MAG5035 Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 2 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Your luck has changed this Summer! You are the new precip capital of PA! Hopefully it continues this Winter for you. The torch has been passed over this way for the Tamaqua split haha. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 4, 2020 Author Share Posted August 4, 2020 Not specific to our area, but a stronger cyclone might prove that the European and Ukie models might have been on to something when they've been modeling wind gust in the 80-95 mph range at the Jersey shore and Long Island. Many thought those estimates were far too high...I guess we'll see soon enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Good friends were at their house on Sunset Beach - glad they left so morning to move inland to SC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 4, 2020 Author Share Posted August 4, 2020 Eskimo Joe just gave up on the storm, so there's that... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 3 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Eskimo Joe just gave up on the storm, so there's that... Yes! That means we get the goods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 3 hours ago, Voyager said: Thanks! And if by nonsense you mean the snow talk, keep it coming. This is what makes our forum so great. Our sense of humor and good natured ribbing! Hope you piss that rock out soon. You’ll know when.... kidding aside good luck with it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 11 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Not specific to our area, but a stronger cyclone might prove that the European and Ukie models might have been on to something when they've been modeling wind gust in the 80-95 mph range at the Jersey shore and Long Island. Many thought those estimates were far too high...I guess we'll see soon enough. Those models may have better at picking out the interaction with an abnormally strong jet referenced in the 5pm NHC discussion that's going to help rocket this thing up the coast likely mostly intact. 18z Euro 850 winds on the NE quad of the center have a max of 90-100mph all the way up through LI into SNE. The setup is going to allow the potential of the majority of that to be tapped on the east side. As I said earlier, if the core of the storm finds its way into some part of the Sus Valley.. it probably will come with a few hour period of higher winds that perhaps top TS force. As it looks now I think most of this potential just misses the LSV and catches SE PA. This storm is likely strengthening at the last moment bc the shear that has been a detriment pretty much the whole time has weakened, as noted in the update disco from NHC. On a related note.. a lot of non-tractor trailer traffic I saw on I-80 today was in the form of bucket trucks of various utility contractors heading east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Hi Guys! It feels like an approaching winter storm only because it just took me 30 minutes to read through 5 full pages of posts! That's definitely a first for me in the summertime. As for precip so far, I had a brief shower back around 5:30pm that delivered a whopping 0.04", and that's all I've got so far as of 10:40pm. I'm excited to track this storm and hoping to maybe reach the 3" mark from it....maybe! Will be interesting to see what peak wind gusts I end up with. Will be a fun day tomorrow afternoon and evening. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 32 minutes ago, pasnownut said: Hope you piss that rock out soon. You’ll know when.... kidding aside good luck with it Thanks! I've been dealing with stones for years. The Foley bag is a first for me, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Storm made landfall at Ocean Isle Beach, NC which is 30 miles west southwest of Oak Island. Vested interest? My neighbor's son (and good friend) is in Oak Island for the week vacationing with his wife and they didn't evacuate. Just messaged him, but didn't hear anything back yet. I'm sure he went through the same conditions Cantore is seeing in Wrightsville Beach. As I understand, Oak Island had a 91mph gust just prior to getting into the eye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 3 minutes ago, Voyager said: Storm made landfall at Ocean Isle Beach, NC which is 30 miles west southwest of Oak Island. Vested interest? My neighbor's son (and good friend) is in Oak Island for the week vacationing with his wife and they didn't evacuate. Just messaged him, but didn't hear anything back yet. I'm sure he went through the same conditions Cantore is seeing in Wrightsville Beach. As I understand, Oak Island had a 91mph gust just prior to getting into the eye. Friends were at Sunset Beach. They left this morning to a relative inland in SC. Glad they did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 CTP has Harrisburg‘s zone forecast to get 1.75” max. Interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 46 minutes ago, canderson said: Friends were at Sunset Beach. They left this morning to a relative inland in SC. Glad they did. Indeed. Wish my neighbor's son would have too, but I must admit, I'd have probably stayed as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Heavy rains per HRRR.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Yikes. Be safe out there guys.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 11 minutes ago, Superstorm said: Yikes. Be safe out there guys. . Lancaster jackpot. Get it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Soaker. HRRR is definitely west of last night. Not enough for Mag though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 14 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Soaker. HRRR is definitely west of last night. Not enough for Mag though. You could see the trend every update last night. We might end up in a perfect zone where we get a moderate rain that soaks in but not the rain rates that flood and run off. The rain currently is ideal. Around .20”/hr 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kerplunk Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 CCX is back up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 8 hours ago, Itstrainingtime said: Eskimo Joe just gave up on the storm, so there's that... Classic! It sounds like the Blizzard of January of 2016 all over again! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 The 0z Euro brings the storm center to just north of Philly later today. The heavy precip this run now extends back to Rt.15. The bullseye this run is near the home of @paweather ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 First tornado warning in PA down in the Philly area right now. Upper Darby to Plymouth area along and in between I-76 and I-476. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 27 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: The 0z Euro brings the storm center to just north of Philly later today. The heavy precip this run now extends back to Rt.15. The bullseye this run is near the home of @paweather ! The land of the parched is already approaching 1" since midnight. It has been raining quite hard for the last hour. About 1/3 of an inch. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Today will mark the first time that my acurite weather station will not reach 90 or higher. It has recorded 90 or higher everyday starting on July 17th. I thought it would happen yedterday since there was a lot of cloud cover, but the sun broke through for several hours with limited clouds till around 5 oclock. I have recorded 35 days this summer so far that the temp. has reached 90 or higher. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 15 hours ago, paweather said: Bubbler always did this with Snow so now he has to with rain. Maybe Bubbler can figure out what the rain would be converted to snow for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 2 minutes ago, pawatch said: Maybe Bubbler can figure out what the rain would be converted to snow for us. There is always one of those posts every big rain storm where someone gets 5, 6 inches. . "If only this were snow it would be 5 feet!!" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 York and Lanco are getting the goods now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Seems it will be primarily a morning storm now look at the radar and HRRR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 9 hours ago, Voyager said: Thanks! I've been dealing with stones for years. The Foley bag is a first for me, though. need to stop drinkin that Guers Iced tea Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 1 hour ago, Bubbler86 said: The land of the parched is already approaching 1" since midnight. It has been raining quite hard for the last hour. About 1/3 of an inch. after looking at the radar and seeing the heavier returns so far west, that you guys were in for some appreciable totals for next few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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