weatherwiz Posted July 8, 2020 Share Posted July 8, 2020 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Downpour just happened Nice batch of stuff headed into SW CT. Hoping it moves through Branford after. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 8, 2020 Share Posted July 8, 2020 Next Monday and Tuesday look interesting. Tuesday could be more up north but Monday could be big if we can get that plume of steeper lapse rates to stay intact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted July 8, 2020 Share Posted July 8, 2020 I'm hoping for a little rain today. I didn't water last night nor this morning. Hoping I won't have to later. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted July 8, 2020 Share Posted July 8, 2020 14 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Next Monday and Tuesday look interesting. Tuesday could be more up north but Monday could be big if we can get that plume of steeper lapse rates to stay intact. Once it hits the Gulf Stream... 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 8, 2020 Share Posted July 8, 2020 2 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Once it hits the Gulf Stream... the Gulf Stream is the Viagra of streams Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted July 8, 2020 Share Posted July 8, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted July 8, 2020 Share Posted July 8, 2020 35 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Once it hits the Gulf Stream... Where is James?? 2 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: Congrats Dendrite. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 8, 2020 Share Posted July 8, 2020 Just now, moneypitmike said: .. Congrats Dendrite. I'm actually more concerned/excited for the Mohawk Trail/Rt Poop corridor down in N. Mass/S. VT and NH because typically around here, we right turn and start pac-manning cells toward the richer CAPE early..... But this is also got that mountain lift thing up that way too...so synoptic metrics combining might offset that effect too - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted July 8, 2020 Share Posted July 8, 2020 So your saying there's a chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 8, 2020 Share Posted July 8, 2020 Operational GFS slightly more robust with D8 heights ... I'm surprised this particular model manages to get to D9 without carving a NW flow and grinding heights backward on this run... This model is seemingly parameterized to circular sander ridges into buttes... but, this is the 4th consecutive run where if anything, that is less evident. Hmm... By day 10 we see that beginning but... that far out the model's likely losing the foreground signal in low of the base-line perennial circulation that doesn't want 594 height isohypses hanging around from BUF to BOS to put it nicely.... That's a definite and bono fide heat wave there, D7 entry into D10 ... by hydrostatic scaffolding alone... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted July 8, 2020 Share Posted July 8, 2020 Just now, dryslot said: So your saying there's a chance. Storms be firing just north of IZG … they coming for you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted July 8, 2020 Author Share Posted July 8, 2020 6 minutes ago, MaineJayhawk said: Storms be firing just north of IZG … they coming for you Coming right at me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted July 8, 2020 Share Posted July 8, 2020 8 minutes ago, MaineJayhawk said: Storms be firing just north of IZG … they coming for you If they stay together. 1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Coming right at me. You first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted July 8, 2020 Share Posted July 8, 2020 2 hours ago, powderfreak said: It is gross outside. Cloudy, low 80s but dews near 70F at the ASOS. ditto on the grossness. 83/73 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted July 8, 2020 Share Posted July 8, 2020 Shower developed over Newfound Lake NH. Rumble or two of thunder. Quick .47' for me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted July 8, 2020 Share Posted July 8, 2020 PC, 77/68 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted July 8, 2020 Author Share Posted July 8, 2020 Never really noticed this before but you can see the outline of Pleasant Mountain in that Radar shot. Just south of where I am. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted July 8, 2020 Share Posted July 8, 2020 Thundering for the past 30 minutes, only a drop of rain so far....Radar says it is coming, but I have thought that before. Always seems to be north of 84.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 8, 2020 Share Posted July 8, 2020 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: Coming right at me. Hey Bob... ...let me know when y'all think it is worth it and I'll pull that post from earlier and create a thread for that heat - I mean ...perhaps too early today. 12z operational GFS went alarming... It's alarming because this run does not very readily transport thermal ridging polarward as a base-line bias, yet it's D9 overcomes. is literally dangerous from Chicago to Boston, with 22 to 25C 850 mb in rare trajectory for multiple diurnal cycles... and unless there is some impossible to determine MCS modulators that's going to be a delicious soup of pandemic, dangerously high heat indices and brain amoeba tick bites... In fact, we could start that thread and put a bold disclaimer that it is experimental and should not be deemed a forecast at this time but something watch in future guidance... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted July 8, 2020 Author Share Posted July 8, 2020 1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said: Hey Bob... ...let me know when y'all think it is worth it and I'll pull that post from earlier and create a thread for that heat - I mean ...perhaps too early today. 12z operational GFS went alarming... It's alarming because this run does not very readily transport thermal ridging polarward as a base-line bias, yet it's D9 overcomes. is literally dangerous from Chicago to Boston, with 22 to 25C 850 mb in rare trajectory for multiple diurnal cycles... and unless there is some impossible to determine MCS modulators that's going to be a delicious soup of pandemic, dangerously high heat indices and brain amoeba tick bites... In fact, we could start that thread and put a bold disclaimer that it is experimental and should not be deemed a forecast at this time but something watch in future guidance... I haven’t paid much attention to the projected heat but if we are within 5 days or so, I’m fine have a thread dedicated to that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted July 8, 2020 Author Share Posted July 8, 2020 11 minutes ago, dryslot said: If they stay together. You first. May scoot off just to the north of me. We’ve been hearing the thunder from it for about an hour now. Looks like Lovell, Sweden and Waterford are in for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted July 8, 2020 Share Posted July 8, 2020 1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said: May scoot off just to the north of me. We’ve been hearing the thunder from it for about an hour now. Looks like Lovell, Sweden and Waterford are in for it. Yeah, Have friends at Keoka, They are in line with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted July 8, 2020 Share Posted July 8, 2020 That trailing cell Bob looks like its moving more SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 8, 2020 Share Posted July 8, 2020 11 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: Thundering for the past 30 minutes, only a drop of rain so far....Radar says it is coming, but I have thought that before. Always seems to be north of 84.... are you closer to the Danbury side of Newtown or on the other end? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted July 8, 2020 Share Posted July 8, 2020 Dew's up a tad as well as the temps with some sun, 78/69. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted July 8, 2020 Author Share Posted July 8, 2020 5 minutes ago, dryslot said: That trailing cell Bob looks like its moving more SE. Razor lose right now. Can’t be more then a couple miles away. Just some loud cracks of thunder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted July 8, 2020 Author Share Posted July 8, 2020 2 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Razor close right now. Can’t be more then a couple miles away. Just some loud cracks of thunder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted July 8, 2020 Share Posted July 8, 2020 7 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: are you closer to the Danbury side of Newtown or on the other end? I am a few minutes south of exit 11.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted July 8, 2020 Share Posted July 8, 2020 Boom Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 8, 2020 Share Posted July 8, 2020 Just now, Spanks45 said: I am a few minutes south of exit 11.... ahhh not far from where my girlfriend lives then Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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