Damage In Tolland Posted July 13, 2020 Share Posted July 13, 2020 Just now, dendrite said: No it isn't. NE Low Levels sure. Overall upper air is from west. Not really a door . But it will keep it in the low - mid 80’s with dews 60-65 for a day or two agree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 13, 2020 Share Posted July 13, 2020 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Low Levels sure. Overall upper air is from west. Not really a door . But it will keep it in the low - mid 80’s with dews 60-65 for a day or two agree How is that not a door? And I'd be surprised if the STEM doesn't have a day below the 80s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 13, 2020 Share Posted July 13, 2020 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Low Levels sure. Overall upper air is from west. Not really a door . But it will keep it in the low - mid 80’s with dews 60-65 for a day or two agree The only time the upper air winds are out of the east is like a massive bomb with big U-Wind anomalies. Otherwise, flow is always some sort of westerly component. Im not sure your post makes sense. Low level easterly flow is what a door is. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 13, 2020 Share Posted July 13, 2020 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: How is that not a door? And I'd be surprised if the STEM doesn't have a day below the 80s. Isn’t the cold front moving NW to SE? Doors typically move NE to Sw right? I’m sure Wednesday may stay under 80, but as GYX noted on morning AFD there’s not much cool air to the NE. More importantly I don’t see dews falling below 60 in SNE. Do you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 13, 2020 Share Posted July 13, 2020 Euro/GFS at 925 and the 12z NAM loop of 850s. Notice the source region and the winds backing and advecting those cooler temps in from osumetstud. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 13, 2020 Share Posted July 13, 2020 And yeah the GFS and EC aren't as cool...we'll see if they trend cooler at 12z or if the nam is just its usual synoptically challenged self. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 13, 2020 Share Posted July 13, 2020 3 minutes ago, dendrite said: And yeah the GFS and EC aren't as cool...we'll see if they trend cooler at 12z or if the nam is just its usual synoptically challenged self. At any rate this week we lose the mank and that's all that matters. Sunny and 80s with low dews is summer at its finest. We take before we bake. Or we wake and bake Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 13, 2020 Share Posted July 13, 2020 I guess my question is .. if the front comes from the NW but the cyclonic flow around the high initially is out of the NE.. is that really a door? Maybe it’s semantics Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted July 13, 2020 Share Posted July 13, 2020 Is there any hope for the tropics next few weeks . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 13, 2020 Share Posted July 13, 2020 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: Is there any hope for the tropics next few weeks . We SAL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan Posted July 13, 2020 Share Posted July 13, 2020 Looks refreshing here: Tuesday A chance of showers between 8am and 10am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 10am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 78. Calm wind becoming northeast around 5 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Tuesday Night A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60. North wind around 5 mph. Wednesday Partly sunny, with a high near 74. North wind around 5 mph. Wednesday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 58. Thursday Partly sunny, with a high near 75. Thursday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 62. Friday A 30 percent chance of showers after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 78. Friday Night A 30 percent chance of showers before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 13, 2020 Share Posted July 13, 2020 Yeah GFS is meh on heat the rest of the work week...especially for ENE. Over the top shot of heat first into NNE on Saturday and then days and days of torch for all. Of course it's pushed back to d7+ again though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted July 13, 2020 Author Share Posted July 13, 2020 10 minutes ago, dendrite said: Yeah GFS is meh on heat the rest of the work week...especially for ENE. Over the top shot of heat first into NNE on Saturday and then days and days of torch for all. Of course it's pushed back to d7+ again though. Shitty year thus far for those that are looking for consistent 90+ for days on end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted July 13, 2020 Share Posted July 13, 2020 1 hour ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Is there any hope for the tropics next few weeks . Too early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted July 13, 2020 Share Posted July 13, 2020 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: At any rate this week we lose the mank and that's all that matters. Sunny and 80s with low dews is summer at its finest. We take before we bake. Or we wake and bake I would argue mank has to have overcast. We had sun but very humid until yesterday when it was warmer and drier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted July 13, 2020 Share Posted July 13, 2020 8 minutes ago, weathafella said: Too early. I saw a Mike Ventrice Tweet 3 days ago about watching the tropics the next two weeks for a surge in African monsoon that should keep eyes focused on MDR for development based but I certainly didn’t see that being the majority opinion when I looked to see if the tropics were looking like they would “heat up “ in that time frame . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted July 13, 2020 Share Posted July 13, 2020 MDR ssts are generally near or above avg and warm enough to support development Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted July 13, 2020 Share Posted July 13, 2020 Honestly the vibe I’m feeling is typical summer in SNE. NNE it is extraordinary though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 13, 2020 Share Posted July 13, 2020 Dew already down to 60 at HFD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 13, 2020 Share Posted July 13, 2020 14 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Dew already down to 60 at HFD That’s just outflow BL from storms to East. They’re in the 60’s as far west and NW into NY state and Mass as you get . Most folks stay over 60 all week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted July 13, 2020 Share Posted July 13, 2020 23 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: That’s just outflow BL from storms to East. They’re in the 60’s as far west and NW into NY state and Mass as you get . Most folks stay over 60 all week Still 74/64 here at 8pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 14, 2020 Share Posted July 14, 2020 1 minute ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Still 74/64 here at 8pm. Yup. Not oppressed, but we’ll still “feel the humidity “ next /2-3 days til 70+ returns Friday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 14, 2020 Share Posted July 14, 2020 Very similar synoptically to the cool down over a week ago. Weakly low scoots seaward but this one has more actual surface high Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted July 14, 2020 Share Posted July 14, 2020 67/66 over 0.53" of rainSent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted July 14, 2020 Share Posted July 14, 2020 2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Yup. Not oppressed, but we’ll still “feel the humidity “ next /2-3 days til 70+ returns Friday Weds will be comfortable around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 14, 2020 Share Posted July 14, 2020 Yeah, 67/64 at MVL with 67/63 at MPV. Moisture is still running pretty high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted July 14, 2020 Share Posted July 14, 2020 17 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: At any rate this week we lose the mank and that's all that matters. Sunny and 80s with low dews is summer at its finest. We take before we bake. Or we wake and bake And that's not all we're losing. We've lost 20 minutes of daylight and are now losing about 1.5 minutes/day. That'll accelerate to losing over 2 minutes/day by months end. 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 14, 2020 Share Posted July 14, 2020 63 /62 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowderBeard Posted July 14, 2020 Share Posted July 14, 2020 This guy didn't seem to mind the thunder last night. Did a lap around the house, sniffed the compost pile, then back into the woods. Biggest I have ever seen. That wood pile is 12'x8'x6' VID_25311022_191650_839.mp4 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 14, 2020 Share Posted July 14, 2020 2 hours ago, PowderBeard said: This guy didn't seem to mind the thunder last night. Did a lap around the house, sniffed the compost pile, then back into the woods. Biggest I have ever seen. That wood pile is 12'x8'x6' VID_25311022_191650_839.mp4 908.45 kB · 0 downloads Beautiful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now