Cashtown_Coop Posted July 30, 2020 Share Posted July 30, 2020 23 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: 80 at 9AM. I have a feeling we'll struggle to hit 90 today, but we shall see. Here's the 7 day WPC map: Not a bad look, but it's already been shaved back a good bit to our south from yesterday's map. Really hope that this can hold... Classic PA. No rain, no rain, no rain FLOOD 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted July 30, 2020 Author Share Posted July 30, 2020 7 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: Classic PA. No rain, no rain, no rain FLOOD I've been quietly thinking about that for some time now - one extreme to the other. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 30, 2020 Share Posted July 30, 2020 51 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: Classic PA. No rain, no rain, no rain FLOOD We need it so bad I will take the risk and hope no one floods. That map seems to be 5" or less for everyone though I think the Euro map was a bit higher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted July 30, 2020 Share Posted July 30, 2020 7 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: We need it so bad I will take the risk and hope no one floods. That mao seems to be 5" or less for everyone though I think the Euro map was a bit higher. grounds like concrete. The first 2" will run off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted July 30, 2020 Author Share Posted July 30, 2020 7 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: We need it so bad I will take the risk and hope no one floods. That mao seems to be 5" or less for everyone though I think the Euro map was a bit higher. There were 7-8" amounts on yesterday's map right up to the M/D line. The Delmarva region lost a couple of inches since the last map was issued. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted July 30, 2020 Author Share Posted July 30, 2020 Just now, sauss06 said: grounds like concrete. The first 2" will run off Got the bad, but expected news the other day...no trips to Heinz Field this fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted July 30, 2020 Share Posted July 30, 2020 2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Got the bad, but expected news the other day...no trips to Heinz Field this fall. i know, i'm so bummed. If there is no football this fall, i'm going to get a part time job as i'll go nuts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted July 30, 2020 Share Posted July 30, 2020 17 hours ago, paweather5 said: Hey now, look at my membership since December 2010 haha. That’s it changing my name. All good my friend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted July 30, 2020 Share Posted July 30, 2020 Keeping tabs on the record average at MDT for July. Through yesterday the mean for the month was 82.2 degrees. The record average temperature at MDT for July is 81.8 set in 1999. The overnight low today was 72 and it's currently 90 at noon. It would seem a lock for MDT to at least hit 92 today. That would produce a mean of 82.0 and would leave the mean for the month at 82.2 going into tomorrow, the final day of the month. In order to break the record MDT can lose 0.3 degrees with tomorrow's mean. With 31 days to work with that means tomorrow's mean can be no lower than 11 degrees below normal, which would be 65 degrees. The forecast temps at MDT for tomorrow are a high of 82 and a low of 72 with a mean of 77. What all this means is that there is a 90% chance that MDT's mean for July 2020 will be higher than 81.8 degrees and will become the warmest July on record and the warmest month of any month ever at MDT since records began in 1888. WOW! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted July 30, 2020 Share Posted July 30, 2020 2 minutes ago, CarlislePaWx said: Keeping tabs on the record average at MDT for July. Through yesterday the mean for the month was 82.2 degrees. The record average temperature at MDT for July is 81.8 set in 1999. The overnight low today was 72 and it's currently 90 at noon. It would seem a lock for MDT to at least hit 92 today. That would produce a mean of 82.0 and would leave the mean for the month at 82.2 going into tomorrow, the final day of the month. In order to break the record MDT can lose 0.3 degrees with tomorrow's mean. With 31 days to work with that means tomorrow's mean can be no lower than 11 degrees below normal, which would be 65 degrees. The forecast temps at MDT for tomorrow are a high of 82 and a low of 72 with a mean of 77. What all this means is that there is a 90% chance that MDT's mean for July 2020 will be higher than 81.8 degrees and will become the warmest July on record and the warmest month of any month ever at MDT since records began in 1888. WOW! Crazy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 30, 2020 Share Posted July 30, 2020 GFS looks like pretty bad conditions for eastern LI and and areas to the North and East from there. Does give Southern PA .5-1" of rain Fri, Sat and Sun combined. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted July 30, 2020 Share Posted July 30, 2020 Up to 91 already. I think we beat yesterday's 94. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted July 30, 2020 Share Posted July 30, 2020 29 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: GFS looks like pretty bad conditions for eastern LI and and areas to the North and East from there. Does give Southern PA .5-1" of rain Fri, Sat and Sun combined. That 976 LOW off the coast geez but it misses us on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 30, 2020 Share Posted July 30, 2020 1 minute ago, canderson said: Up to 91 already. I think we beat yesterday's 94. Euro definitely wins the temp forecast over there this week. We have not hit 90 since Monday but got give credit where credit is due for the overall area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 30, 2020 Share Posted July 30, 2020 5 minutes ago, paweather said: That 976 LOW off the coast geez but it misses us on the GFS. Yep, we just get the weekend rain, no drought relief overall. Its supposed to rain at least 1" a week. LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted July 30, 2020 Share Posted July 30, 2020 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: Yep, we just get the weekend rain, not drought relief overall. Its supposed to rain at least 1" a week. LOL. I know, right. Geez! Can't catch a break right now. 976 Low that turns into the 980's would have been so nice for us in our drought conditions. Maybe things will change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 30, 2020 Share Posted July 30, 2020 About 2/3 of PA now officially in a drought Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted July 30, 2020 Author Share Posted July 30, 2020 This morning I doubted that I'd reach 90 today. I'm currently at 93.2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted July 30, 2020 Share Posted July 30, 2020 This morning I doubted that I'd reach 90 today. I'm currently at 93.2 It seems like the high is always higher than forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted July 30, 2020 Share Posted July 30, 2020 9 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: About 2/3 of PA now officially in a drought Lebanon County will be there soon unless we do capitalize on Friday-Saturday. Almost the entire state of Maine WOW. Thanks for sharing this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted July 30, 2020 Author Share Posted July 30, 2020 4 minutes ago, anotherman said: It seems like the high is always higher than forecast. Yep. Warmer during the day and night than forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 30, 2020 Share Posted July 30, 2020 14 minutes ago, anotherman said: It seems like the high is always higher than forecast. NWS would have had to go with a blend of Euro and Euro to get it right his week. GFS and NAM were weak sauce. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted July 30, 2020 Share Posted July 30, 2020 14 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Yep. Warmer during the day and night than forecast. But never colder in the winter time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 30, 2020 Share Posted July 30, 2020 There is a very real possibility I will have more posts in 2020 talking about drought and heat vs. cold and snow. Mother Nature Dropped the ball. The least snowiest winter and warmest month both in the complete history of MDT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted July 30, 2020 Share Posted July 30, 2020 17 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: There is a very real possibility I will have more posts in 2020 talking about drought and heat vs. cold and snow. Mother Nature Dropped the ball. The least snowiest winter and warmest month both in the complete history of MDT. Insane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 30, 2020 Share Posted July 30, 2020 2 minutes ago, paweather said: Insane. George Washington would have to go to Nova Scotia to replicate his Valley Forge days (even if the rumors of cold may have been over stated). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 30, 2020 Share Posted July 30, 2020 Its funny how consistently tropical systems get to the coast of East Florida and know "I better not go in there if I want to survive" and just stop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 30, 2020 Share Posted July 30, 2020 Euro gets it up to Cat 2 S/E of NC. Lots of rain heading PA's way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 30, 2020 Share Posted July 30, 2020 Still a weak Cat two wailing on the Chesapeake Bay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted July 30, 2020 Share Posted July 30, 2020 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: Still a weak Cat two wailing on the Chesapeake Bay. Keep moving that to the west a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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