guy. Sort of like a young puppy who's paws and legs are much too big for their body. He's been chilling out at the back dumpster now for a half hour or so. Doesn't give a sh*t about humans, think we are deer or something. Just another living thing going about it's business. That face is the face Dendy makes when reads every Kev post 2 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 19, 2020 Share Posted July 19, 2020 On 7/17/2020 at 10:55 AM, Damage In Tolland said: Reminds me a lot of the huge heat and dews 78-80 we all had a couple summers ago. 2018 maybe On 7/17/2020 at 11:58 AM, Damage In Tolland said: Dew of 59? Let us know when that happens this weekend! lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 19, 2020 Share Posted July 19, 2020 8 minutes ago, dendrite said: lol Did it happen anywhere East of the river south of 90? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 20, 2020 Share Posted July 20, 2020 2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Did it happen anywhere East of the river south of 90? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted July 20, 2020 Share Posted July 20, 2020 Building heat signal for the upcoming weekend. Maybe the special aspect of this summer is starting? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 20, 2020 Share Posted July 20, 2020 The 12z GFS pinches the heat off pretty quickly early next week. Euro is probably overdone as usual. I'm in the hot with mild downs camp, but nothing memorable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 20, 2020 Share Posted July 20, 2020 Torch!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted July 20, 2020 Share Posted July 20, 2020 27 minutes ago, dendrite said: The 12z GFS pinches the heat off pretty quickly early next week. Euro is probably overdone as usual. I'm in the hot with mild downs camp, but nothing memorable. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 20, 2020 Share Posted July 20, 2020 12z euro backs off 1-2C across the board in the mid/late range. It'll probably still try to advect a 23C plume in here by d10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 20, 2020 Share Posted July 20, 2020 Heh... It may be 12z being the cool limb of the diurnal cycle with that 850 mb thermal rendition... I noticed that leading up to this recent warm bout, that the Euro was routinely warmer at 00z than 12z ... not always... ..say, 60 ... 70% of the transition comparison. I think the 850mb "breathes" so to speak, like it expands when the BL is is bursting into the gradient level...then, it recedes back to a slightly cool rest state at night...etc. But this run paints like there's simultaneous oddities probably owing to Euro biases... that being one, the other is that D8.5 sudden seasonal change over Ontario with those mechanics so powerful it induces an actual orbital wobble ... is probably it's penchants for doing that sort of bullshit in that time range... Heh, I guess the bottom line is ...there's heat on the charts and since we don't normally successfully get it up here without the Earth figuring out a way to f-it up and fail somehow, it's going to be muted one way or the other to pick a way - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 20, 2020 Share Posted July 20, 2020 3 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said: I think the 850mb "breathes" so to speak, like it expands when the BL is is bursting into the gradient level...then, it recedes back to a slightly cool rest state at night...etc. I use pivotal weather and always compare the frames valid at the 18z times. So it's always the peak of the afternoon. They have it out to d10 at 6hr intervals. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 21, 2020 Share Posted July 21, 2020 6 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said: I think the 850mb "breathes" so to speak, like it expands when the BL is is bursting into the gradient level...then, it recedes back to a slightly cool rest state at night...etc. Why wouldn't it? Even the mountain summits around that level have normal diurnal max/mins that can vary up to 15-20 degrees F in stable air masses (ie no strong advection processes) when the valleys several thousand feet below are doing 40 degree swings. Most days that level seems good for at least 10 degrees in diurnal heating/cooling with the solar cycle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 21, 2020 Share Posted July 21, 2020 15 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Why wouldn't it? Even the mountain summits around that level have normal diurnal max/mins that can vary up to 15-20 degrees F in stable air masses (ie no strong advection processes) when the valleys several thousand feet below are doing 40 degree swings. Most days that level seems good for at least 10 degrees in diurnal heating/cooling with the solar cycle. Right plus ... I was making a pour assumption that Brian was comparing the 12z intervals. Lol Anyway I’m not sure I buy that solution anyway ... it seems it may be a buckled outlier of the EPS ... which the latter doesn’t have to be right of course. But convention dictates caution ... it’s been trending higher hydrostatic arc north of Lake superior and I think it’s trying to signal an evolution towards an over the top or flop heat delivery… It’s not like this season hasn’t been set up for one with all the continental tucking that we’ve been doing over the Maritimes seems like a northwest delivery is bound to happen sooner or later… Just a hypothesis Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 21, 2020 Share Posted July 21, 2020 Looks like the NAM is backing off the frontal incursion ... allows another chance at 90 tomorrow. Actually turns Logan’s wind back south in shorter order too. Euro’s been hitting at less sag Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted July 21, 2020 Share Posted July 21, 2020 The recognition of shorter days hit me last night and this morning. The accumulation of the imperceptible daily shifts have hit the tipping point. We've lost 28 minutes of daylight so far. I celebrate this in the summer. In late January, I bemoan the lengthening of them. Oddly, as I typed this, I thought that sounded like a Tip post. To complete that theme, I'd have to say something liike "heh--in a few more weeks we'll find the magnitude of the solar radiance isn't heating the inside of my car as much". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 21, 2020 Share Posted July 21, 2020 6 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said: Looks like the NAM is backing off the frontal incursion ... allows another chance at 90 tomorrow. Actually turns Logan’s wind back south in shorter order too. Euro’s been hitting at less sag Less boob sag is never bad. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 21, 2020 Share Posted July 21, 2020 Pick of the week 65/61. Hot and dry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted July 21, 2020 Share Posted July 21, 2020 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Less boob sag is never bad. In the immortal words of Bob Seeger......way of firm and high. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted July 21, 2020 Share Posted July 21, 2020 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: Pick of the week 65/61. Hot and dry yeah--feels great out there relative to the last couple nights. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted July 21, 2020 Share Posted July 21, 2020 30 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: In the immortal words of Bob Seeger......way of firm and high. Way up firm and high referring to “points of her own” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted July 21, 2020 Author Share Posted July 21, 2020 2 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: Pick of the week 65/61. Hot and dry What time is this valid for? It's currently 81/64, so the dew is way off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 21, 2020 Share Posted July 21, 2020 18 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: What time is this valid for? It's currently 81/64, so the dew is way off. 21Z as it says Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 21, 2020 Share Posted July 21, 2020 18 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: What time is this valid for? It's currently 81/64, so the dew is way off. 67 here currently. He generally picks a short window snapshot of when it’s modeled to be lower for an hour or two rather than the whole day 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 21, 2020 Share Posted July 21, 2020 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: 67 here currently. He generally picks a short window snapshot of when it’s modeled to be lower for an hour or two rather than the whole day He? Who is he and who is we? It's a gorgeous day, humidity way down 77/ 62 degrees with a breeze. Go sweat in your mulch bed 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted July 21, 2020 Share Posted July 21, 2020 14 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: He? Who is he and who is we? It's a gorgeous day, humidity way down 77/ 62 degrees with a breeze. Go sweat in your mulch bed Amazing how when the dews drop, the sun magically appears in the mornings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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