MAG5035 Posted August 18, 2020 Share Posted August 18, 2020 10 minutes ago, Wmsptwx said: My yard is completely dead as well, so I feel the pain of some of you guys lol. I was sent this pic of the West Branch just outside of Renovo over in western Clinton the other day. I guess that's what a -0.42' stage looks like lol. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 18, 2020 Share Posted August 18, 2020 Dear god Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 18, 2020 Share Posted August 18, 2020 11 minutes ago, MAG5035 said: Haha yea I'm just trying to get some water on the lawn in a couple places at time. I have a pretty big yard and I'm trying not to rack up the water bill too much haha. It was pretty well established so I'm hoping it's dormant and not completely roasted. Guess I'll find out. My bill ran about $40 over in June but gave up as June rolled along as watering cannot replace the nitrogen missed without rain nor does it stop the sun from pounding down from the missed protection clouds would have provided. I might have dormant seeds that come up next spring but the grass itself is dead and being replaced by dirt spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted August 19, 2020 Share Posted August 19, 2020 15 hours ago, MAG5035 said: 100% chance of precip here tonight, plus some early fall foliage lol. WOW....thats scorched earth/grass.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted August 19, 2020 Share Posted August 19, 2020 1 hour ago, pasnownut said: WOW....thats scorched earth/grass.... No doubt sorry to see this Mag. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted August 19, 2020 Share Posted August 19, 2020 Maybe something to track soon? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted August 19, 2020 Share Posted August 19, 2020 This was from the Farmer's Almanac: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 19, 2020 Share Posted August 19, 2020 1 minute ago, paweather said: This was from the Farmer's Almanac: Calling for the weather to be nice in Florida. They are really going out on the limb. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted August 19, 2020 Share Posted August 19, 2020 Just now, Bubbler86 said: Calling for the weather to be nice in Florida. They are really going out on the limb. Maybe we will have a sheets of sleet fest in 2021? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 19, 2020 Share Posted August 19, 2020 7 minutes ago, paweather said: Maybe we will have a sheets of sleet fest in 2021? It would keep with the recent trend of west runners or late jumpers. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 19, 2020 Author Share Posted August 19, 2020 Today is a beautiful late summer day! 81 and delightful here right now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 19, 2020 Share Posted August 19, 2020 2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Today is a beautiful late summer day! 81 and delightful here right now. Music to most of our ears. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted August 19, 2020 Share Posted August 19, 2020 36 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Today is a beautiful late summer day! 81 and delightful here right now. No doubt enjoy as we can! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 19, 2020 Share Posted August 19, 2020 Didn't the Farmers Almanac say last winter would be wet and cold? Yeah, OK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 19, 2020 Share Posted August 19, 2020 3 minutes ago, canderson said: Didn't the Farmers Almanac say last winter would be wet and cold? Yeah, OK. I remember my innocent days before the internet was public where the farmers almanac was my very own Fv3 3 month outlook. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted August 19, 2020 Share Posted August 19, 2020 20 hours ago, MAG5035 said: I was sent this pic of the West Branch just outside of Renovo over in western Clinton the other day. I guess that's what a -0.42' stage looks like lol. Sadly not surprising, took my nephew fishing at dam in Williamsport and in parts you can walk all the way bank to bank only getting your ankles wet. It’s lowwwww. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted August 19, 2020 Share Posted August 19, 2020 34 minutes ago, Wmsptwx said: Sadly not surprising, took my nephew fishing at dam in Williamsport and in parts you can walk all the way bank to bank only getting your ankles wet. It’s lowwwww. WOW.....Doesn't surprise me. Especially in certain areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 19, 2020 Share Posted August 19, 2020 1 hour ago, paweather said: WOW.....Doesn't surprise me. Especially in certain areas. The thing that would interest me to know is if it was that bad during the years emphasized as "really bad droughts" (vs. this one) or if this current drought is being under rated as to its severity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted August 19, 2020 Share Posted August 19, 2020 20 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: The thing that would interest me to know is if it was that bad during the years emphasized as "really bad droughts" (vs. this one) or if this current drought is being under rated as to its severity. The drought monitor only goes back to 2000 I believe. This drought is definitely getting pretty severe in the short term sense when it comes to vegetation and stream levels, but we're not in a long term one yet that really gets into stuff like groundwater/reservoir issues yet. A reversal of the dry pattern for a few weeks (or a tropical system strike over the whole area) would probably shore up a lot of the issues. If this general pattern remains into the fall and early winter than we could be dealing with a more long term drought. Most of the main river/stream gauges have top 5 low water records to go with their top crests. There's a couple gauges where their current level would be about 4th-5th on the top 5 but most of them aren't that low yet for a top (or I guess bottom) 5. The 1960s decade seems to have a lot of low water records over several waterways. It seems like that was a decade that had a good bit of drought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted August 19, 2020 Share Posted August 19, 2020 5 hours ago, paweather said: Maybe something to track soon? It looks like the Atlantic Basin has a good chance lighting back up the next couple weeks. We are approaching the traditional peak of tropical season (approx Sept 10) for one, and we could be eventually swinging the MJO into phases that correspond with enhanced Atlantic Basin activity, which is the 1-3 realm, but esp 2 and 3. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted August 20, 2020 Share Posted August 20, 2020 6 hours ago, canderson said: Didn't the Farmers Almanac say last winter would be wet and cold? Yeah, OK. I think their local forecast for Harrisburg called for some trees down on Front St. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted August 20, 2020 Share Posted August 20, 2020 8 hours ago, Itstrainingtime said: Today is a beautiful late summer day! 81 and delightful here right now. Absolutely, beautiful morning & evening. There was a slight chill in the air near sunset. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted August 20, 2020 Share Posted August 20, 2020 3 hours ago, MAG5035 said: It looks like the Atlantic Basin has a good chance lighting back up the next couple weeks. We are approaching the traditional peak of tropical season (approx Sept 10) for one, and we could be eventually swinging the MJO into phases that correspond with enhanced Atlantic Basin activity, which is the 1-3 realm, but esp 2 and 3. Hopefully we can keep the MJO in phase 1 and 2 this winter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted August 20, 2020 Share Posted August 20, 2020 3 hours ago, MAG5035 said: The drought monitor only goes back to 2000 I believe. This drought is definitely getting pretty severe in the short term sense when it comes to vegetation and stream levels, but we're not in a long term one yet that really gets into stuff like groundwater/reservoir issues yet. A reversal of the dry pattern for a few weeks (or a tropical system strike over the whole area) would probably shore up a lot of the issues. If this general pattern remains into the fall and early winter than we could be dealing with a more long term drought. Most of the main river/stream gauges have top 5 low water records to go with their top crests. There's a couple gauges where their current level would be about 4th-5th on the top 5 but most of them aren't that low yet for a top (or I guess bottom) 5. The 1960s decade seems to have a lot of low water records over several waterways. It seems like that was a decade that had a good bit of drought. I would like for the drought to break around December the 5th. The pattern that would break the drought would feature a series of 3 moisture laden storms originating in the Gulf of Mexico. The Miller A storm track would be from New Orleans to 50 miles east of Ocean City. Meanwhile, a -NAO would help to anchor in a wall of Arctic Highs from Hudson Bay to southern Quebec. We would be buried in snow by Christmas and break the drought at the same time! We would also then remember this period the same way as February of 2010! I think it’s time for me to wake up from my drought breaking Winter dream....! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 20, 2020 Share Posted August 20, 2020 All next week looks like it is gonna be back in the 90s. These low 80 days have been and are glorious. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted August 20, 2020 Share Posted August 20, 2020 I didn't realize it was supposed to be this cool tonight. Currently 62 going down to a forecast low of 51 here in the Skook... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 20, 2020 Share Posted August 20, 2020 Open yo windows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted August 20, 2020 Share Posted August 20, 2020 Open yo windows. Mid 50s this morning. Very nice.Couple 90s possible next week then hope we slip back into cooler pattern.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted August 20, 2020 Share Posted August 20, 2020 Open yo windows. Mid 50s this morning. Very nice.Couple 90s possible next week then hope we slip back into cooler pattern.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 20, 2020 Share Posted August 20, 2020 11 minutes ago, Superstorm said: Mid 50s this morning. Very nice. Couple 90s possible next week then hope we slip back into cooler pattern. . 12 minutes ago, Superstorm said: Mid 50s this morning. Very nice. Couple 90s possible next week then hope we slip back into cooler pattern. . It's so nice you had to say it twice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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